Premiership · 2026/27
Premiership Matchday 4 predictions
6 fixtures from August 29 to August 30. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Saturday, August 29 · 14:00
Every fixture this round
Premiership Matchday 4 runs from August 29 to August 30 with 6 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is Celtic - Falkirk: Celtic to win at 77%. The tightest match is Kilmarnock - Dundee Utd, where no outcome clears 40%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- Celtic 2–1 Falkirk, August 29: the model's pick was Celtic to win (77%) and it came in.
- Kilmarnock 0–4 Dundee Utd, August 29: the model's pick was Kilmarnock to win (40%) and it missed.
- Heart Of Midlothian 2–1 ST Johnstone, August 29: the model's pick was Heart Of Midlothian to win (58%) and it came in.
- Aberdeen 0–1 Rangers, August 30: the model's pick was Rangers to win (49%) and it came in.
- ST Mirren 3–3 Motherwell, August 30: the model's pick was ST Mirren to win (40%) and it missed.
- Dundee 1–2 Hibernian, August 30: the model's pick was Hibernian to win (40%) and it came in.
Matchday 4 FAQ
When is Premiership Matchday 4 played?
From August 29 to August 30. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 4?
Celtic - Falkirk: Celtic to win at 77% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.











