Bundesliga · 2026/27
Austria Bundesliga Matchday 4 predictions
6 fixtures from August 21 to September 2. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Wednesday, September 2 · 18:30
Every fixture this round
Friday, August 21
1X2Saturday, August 22
1X2Tuesday, September 1
1X2Wednesday, September 2
1X2Bundesliga Matchday 4 runs from August 21 to September 2 with 6 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is Sturm Graz - Austria Lustenau: Sturm Graz to win at 72%. The tightest match is Red Bull Salzburg - Rapid Vienna, where no outcome clears 41%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- Ried 1–0 Grazer AK, August 21: the model's pick was Ried to win (49%) and it came in.
- SCR Altach 1–2 TSV Hartberg, August 22: the model's pick was SCR Altach to win (51%) and it missed.
- Sturm Graz 1–1 Austria Lustenau, August 22: the model's pick was Sturm Graz to win (72%) and it missed.
- Wolfsberger AC 1–3 Lask Linz, September 1: the model's pick was Lask Linz to win (64%) and it came in.
- Austria Vienna 0–1 WSG Wattens, September 2: the model's pick was Austria Vienna to win (44%) and it missed.
- Red Bull Salzburg 5–1 Rapid Vienna, September 2: the model's pick was Red Bull Salzburg to win (41%) and it came in.
Matchday 4 FAQ
When is Bundesliga Matchday 4 played?
From August 21 to September 2. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 4?
Sturm Graz - Austria Lustenau: Sturm Graz to win at 72% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.











