Who Will Win Liga 1?
2,000 season simulations · 306 remaining fixtures
We simulate the rest of the Liga 1 2026/27 season thousands of times using our AI's match probabilities. Here's every team's chance of the title, a top-4 finish and a bottom-3 finish — updated after every round.
The headline calls
Arema FC wins Liga 1 in 21.5% of 2,000 season simulations.
Persepam Madura Utd — 17.8% title chance.
Isenmulang Kalteng goes down in 48.2% of simulations.
| # | Team | Pl | Pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Proj. Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arema FC | 1 | 3 | 21.5% | 63.9% | 0.2% | 57 |
| 2 |  Persepam Madura Utd | 1 | 3 | 17.8% | 58.4% | 0.3% | 57 |
| 3 |  Persib Bandung | 1 | 3 | 15.5% | 57.4% | 0.6% | 56 |
| 4 |  Bali United | 1 | 3 | 13.2% | 51.7% | 0.8% | 55 |
| 5 |  Persija | 1 | 3 | 13% | 51.8% | 0.6% | 55 |
| 6 |  Dewa United | 1 | 3 | 12.7% | 52.9% | 0.9% | 56 |
| 7 |  Persita | 1 | 1 | 1.1% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 45 |
| 8 |  Garudayaksa | 1 | 1 | 1.1% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 45 |
| 9 |  Persebaya Surabaya | 1 | 1 | 1% | 9% | 10.8% | 45 |
| 10 |  PSIM Yogyakarta | 1 | 1 | 1% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 45 |
| 11 |  Java United | 1 | 1 | 0.9% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 45 |
| 12 |  Bhayangkara FC | 1 | 1 | 0.8% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 45 |
| 13 |  PSS Sleman | 1 | 0 | 0.2% | 1.8% | 34% | 40 |
| 14 |  PSM Makassar | 1 | 0 | 0.2% | 1.7% | 38.4% | 39 |
| 15 |  Persik Kediri | 1 | 0 | 0.1% | 2.5% | 34.5% | 40 |
| 16 |  Pusamania Borneo | 1 | 0 | 0.1% | 1.8% | 35.9% | 40 |
| 17 |  Persijap | 1 | 0 | 0.1% | 1.8% | 39% | 39 |
| 18 |  Isenmulang Kalteng | 1 | 0 | <0.1% | 1.2% | 48.2% | 38 |
Next Liga 1 fixtures — with AI predictions
- Garudayaksa – Persik KediriFri, Sep 11AI prediction →
- Dewa United – Bhayangkara FCFri, Sep 11AI prediction →
- PSS Sleman – Persepam Madura UtdSat, Sep 12AI prediction →
- Persija – Persib BandungSat, Sep 12AI prediction →
- Bali United – Isenmulang KaltengSat, Sep 12AI prediction →
- Persijap – Pusamania BorneoSat, Sep 12AI prediction →
- PSM Makassar – Arema FCSun, Sep 13AI prediction →
- Persita – Java UnitedSun, Sep 13AI prediction →
Methodology
Every remaining Liga 1 fixture is simulated 2,000 times with Betora's AI strength model, built from the live table, form and Elo ratings. The probabilities re-run automatically after every round.
Journalists and bloggers: you are welcome to cite or republish these numbers with a link to this page as the source.
Title race FAQ
Who will win Liga 1 in 2026/27?
Arema FC wins Liga 1 in 21.5% of our AI's season simulations — the current favourite. The probability table above shows every team's chances, updated after every round.
How are the title probabilities calculated?
We simulate every remaining fixture thousands of times using strength ratings built from the live table and form, then count how often each team finishes first, top 4 or bottom 3.
How often are the probabilities updated?
After every round — results change the table, the table changes the ratings, and the simulation re-runs automatically.