Süper Lig · 2026/27
Süper Lig Matchday 5 predictions
9 fixtures from September 11 to September 14. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Sunday, September 13 · 17:00
Every fixture this round
Friday, September 11
1X2
Saturday, September 12
1X2
Sunday, September 13
1X2
Monday, September 14
1X2
Süper Lig Matchday 5 runs from September 11 to September 14 with 9 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is Beşiktaş - Erzurumspor FK: Beşiktaş to win at 81%. The tightest match is Gençlerbirliği S.K. - Kasımpaşa, where no outcome clears 40%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- Beşiktaş 3–0 Erzurumspor FK, September 11: the model's pick was Beşiktaş to win (81%) and it came in.
- Eyüpspor 0–2 Rizespor, September 12: the model's pick was Rizespor to win (50%) and it came in.
- Samsunspor 1–5 Çorum FK, September 12: the model's pick was Samsunspor to win (47%) and it missed.
- Konyaspor 1–0 Trabzonspor, September 12: the model's pick was Trabzonspor to win (49%) and it missed.
- Alanyaspor 2–2 Göztepe, September 12: the model's pick was Alanyaspor to win (43%) and it missed.
- Gençlerbirliği S.K. 1–2 Kasımpaşa, September 13: the model's pick was Gençlerbirliği S.K. to win (40%) and it missed.
- Galatasaray 1–0 Kocaelispor, September 13: the model's pick was Galatasaray to win (66%) and it came in.
- Amed 5–0 Başakşehir, September 13: the model's pick was Amed to win (40%) and it came in.
- Gaziantep FK 0–0 Fenerbahçe, September 14: the model's pick was Fenerbahçe to win (63%) and it missed.
Matchday 5 FAQ
When is Süper Lig Matchday 5 played?
From September 11 to September 14. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 5?
Beşiktaş - Erzurumspor FK: Beşiktaş to win at 81% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.