League One · 2026/27
League One Matchday 11 predictions
12 fixtures from October 15 to October 17. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Saturday, October 17 · 14:00
Every fixture this round
Thursday, October 15
1X2
Saturday, October 17
1X2- 2–1
Milton Keynes Dons#11
Luton#432%25%43%✗ Miss - 2–2
Peterborough#22
Burton Albion#1549%24%27%✗ Miss - 2–1
Leicester#10
Doncaster#2050%24%26%✓ Hit - 1–0
Wigan#21
Reading#624%24%52%✗ Miss - 5–0
Sheffield Wednesday#9
AFC Wimbledon#1864%19%17%✓ Hit - 1–2
Barnsley#23
Cambridge United#835%25%40%✓ Hit - 2–0
Bradford#7
Stevenage#1650%26%24%✓ Hit - 0–2
Plymouth#5
Huddersfield#141%26%33%✗ Miss - 2–0
Wycombe#13
Notts County#1750%25%25%✓ Hit - 2–0
Leyton Orient#14
Blackpool#1946%25%29%✓ Hit - 1–0
Stockport County#2
Bromley#2482%12%6%✓ Hit
League One Matchday 11 runs from October 15 to October 17 with 12 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is Stockport County - Bromley: Stockport County to win at 82%. The tightest match is Mansfield Town - Oxford United, where no outcome clears 39%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- Mansfield Town 1–1 Oxford United, October 15: the model's pick was Mansfield Town to win (39%) and it missed.
- Milton Keynes Dons 2–1 Luton, October 17: the model's pick was Luton to win (43%) and it missed.
- Peterborough 2–2 Burton Albion, October 17: the model's pick was Peterborough to win (49%) and it missed.
- Leicester 2–1 Doncaster, October 17: the model's pick was Leicester to win (50%) and it came in.
- Wigan 1–0 Reading, October 17: the model's pick was Reading to win (52%) and it missed.
- Sheffield Wednesday 5–0 AFC Wimbledon, October 17: the model's pick was Sheffield Wednesday to win (64%) and it came in.
- Barnsley 1–2 Cambridge United, October 17: the model's pick was Cambridge United to win (40%) and it came in.
- Bradford 2–0 Stevenage, October 17: the model's pick was Bradford to win (50%) and it came in.
- Plymouth 0–2 Huddersfield, October 17: the model's pick was Plymouth to win (41%) and it missed.
- Wycombe 2–0 Notts County, October 17: the model's pick was Wycombe to win (50%) and it came in.
- Leyton Orient 2–0 Blackpool, October 17: the model's pick was Leyton Orient to win (46%) and it came in.
- Stockport County 1–0 Bromley, October 17: the model's pick was Stockport County to win (82%) and it came in.
Matchday 11 FAQ
When is League One Matchday 11 played?
From October 15 to October 17. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 11?
Stockport County - Bromley: Stockport County to win at 82% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.