A-League · 2026/27
A-League Matchday 4 predictions
6 fixtures from November 6 to November 8. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Saturday, November 7 · 04:00
Every fixture this round
Friday, November 6
1X2
Saturday, November 7
1X2
A-League Matchday 4 runs from November 6 to November 8 with 6 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is Sydney - Central Coast Mariners: Sydney to win at 45%. The tightest match is Auckland - Wellington Phoenix, where no outcome clears 45%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- Sydney vs Central Coast Mariners, November 6: the model's pick is Sydney to win (45%).
- Auckland vs Wellington Phoenix, November 7: the model's pick is Auckland to win (45%).
- Melbourne City vs Western Sydney Wanderers, November 7: the model's pick is Melbourne City to win (45%).
- Perth Glory vs Newcastle Jets, November 7: the model's pick is Perth Glory to win (45%).
- Macarthur vs Brisbane Roar, November 8: the model's pick is Macarthur to win (45%).
- Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory, November 8: the model's pick is Adelaide United to win (45%).
Matchday 4 FAQ
When is A-League Matchday 4 played?
From November 6 to November 8. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 4?
Sydney - Central Coast Mariners: Sydney to win at 45% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.