Bundesliga · 2026/27

Bundesliga Matchday 4 predictions

6 fixtures from August 21 to September 2. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.

Kick-off times in UTC

Match of the round

Wednesday, September 2 · 18:30

Red Bull Salzburg#2

5–1

Rapid Vienna#3
1 · 41%X · 30%2 · 29%
Red Bull Salzburg to win · 41%Full analysis →

Every fixture this round

Friday, August 21

  1. 1–0
    Ried#9
    Grazer AK#10
    49%31%20%

Saturday, August 22

  1. 1–2
    SCR Altach#11
    TSV Hartberg#6
    51%29%20%
  2. 1–1
    Sturm Graz#4
    Austria Lustenau#8
    72%20%8%

Tuesday, September 1

  1. 1–3
    Wolfsberger AC#7
    Lask Linz#1
    12%24%64%

Wednesday, September 2

  1. 0–1
    Austria Vienna#12
    WSG Wattens#5
    44%28%28%
  2. 5–1
    Red Bull Salzburg#2
    Rapid Vienna#3
    41%30%29%

Bundesliga Matchday 4 runs from August 21 to September 2 with 6 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.

The safest pick of the round is Sturm Graz - Austria Lustenau: Sturm Graz to win at 72%. The tightest match is Red Bull Salzburg - Rapid Vienna, where no outcome clears 41%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.

All Bundesliga predictions →Bundesliga table →Who will win? Title odds →

Matchday 4 FAQ

When is Bundesliga Matchday 4 played?

From August 21 to September 2. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.

What is the safest pick of Matchday 4?

Sturm Graz - Austria Lustenau: Sturm Graz to win at 72% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.

How are these predictions calculated?

Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.

Do the predictions change before kick-off?

Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.