Thai League 1 · 2026/27
Thai League 1 Matchday 4 predictions
8 fixtures from October 9 to October 11. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Friday, October 9 · 11:00
Every fixture this round
Friday, October 9
1X2Saturday, October 10
1X2
Thai League 1 Matchday 4 runs from October 9 to October 11 with 8 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is Buriram United - Rayong FC: Buriram United to win at 79%. The tightest match is Sisaket United - Chonburi FC, where no outcome clears 40%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- Ratchaburi 6–0 Sukhothai FC, October 9: the model's pick was Ratchaburi to win (64%) and it came in.
- BG Pathum United 1–1 Ayutthaya FC, October 10: the model's pick was BG Pathum United to win (62%) and it missed.
- Buriram United 3–2 Rayong FC, October 10: the model's pick was Buriram United to win (79%) and it came in.
- Uthai Thani 4–2 Rasi Salai United, October 10: the model's pick was Uthai Thani to win (60%) and it came in.
- Prachuap 2–1 Chiangrai United, October 11: the model's pick was Prachuap to win (51%) and it came in.
- Lamphun Warrior 0–2 Bangkok United, October 11: the model's pick was Bangkok United to win (49%) and it came in.
- Sisaket United 2–1 Chonburi FC, October 11: the model's pick was Chonburi FC to win (40%) and it missed.
- Port FC 3–2 Pattani, October 11: the model's pick was Port FC to win (74%) and it came in.
Matchday 4 FAQ
When is Thai League 1 Matchday 4 played?
From October 9 to October 11. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 4?
Buriram United - Rayong FC: Buriram United to win at 79% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.