J1 League · 2026/27
J1 League Matchday 11 predictions
10 fixtures from October 21 to October 21. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Wednesday, October 21 · 10:00
Every fixture this round
Wednesday, October 21
1X2- 1–2
Avispa Fukuoka
Gamba Osaka40%32%28%✗ Miss - 0–0
FC Tokyo
Kashiwa Reysol45%28%27%✗ Miss - 2–1
Kawasaki Frontale
Vissel Kobe40%26%34%✓ Hit - 2–2
Kyoto Sanga
Kashima21%30%49%✗ Miss - 1–1
Nagoya Grampus
Cerezo Osaka43%31%26%✗ Miss - 2–0
Fagiano Okayama
Mito Hollyhock53%30%17%✓ Hit - 0–5
Shimizu S-pulse
Machida Zelvia21%32%47%✓ Hit - 4–0
V-varen Nagasaki
Sanfrecce Hiroshima12%24%64%✗ Miss - 2–2
Yokohama F. Marinos
Tokyo Verdy51%31%18%✗ Miss - 3–2
Urawa
JEF United Chiba56%28%16%✓ Hit
J1 League Matchday 11 runs from October 21 to October 21 with 10 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is V-varen Nagasaki - Sanfrecce Hiroshima: Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win at 64%. The tightest match is Avispa Fukuoka - Gamba Osaka, where no outcome clears 40%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- Avispa Fukuoka 1–2 Gamba Osaka, October 21: the model's pick was Avispa Fukuoka to win (40%) and it missed.
- FC Tokyo 0–0 Kashiwa Reysol, October 21: the model's pick was FC Tokyo to win (45%) and it missed.
- Kawasaki Frontale 2–1 Vissel Kobe, October 21: the model's pick was Kawasaki Frontale to win (40%) and it came in.
- Kyoto Sanga 2–2 Kashima, October 21: the model's pick was Kashima to win (49%) and it missed.
- Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Cerezo Osaka, October 21: the model's pick was Nagoya Grampus to win (43%) and it missed.
- Fagiano Okayama 2–0 Mito Hollyhock, October 21: the model's pick was Fagiano Okayama to win (53%) and it came in.
- Shimizu S-pulse 0–5 Machida Zelvia, October 21: the model's pick was Machida Zelvia to win (47%) and it came in.
- V-varen Nagasaki 4–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima, October 21: the model's pick was Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win (64%) and it missed.
- Yokohama F. Marinos 2–2 Tokyo Verdy, October 21: the model's pick was Yokohama F. Marinos to win (51%) and it missed.
- Urawa 3–2 JEF United Chiba, October 21: the model's pick was Urawa to win (56%) and it came in.
Matchday 11 FAQ
When is J1 League Matchday 11 played?
From October 21 to October 21. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 11?
V-varen Nagasaki - Sanfrecce Hiroshima: Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win at 64% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.