Liga 3 · 2026/27
Liga 3 Matchday 9 predictions
10 fixtures from November 6 to November 8. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Saturday, November 7 · 20:00
Every fixture this round
Friday, November 6
1X2Saturday, November 7
1X2Liga 3 Matchday 9 runs from November 6 to November 8 with 10 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is CF Os Belenenses - Lusitano Évora 1911: CF Os Belenenses to win at 64%. The tightest match is Caldas - Oliveirense, where no outcome clears 37%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- União Santarém 2–1 Mafra, November 6: the model's pick was Mafra to win (42%) and it missed.
- CF Os Belenenses 0–0 Lusitano Évora 1911, November 6: the model's pick was CF Os Belenenses to win (64%) and it missed.
- Caldas 0–1 Oliveirense, November 7: the model's pick was Oliveirense to win (37%) and it came in.
- Vianense 0–0 Leça, November 7: the model's pick was Leça to win (40%) and it missed.
- São João Ver 0–2 Guimaraes B, November 7: the model's pick was Guimaraes B to win (40%) and it came in.
- AD Marco 09 1–3 Paredes, November 7: the model's pick was Paredes to win (50%) and it came in.
- Louletano 2–0 SC Covilha, November 8: the model's pick was Louletano to win (45%) and it came in.
- Varzim 2–0 Fafe, November 8: the model's pick was Varzim to win (37%) and it came in.
- Vitória de Sernache 0–1 Atlético CP, November 8: the model's pick was Atlético CP to win (50%) and it came in.
- Pacos Ferreira 4–3 Trofense, November 8: the model's pick was Pacos Ferreira to win (56%) and it came in.
Matchday 9 FAQ
When is Liga 3 Matchday 9 played?
From November 6 to November 8. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 9?
CF Os Belenenses - Lusitano Évora 1911: CF Os Belenenses to win at 64% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.



















