Thai League 1 · 2026/27
Thai League 1 Matchday 5 predictions
8 fixtures from October 16 to October 18. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Sunday, October 18 · 11:00
Every fixture this round
Friday, October 16
1X2Saturday, October 17
1X2Thai League 1 Matchday 5 runs from October 16 to October 18 with 8 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is Pattani - Buriram United: Buriram United to win at 72%. The tightest match is Chonburi FC - Prachuap, where no outcome clears 39%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- Ayutthaya FC 0–2 Lamphun Warrior, October 16: the model's pick was Ayutthaya FC to win (40%) and it missed.
- Sukhothai FC 5–1 Rasi Salai United, October 17: the model's pick was Sukhothai FC to win (46%) and it came in.
- Chonburi FC 1–2 Prachuap, October 17: the model's pick was Prachuap to win (39%) and it came in.
- Rayong FC 1–1 Uthai Thani, October 17: the model's pick was Uthai Thani to win (40%) and it missed.
- Bangkok United 0–2 Port FC, October 18: the model's pick was Bangkok United to win (48%) and it missed.
- Sisaket United 1–1 BG Pathum United, October 18: the model's pick was BG Pathum United to win (49%) and it missed.
- Chiangrai United 1–2 Ratchaburi, October 18: the model's pick was Ratchaburi to win (50%) and it came in.
- Pattani 0–1 Buriram United, October 18: the model's pick was Buriram United to win (72%) and it came in.
Matchday 5 FAQ
When is Thai League 1 Matchday 5 played?
From October 16 to October 18. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 5?
Pattani - Buriram United: Buriram United to win at 72% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.















