Liga 1 · 2026/27
Indonesia Liga 1 Matchday 5 predictions
9 fixtures from September 16 to October 18. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Saturday, October 17 · 12:00
Every fixture this round
Wednesday, September 16
1X2Friday, October 16
1X2Saturday, October 17
1X2Liga 1 Matchday 5 runs from September 16 to October 18 with 9 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is Java United - Bali United: Bali United to win at 67%. The tightest match is PSIM Yogyakarta - PSM Makassar, where no outcome clears 39%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- Pusamania Borneo 1–3 Dewa United, September 16: the model's pick was Pusamania Borneo to win (46%) and it missed.
- PSIM Yogyakarta 1–2 PSM Makassar, October 16: the model's pick was PSIM Yogyakarta to win (39%) and it missed.
- Persepam Madura Utd 3–3 Bhayangkara FC, October 16: the model's pick was Bhayangkara FC to win (40%) and it missed.
- Persijap 0–1 Isenmulang Kalteng, October 16: the model's pick was Persijap to win (53%) and it missed.
- Java United 3–2 Bali United, October 16: the model's pick was Bali United to win (67%) and it missed.
- Garudayaksa 3–1 Arema FC, October 17: the model's pick was Arema FC to win (40%) and it missed.
- Persita 3–2 Persija, October 17: the model's pick was Persija to win (58%) and it missed.
- Persebaya Surabaya 2–2 PSS Sleman, October 18: the model's pick was Persebaya Surabaya to win (55%) and it missed.
- Persib Bandung 1–0 Persik Kediri, October 18: the model's pick was Persib Bandung to win (59%) and it came in.
Matchday 5 FAQ
When is Liga 1 Matchday 5 played?
From September 16 to October 18. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 5?
Java United - Bali United: Bali United to win at 67% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.

















