Who Will Win League One?
2,000 season simulations · 552 remaining fixtures
We simulate the rest of the League One 2026/27 season thousands of times using our AI's match probabilities. Here's every team's chance of the title, a top-4 finish and a bottom-3 finish — updated after every round.
The headline calls
Sheffield Wednesday wins League One in 68.4% of 2,000 season simulations.
Huddersfield — 25.4% title chance.
Wigan goes down in 69.2% of simulations.
| # | Team | Pl | Pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Proj. Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sheffield Wednesday | 5 | 12 | 68.4% | 98.8% | <0.1% | 98 |
| 2 |  Huddersfield | 5 | 11 | 25.4% | 93.1% | <0.1% | 92 |
| 3 |  Stockport County | 5 | 9 | 3.1% | 61.8% | <0.1% | 83 |
| 4 |  Reading | 4 | 7 | 1.4% | 39.3% | <0.1% | 79 |
| 5 |  Bradford | 5 | 9 | 0.8% | 27.9% | <0.1% | 77 |
| 6 |  Oxford United | 4 | 7 | 0.6% | 25.2% | <0.1% | 76 |
| 7 |  Burton Albion | 5 | 8 | 0.2% | 17.3% | <0.1% | 74 |
| 8 |  Luton | 5 | 8 | 0.2% | 8.5% | <0.1% | 70 |
| 9 |  Blackpool | 5 | 7 | 0.1% | 3.2% | 0.1% | 67 |
| 10 |  Cambridge United | 5 | 8 | <0.1% | 11.3% | <0.1% | 72 |
| 11 |  Leyton Orient | 5 | 7 | <0.1% | 6.2% | <0.1% | 69 |
| 12 |  Notts County | 5 | 7 | <0.1% | 3.3% | 0.2% | 66 |
| 13 |  Plymouth | 5 | 7 | <0.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 64 |
| 14 |  Barnsley | 5 | 7 | <0.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 63 |
| 15 |  Stevenage | 5 | 6 | <0.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 63 |
| 16 |  AFC Wimbledon | 5 | 7 | <0.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 62 |
| 17 |  Mansfield Town | 5 | 6 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 2.2% | 56 |
| 18 |  Leicester | 5 | 5 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 8.4% | 51 |
| 19 |  Milton Keynes Dons | 5 | 4 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 19.3% | 48 |
| 20 |  Peterborough | 5 | 4 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 38% | 44 |
| 21 |  Doncaster | 5 | 3 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 40.7% | 43 |
| 22 |  Wycombe | 5 | 3 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 60.1% | 40 |
| 23 |  Bromley | 5 | 4 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 60.7% | 39 |
| 24 |  Wigan | 5 | 3 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 69.2% | 38 |
Next League One fixtures — with AI predictions
- Leyton Orient – WycombeSat, Sep 12AI prediction →
- Notts County – BradfordSat, Sep 12AI prediction →
- Sheffield Wednesday – WiganSat, Sep 12AI prediction →
- AFC Wimbledon – DoncasterSat, Sep 12AI prediction →
- Oxford United – Burton AlbionSat, Sep 12AI prediction →
- Milton Keynes Dons – PeterboroughSat, Sep 12AI prediction →
- Blackpool – BromleySat, Sep 12AI prediction →
- Plymouth – BarnsleySat, Sep 12AI prediction →
Methodology
Every remaining League One fixture is simulated 2,000 times with Betora's AI strength model, built from the live table, form and Elo ratings. The probabilities re-run automatically after every round.
Journalists and bloggers: you are welcome to cite or republish these numbers with a link to this page as the source.
Title race FAQ
Who will win League One in 2026/27?
Sheffield Wednesday wins League One in 68.4% of our AI's season simulations — the current favourite. The probability table above shows every team's chances, updated after every round.
How are the title probabilities calculated?
We simulate every remaining fixture thousands of times using strength ratings built from the live table and form, then count how often each team finishes first, top 4 or bottom 3.
How often are the probabilities updated?
After every round — results change the table, the table changes the ratings, and the simulation re-runs automatically.