2. Bundesliga · 2026/27
2. Bundesliga Matchday 4 predictions
9 fixtures from September 4 to September 6. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Sunday, September 6 · 11:30
Every fixture this round
Friday, September 4
1X2Saturday, September 5
1X22. Bundesliga Matchday 4 runs from September 4 to September 6 with 9 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is VfL Wolfsburg - Energie Cottbus: VfL Wolfsburg to win at 72%. The tightest match is Holstein Kiel - 1. FC Nürnberg, where no outcome clears 40%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- Hannover 96 2–2 Karlsruher SC, September 4: the model's pick was Hannover 96 to win (63%) and it missed.
- Arminia Bielefeld 2–2 FC St. Pauli, September 4: the model's pick was Arminia Bielefeld to win (42%) and it missed.
- Dynamo Dresden 1–2 VfL Bochum, September 5: the model's pick was Dynamo Dresden to win (46%) and it missed.
- Hertha BSC 2–1 1. FC Magdeburg, September 6: the model's pick was Hertha BSC to win (50%) and it came in.
- SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0–1 1. FC Heidenheim, September 6: the model's pick was 1. FC Heidenheim to win (40%) and it came in.
- VfL Osnabrück 3–1 Eintracht Braunschweig, September 6: the model's pick was VfL Osnabrück to win (40%) and it came in.
Matchday 4 FAQ
When is 2. Bundesliga Matchday 4 played?
From September 4 to September 6. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 4?
VfL Wolfsburg - Energie Cottbus: VfL Wolfsburg to win at 72% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.

















