Süper Lig · 2026/27
Süper Lig Matchday 4 predictions
9 fixtures from September 4 to September 7. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Sunday, September 6 · 14:00
Every fixture this round
Friday, September 4
1X2Saturday, September 5
1X2Sunday, September 6
1X2Monday, September 7
1X2Süper Lig Matchday 4 runs from September 4 to September 7 with 9 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is Başakşehir - Galatasaray: Galatasaray to win at 60%. The tightest match is Erzurumspor FK - Konyaspor, where no outcome clears 40%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- Başakşehir 2–3 Galatasaray, September 4: the model's pick was Galatasaray to win (60%) and it came in.
- Erzurumspor FK 1–0 Konyaspor, September 5: the model's pick was Erzurumspor FK to win (40%) and it came in.
- Fenerbahçe 1–2 Beşiktaş, September 5: the model's pick was Fenerbahçe to win (51%) and it missed.
- Kasımpaşa 2–2 Amed, September 6: the model's pick was Kasımpaşa to win (44%) and it missed.
- Çorum FK 3–0 Eyüpspor, September 6: the model's pick was Çorum FK to win (52%) and it came in.
- Trabzonspor 5–0 Gençlerbirliği S.K., September 6: the model's pick was Trabzonspor to win (49%) and it came in.
- Kocaelispor 1–0 Samsunspor, September 6: the model's pick was Kocaelispor to win (40%) and it came in.
- Göztepe 2–4 Gaziantep FK, September 7: the model's pick was Göztepe to win (49%) and it missed.
- Rizespor 0–1 Alanyaspor, September 7: the model's pick was Rizespor to win (40%) and it missed.
Matchday 4 FAQ
When is Süper Lig Matchday 4 played?
From September 4 to September 7. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 4?
Başakşehir - Galatasaray: Galatasaray to win at 60% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.

















