Who Will Win 2. Bundesliga?
2,000 season simulations · 306 remaining fixtures
We simulate the rest of the 2. Bundesliga 2026/27 season thousands of times using our AI's match probabilities. Here's every team's chance of the title, a top-4 finish and a bottom-3 finish — updated after every round.
The headline calls
Hertha BSC wins 2. Bundesliga in 74.7% of 2,000 season simulations.
1. FC Nürnberg — 22.9% title chance.
SV Darmstadt 98 goes down in 69.6% of simulations.
| # | Team | Pl | Pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Proj. Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hertha BSC | 5 | 15 | 74.7% | 100% | <0.1% | 83 |
| 2 |  1. FC Nürnberg | 5 | 13 | 22.9% | 99.8% | <0.1% | 77 |
| 3 |  1. FC Heidenheim | 5 | 12 | 2.3% | 95% | <0.1% | 69 |
| 4 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 6 | 11 | 0.1% | 64.6% | <0.1% | 61 |
| 5 |  1. FC Magdeburg | 6 | 10 | <0.1% | 19.9% | 0.1% | 55 |
| 6 |  1. FC Kaiserslautern | 5 | 8 | <0.1% | 12.8% | 0.1% | 53 |
| 7 |  Energie Cottbus | 5 | 7 | <0.1% | 4% | 0.6% | 49 |
| 8 |  VfL Bochum | 5 | 7 | <0.1% | 3% | 0.3% | 48 |
| 9 |  FC St. Pauli | 5 | 6 | <0.1% | 0.7% | 2.4% | 44 |
| 10 |  VfL Osnabrück | 5 | 6 | <0.1% | 0.2% | 5.6% | 42 |
| 11 |  SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 6 | 6 | <0.1% | 0.1% | 11.6% | 38 |
| 12 |  Karlsruher SC | 5 | 5 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 20.9% | 36 |
| 13 |  Eintracht Braunschweig | 5 | 4 | <0.1% | 0.1% | 22.3% | 36 |
| 14 |  Arminia Bielefeld | 5 | 4 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 28.6% | 35 |
| 15 |  Hannover 96 | 5 | 4 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 33.2% | 34 |
| 16 |  Dynamo Dresden | 5 | 4 | <0.1% | 0.1% | 46% | 32 |
| 17 |  Holstein Kiel | 5 | 3 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 59.1% | 30 |
| 18 |  SV Darmstadt 98 | 6 | 4 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 69.6% | 29 |
Next 2. Bundesliga fixtures — with AI predictions
- Hannover 96 – VfL BochumSun, Sep 20AI prediction →
- Arminia Bielefeld – 1. FC HeidenheimSun, Sep 20AI prediction →
- Energie Cottbus – FC St. PauliSun, Sep 20AI prediction →
- Hertha BSC – SpVgg Greuther FürthSat, Oct 10AI prediction →
- 1. FC Nürnberg – VfL WolfsburgSat, Oct 10AI prediction →
- VfL Bochum – Arminia BielefeldSat, Oct 10AI prediction →
- 1. FC Magdeburg – Hannover 96Sat, Oct 10AI prediction →
- 1. FC Heidenheim – 1. FC KaiserslauternSat, Oct 10AI prediction →
Methodology
Every remaining 2. Bundesliga fixture is simulated 2,000 times with Betora's AI strength model, built from the live table, form and Elo ratings. The probabilities re-run automatically after every round.
Journalists and bloggers: you are welcome to cite or republish these numbers with a link to this page as the source.
Title race FAQ
Who will win 2. Bundesliga in 2026/27?
Hertha BSC wins 2. Bundesliga in 74.7% of our AI's season simulations — the current favourite. The probability table above shows every team's chances, updated after every round.
How are the title probabilities calculated?
We simulate every remaining fixture thousands of times using strength ratings built from the live table and form, then count how often each team finishes first, top 4 or bottom 3.
How often are the probabilities updated?
After every round — results change the table, the table changes the ratings, and the simulation re-runs automatically.