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  1. Home
  2. Premier League
  3. Lugazi vs Police

Lugazi vs Police

Result • Premier League·Lugazi·Police

Premier League
Premier League
Sep 16, 2026
13:00
low Confidence
Lugazi

Lugazi

Home
Final Score
0-2
Predicted: 0-1
Final Score
0-2
Predicted: 0-1
Odds
12.90
X2.90
22.30
Stadium
Lugazi FC Stadium
low Confidence
WINNER
Police

Police

Away
Odds
12.90
X2.90
22.30
Stadium
Lugazi FC Stadium
Win Probabilities
31%
Lugazi
29%
Draw
40%
Police
Home2.9031%
Draw2.9029%
Away2.3040%

Oracle's Vision

low Confidence
“

Police are favoured at 39%; our projected score is 0-1.

Our AI model analyzes this Premier League fixture between Lugazi and Police using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Lugazi a 31% win probability, a 29% chance of a draw, and Police a 40% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 0-1. Both teams to score probability: 33%. This prediction is rated as low confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 33%

Match Events

  1. 70'
    Goal: R. MatovuPolice
    Goal: R. Matovu
  2. 90'
    Goal: GoalPolice
    Goal: Goal
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Head-to-head →Injuries · LugaziInjuries · PoliceLive scores →

Statistical Context

Lugazi

WLWLD
  • WSep 9, 26A · Entebbe UPPC0-1
  • LSep 1, 26A · NEC3-1
  • WAug 29, 26H · Kigezi HomeBoyz2-1
  • LMay 23, 26H · Maroons0-1
  • DMay 19, 26A · Express0-0

Police

DLWDD
  • DSep 10, 26H · UPDF0-0
  • LSep 2, 26A · Blacks Power1-0
  • WAug 29, 26H · Mbarara City1-0
  • DMay 23, 26A · Kitara2-2
  • DMay 19, 26H · Entebbe UPPC1-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
4Blacks Power4+29LWWW
5Police4+27WDLW
6Entebbe UPPC4+17DLWW
7Lugazi4-26LWLW
8KCCA4-34WDLL

Head to Head

0
Lugazi
1
Draws
1
Police
  • Feb 12, 26Police – Lugazi2-1
  • Dec 10, 25Lugazi – Police1-1

Lugazi vs Police — Match Analysis

Police are favoured at 39%; our projected score is 0-1.

Lugazi host Police in the Premier League on Wednesday, 16 September 2026. Our model makes Police the favourite at 39%, with the draw at 30% and Lugazi at 31%.

Form and league position

Lugazi sit 6th of 18 with 6 points from 3 games (4 scored, 4 conceded), recent form D-L-W-L-W. Police sit 7th of 18 with 4 points from 3 games (1 scored, 1 conceded), recent form D-D-W-L-D.

Head-to-head record

The two sides have met 2 times in our records: Lugazi won 0, Police won 1 and 1 ended level, with an average of 2.5 goals per meeting.

Goals outlook

Attack-versus-defence rates give an expected score of 0.8–0.9, about 1.7 goals in total. That puts Over 2.5 goals at 23% and both teams to score at 33%.

Team news

No injuries or suspensions are reported for either squad.

What the market says

Bookmakers price Lugazi at 2.95, the draw at 2.90 and Police at 2.35; those prices are blended into the probabilities above.

Prediction

Police to win (39%), most likely score 0-1.

This preview is a model projection built from league standings, recent form, goal rates, reported absences and, where available, bookmaker prices. It is refreshed automatically as new data arrives.

Win Probabilities: Lugazi: 31% · Draw: 29% · Police: 40%

Predicted Score: 0-1 (14.8% chance)

Over 2.5: 23% · Under 2.5: 77% · BTTS: 33%

H2H: Lugazi wins: 0 · Draws: 1 · Police wins: 1

Form (latest first): Lugazi: WLWLD · Police: DLWDD

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Premier League

Premier League

Uganda15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Premier LeagueUganda
Vipers
Sep 1917:00
Ntugasaze
11.8953%
X4.5522%
24.0025%
Premier LeagueUganda
Maroons
Oct 713:00
Lugazi
12.1347%
X4.1724%
23.4529%
Premier LeagueUganda
Kitara
Oct 713:00
Kigezi HomeBoyz
12.0050%
X4.3523%
23.7027%
Premier LeagueUganda
Ntugasaze
Oct 713:00
Mbarara City
12.7836%
X3.5728%
22.7836%
Premier LeagueUganda
Kataka
Oct 713:00
SC Villa
13.3330%
X4.0025%
22.2245%
Premier LeagueUganda
UPDF
Oct 813:00
BUL
14.1724%
X4.7621%
21.8255%
Premier LeagueUganda
Blacks Power
Oct 813:00
Vipers
11.5266%
X5.8817%
25.8817%
Premier LeagueUganda
NEC
Oct 813:00
Express
11.6461%
X5.2619%
25.0020%
Premier LeagueUganda
Entebbe UPPC
Oct 914:00
Police
11.6760%
X5.2619%
24.7621%
Premier LeagueUganda
URA
Oct 917:00
KCCA
11.5963%
X5.5618%
25.2619%
Premier LeagueUganda
Kataka
Oct 1013:00
Kitara
12.8635%
X3.5728%
22.7037%
Premier LeagueUganda
Vipers
Oct 1113:00
Maroons
12.3343%
X4.0025%
23.1332%
Premier LeagueUganda
Mbarara City
Oct 1113:00
Blacks Power
14.5522%
X5.2619%
21.6959%
Premier LeagueUganda
Lugazi
Oct 1313:00
BUL
13.5728%
X4.3523%
22.0449%
Premier LeagueUganda
Ntugasaze
Oct 1313:00
KCCA
12.7037%
X3.5728%
22.8635%

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