Who Will Win 2. Bundesliga?
2,000 season simulations · 306 remaining fixtures
We simulate the rest of the 2. Bundesliga 2026/27 season thousands of times using our AI's match probabilities. Here's every team's chance of the title, a top-4 finish and a bottom-3 finish — updated after every round.
The headline calls
Hertha BSC wins 2. Bundesliga in 97.9% of 2,000 season simulations.
1. FC Nürnberg — 2.1% title chance.
SV Darmstadt 98 goes down in 70.3% of simulations.
| # | Team | Pl | Pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Proj. Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hertha BSC | 11 | 31 | 97.9% | 100% | <0.1% | 84 |
| 2 |  1. FC Nürnberg | 11 | 24 | 2.1% | 98.9% | <0.1% | 70 |
| 3 |  1. FC Kaiserslautern | 11 | 21 | 0.1% | 73% | <0.1% | 60 |
| 4 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 11 | 19 | <0.1% | 57.6% | <0.1% | 58 |
| 5 |  1. FC Magdeburg | 10 | 17 | <0.1% | 49% | 0.1% | 57 |
| 6 |  Arminia Bielefeld | 11 | 17 | <0.1% | 13% | <0.1% | 52 |
| 7 |  1. FC Heidenheim | 10 | 15 | <0.1% | 7.7% | 0.2% | 50 |
| 8 |  FC St. Pauli | 10 | 12 | <0.1% | 0.5% | 3.1% | 43 |
| 9 |  VfL Bochum | 10 | 11 | <0.1% | 0.1% | 12.2% | 40 |
| 10 |  SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 11 | 12 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 15.9% | 39 |
| 11 |  Hannover 96 | 10 | 11 | <0.1% | 0.1% | 14.7% | 39 |
| 12 |  Karlsruher SC | 10 | 11 | <0.1% | 0.1% | 19.1% | 39 |
| 13 |  Energie Cottbus | 11 | 11 | <0.1% | 0.1% | 20.7% | 38 |
| 14 |  Eintracht Braunschweig | 11 | 11 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 21.1% | 38 |
| 15 |  VfL Osnabrück | 11 | 11 | <0.1% | 0.1% | 24.9% | 37 |
| 16 |  Dynamo Dresden | 11 | 11 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 29.2% | 37 |
| 17 |  SV Darmstadt 98 | 11 | 9 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 70.3% | 32 |
| 18 |  Holstein Kiel | 11 | 8 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 68.9% | 32 |
Next 2. Bundesliga fixtures — with AI predictions
- VfL Bochum – Karlsruher SCSun, Nov 8AI prediction
- 1. FC Magdeburg – FC St. PauliSun, Nov 8AI prediction
- 1. FC Heidenheim – Hannover 96Sun, Nov 8AI prediction
- SV Darmstadt 98 – 1. FC HeidenheimFri, Nov 20AI prediction
- Arminia Bielefeld – 1. FC MagdeburgFri, Nov 20AI prediction
- VfL Wolfsburg – Holstein KielSat, Nov 21AI prediction
- Hannover 96 – SpVgg Greuther FürthSat, Nov 21AI prediction
- 1. FC Nürnberg – Eintracht BraunschweigSat, Nov 21AI prediction
Methodology
Every remaining 2. Bundesliga fixture is simulated 2,000 times with Betora's AI strength model, built from the live table, form and Elo ratings. The probabilities re-run automatically after every round.
Journalists and bloggers: you are welcome to cite or republish these numbers with a link to this page as the source.
Title race FAQ
Who will win 2. Bundesliga in 2026/27?
Hertha BSC wins 2. Bundesliga in 97.9% of our AI's season simulations — the current favourite. The probability table above shows every team's chances, updated after every round.
How are the title probabilities calculated?
We simulate every remaining fixture thousands of times using strength ratings built from the live table and form, then count how often each team finishes first, top 4 or bottom 3.
How often are the probabilities updated?
After every round — results change the table, the table changes the ratings, and the simulation re-runs automatically.