Bundesliga · 2026/27
Bundesliga Matchday 1 predictions
6 fixtures from July 31 to August 2. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Saturday, August 1 · 17:30
Every fixture this round
Bundesliga Matchday 1 runs from July 31 to August 2 with 6 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is Red Bull Salzburg - TSV Hartberg: Red Bull Salzburg to win at 66%. The tightest match is Austria Lustenau - Ried, where no outcome clears 36%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Matchday 1 FAQ
When is Bundesliga Matchday 1 played?
From July 31 to August 2. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 1?
Red Bull Salzburg - TSV Hartberg: Red Bull Salzburg to win at 66% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.