Who Will Win Premiership?
2,000 season simulations · 24 remaining fixtures
We simulate the rest of the Premiership 2026/27 season thousands of times using our AI's match probabilities. Here's every team's chance of the title, a top-4 finish and a bottom-3 finish — updated after every round.
The headline calls
ST Mirren wins Premiership in 30.3% of 2,000 season simulations.
Motherwell — 27.5% title chance.
Falkirk goes down in 51% of simulations.
| # | Team | Pl | Pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Proj. Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  ST Mirren | 1 | 3 | 30.3% | 70.6% | 2.5% | 9 |
| 2 |  Motherwell | 1 | 3 | 27.5% | 74.6% | 1.4% | 10 |
| 3 |  ST Johnstone | 1 | 3 | 17.4% | 60.7% | 5.3% | 8 |
| 4 |  Aberdeen | 1 | 3 | 12.3% | 56.8% | 4.9% | 8 |
| 5 |  Rangers | 1 | 1 | 3% | 23.8% | 21.8% | 6 |
| 6 |  Dundee Utd | 1 | 1 | 2.4% | 24.9% | 22.1% | 6 |
| 7 |  Dundee | 0 | 0 | 1.8% | 20.1% | 28.9% | 6 |
| 8 |  Celtic | 0 | 0 | 1.7% | 17.8% | 33.3% | 6 |
| 9 |  Kilmarnock | 1 | 0 | 1.4% | 15.8% | 38.9% | 5 |
| 10 |  Hibernian | 1 | 0 | 1% | 13.7% | 43.6% | 5 |
| 11 |  Falkirk | 1 | 0 | 1% | 10.3% | 51% | 5 |
| 12 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 1 | 0 | 0.5% | 11.3% | 46.5% | 5 |
Next Premiership fixtures — with AI predictions
- ST Mirren – ST JohnstoneSat, Aug 8AI prediction →
- Dundee – AberdeenSat, Aug 8AI prediction →
- Kilmarnock – CelticSun, Aug 9AI prediction →
- Heart Of Midlothian – Dundee UtdSun, Aug 9AI prediction →
- Motherwell – FalkirkSun, Aug 9AI prediction →
- Rangers – HibernianSun, Aug 9AI prediction →
- Hibernian – KilmarnockSat, Aug 22AI prediction →
- Motherwell – AberdeenSat, Aug 22AI prediction →
Methodology
Every remaining Premiership fixture is simulated 2,000 times with Betora's AI strength model, built from the live table, form and Elo ratings. The probabilities re-run automatically after every round.
Journalists and bloggers: you are welcome to cite or republish these numbers with a link to this page as the source.
Title race FAQ
Who will win Premiership in 2026/27?
ST Mirren wins Premiership in 30.3% of our AI's season simulations — the current favourite. The probability table above shows every team's chances, updated after every round.
How are the title probabilities calculated?
We simulate every remaining fixture thousands of times using strength ratings built from the live table and form, then count how often each team finishes first, top 4 or bottom 3.
How often are the probabilities updated?
After every round — results change the table, the table changes the ratings, and the simulation re-runs automatically.