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Today's Tips
Matches
Live
Play
  1. Home
  2. Série A
  3. Bahia vs Atletico-MG

Bahia vs Atletico-MG

Prediction • Série A·Bahia·Atletico-MG

Série A
Série A
Dec 2, 2026
21:00
Early projection · Odds pending
PREDICTED WINNER
Bahia

Bahia

Home
VS
VS
Stadium
Arena Fonte Nova
Early projection · Odds pending
Atletico-MG

Atletico-MG

Away
Stadium
Arena Fonte Nova
Win Probabilities
48%
Bahia
24%
Draw
28%
Atletico-MG
Home2.0848%
Draw4.1724%
Away3.5728%

Oracle's Vision

Early projection
“

Bahia are favored at 48% to win at home against Atletico-MG. The draw is rated 24% and the away win 28%, so the numbers point to a home result.

See our exact score, over/under 2.5 and BTTS call for Bahia vs Atletico-MG.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
4.0Bahia
/10
2.0Atletico-MG
Bahia
FormLatest first
WDLWL
Win Rate40%
Atletico-MG
FormLatest first
LLLLW
Win Rate20%
Momentum AdvantageBahia+2.0

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Match stats predictions

StarterBahia – Atletico-MG

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Bahia
Home

Bahia

Form
LWLDW
Latest first
7
Pos
60
Pts
+6
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 33 matches)

Clean Sheets927%
Goal Diff+6
  • Strong home record (8W-6D-3L)
  • Better head-to-head record (62% strength)
  • Slight overall statistical advantage (52.2% vs 47.8%)

Key Players

Luciano Juba
Luciano Juba
7.1
Goals
7
Assists
1
N. Acevedo
N. Acevedo
7.0
Goals
0
Assists
0
Dell
Red Card
Suspended
S. Ramos
Yellow Cards
Suspended
Ze Guilherme
Yellow Cards
Suspended
Kanu
Yellow Cards
Suspended
David Duarte
Yellow Cards
Suspended
Luciano Juba
Yellow Cards
Suspended
R. Gomez
Yellow Cards
Suspended
Erick
Yellow Cards
Suspended
Rodrigo
Yellow Cards
Suspended
Everaldo
Red Card
Suspended
Nicolas Acevedo
Yellow Cards
Suspended
Jean Lucas
Yellow Cards
Suspended
C. Olivera
Yellow Cards
Suspended
Erick Pulga
Yellow Cards
Suspended
Michel Araujo
Hamstring Injury
Injured
Sidney Duarte
Injury
Injured
M. Moreno
Lacking Match Fitness
Injured
Caio Alexandre
Hamstring Injury
Injured
Gilberto
Muscle Injury
Injured
Everton Ribeiro
Inactive
Injured
Leo Vieira
Knee Injury
Injured
Willian Jose
Hamstring Injury
Injured
Ronaldo Strada
Shoulder Injury
Injured
Ademir
Injury
Injured
Ruan Pablo
Ankle Injury
Injured
M. Sanabria
Inactive
Injured
Atletico-MG
Away

Atletico-MG

Form
DWDWL
Latest first
11
Pos
48
Pts
+5
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 33 matches)

Clean Sheets824%
Goal Diff+5
  • Stronger attack rating (58% vs 42%)
  • Capable of scoring goals despite recent struggles
  • Experienced players in key positions

Key Players

Ruan Tressoldi
Ruan Tressoldi
6.9
Goals
1
Assists
0
Renan Lodi
Renan Lodi
6.8
Goals
0
Assists
2
I. Roman
Yellow Cards
Suspended
Natanael
Red Card
Suspended
Vitor Hugo
Yellow Cards
Suspended
A. Franco
Yellow Cards
Suspended
T. Perez
Red Card
Suspended
Fred
Muscle Injury
Injured
Lyanco
Foot Injury
Injured
A. Preciado
Rest
Injured
Rony
Inactive
Injured
Alexsander
Knee Injury
Injured
M. Cassierra
Muscle Injury
Injured
Junior Santos
Inactive
Injured
M. Cisse
Thigh Injury
Injured
Maycon
Inactive
Injured
K. Castano
International duty
Injured
K. Pascini
International duty
Injured
Vitao
International duty
Injured
Ruan Tressoldi
Muscle Injury
Injured
A. Minda
Rest
Injured
Patrick Silva
Knee Injury
Injured
Indio
Knee Injury
Injured
R. Lodi
Suspended
Suspended
Cuello
Ribs Injury
Injured
Hulk
Inactive
Injured
Victor Hugo
Hamstring Injury
Injured
Everson
Foot Injury
Injured
Gustavo Scarpa
Muscle Injury
Injured
Igor Gomes
Knee Injury
Injured
L. Duarte
Hamstring Injury
Injured
J. Alonso
International duty
Injured
T. Borbas
Muscle Injury
Injured
Reinier
Injury
Injured

Head to Head

Last 10
Bahia
Bahia
4Wins
2
Draws
Atletico-MG
4Wins
Atletico-MG
40%20%40%

Recent Matches

Last 10
Jul212026
Atletico-MGAtletico-MG
1-1
Draw
BahiaBahia
Nov52025
Atletico-MGAtletico-MG
3-0
Loss
BahiaBahia
Jul132025
BahiaBahia
2-1
Win
Atletico-MGAtletico-MG
Sep152024
BahiaBahia
3-0
Win
Atletico-MGAtletico-MG
Jun22024
Atletico-MGAtletico-MG
1-1
Draw
BahiaBahia
Dec72023
BahiaBahia
4-1
Win
Atletico-MGAtletico-MG
Aug132023
Atletico-MGAtletico-MG
1-0
Loss
BahiaBahia
Dec22021
BahiaBahia
2-3
Loss
Atletico-MGAtletico-MG
Aug52021
BahiaBahia
2-1
Win
Atletico-MGAtletico-MG
Jul292021
Atletico-MGAtletico-MG
2-0
Loss
BahiaBahia

Past Predictions

0%0/1 correct

Atletico-MG 1 - 1 Bahia

Jul 21, 2026

46% / 28% / 26%

Bahia5-3-2vs4-1-4-1Atletico-MGPredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Tactical matchup will test both managers' adaptability.

See the full predicted line-ups ↓

Injury Report

Current team availability status

Data Accuracy: Player availability is highly accurate (~90%), but specific injury diagnoses and recovery timelines may not reflect the latest medical updates (~70% accuracy).

Bahia

26Out

12 key players

Atletico-MG

32Out

27 key players

Bahia

Team

Bahia

Players Out

26(12 key)
Dell

Dell

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
S. Ramos

S. Ramos

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
Ze Guilherme

Ze Guilherme

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
Kanu

Kanu

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
David Duarte

David Duarte

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
Luciano Juba

Luciano Juba

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
R. Gomez

R. Gomez

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
Erick

Erick

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
Rodrigo

Rodrigo

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
Everaldo

Everaldo

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
Nicolas Acevedo

Nicolas Acevedo

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
Jean Lucas

Jean Lucas

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
C. Olivera

C. Olivera

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
Erick Pulga

Erick Pulga

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
Michel Araujo

Michel Araujo

MODERATE
Injury:Hamstring Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

Sidney Duarte

Sidney Duarte

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

M. Moreno

M. Moreno

MODERATE
Injury:Lacking Match Fitness

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Caio Alexandre

Caio Alexandre

MODERATE
Injury:Hamstring Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

Gilberto

Gilberto

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

Everton Ribeiro

Everton Ribeiro

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Leo Vieira

Leo Vieira

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

Willian Jose

Willian Jose

MODERATE
Injury:Hamstring Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

Ronaldo Strada

Ronaldo Strada

MODERATE
Injury:Shoulder Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Ademir

Ademir

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Ruan Pablo

Ruan Pablo

MODERATE
Injury:Ankle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-8 weeks

M. Sanabria

M. Sanabria

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Atletico-MG

Team

Atletico-MG

Players Out

32(27 key)
I. Roman

I. Roman

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
Natanael

Natanael

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
Vitor Hugo

Vitor Hugo

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
A. Franco

A. Franco

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
T. Perez

T. Perez

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
Fred

Fred

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

Lyanco

Lyanco

MODERATE
Injury:Foot Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-8 weeks

A. Preciado

A. Preciado

MODERATE
Injury:Rest

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Rony

Rony

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Alexsander

Alexsander

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

M. Cassierra

M. Cassierra

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

Junior Santos

Junior Santos

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

M. Cisse

M. Cisse

MODERATE
Injury:Thigh Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

Maycon

Maycon

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

K. Castano

K. Castano

MODERATE
Injury:International duty

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

K. Pascini

K. Pascini

MODERATE
Injury:International duty

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Vitao

Vitao

MODERATE
Injury:International duty

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Ruan Tressoldi

Ruan Tressoldi

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

A. Minda

A. Minda

MODERATE
Injury:Rest

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Patrick Silva

Patrick Silva

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

Indio

Indio

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

R. Lodi

R. Lodi

MODERATE
Status:Suspended
Cuello

Cuello

MODERATE
Injury:Ribs Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Hulk

Hulk

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Victor Hugo

Victor Hugo

MODERATE
Injury:Hamstring Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

Everson

Everson

MODERATE
Injury:Foot Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-8 weeks

Gustavo Scarpa

Gustavo Scarpa

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

Igor Gomes

Igor Gomes

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

L. Duarte

L. Duarte

MODERATE
Injury:Hamstring Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

J. Alonso

J. Alonso

MODERATE
Injury:International duty

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

T. Borbas

T. Borbas

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

Reinier

Reinier

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Série A

League Statistics

Série A • Standings & Top Performers

Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Flamengo
3322746828+4073
2
Palmeiras
33201035622+3470
3
Cruzeiro
33176105246+657
4
Fluminense
3315995242+1054
5
Atletico Paranaense
3315995040+1054
6
BahiaHome
33141184842+653
7
Atletico-MGAway
33148114439+550
8
RB Bragantino
34138134439+547
9
Santos
341211115049+147
10
Sao Paulo
33127143939043
11
Coritiba
33119134050-1042
12
Botafogo
33109144553-839
13
Vasco DA Gama
32108144049-938
14
Vitoria
33108153548-1338
15
Gremio
33910143744-737
16
Mirassol
33910143747-1037
17
Corinthians
3399153642-636
18
Internacional
33811143742-535
19
Remo
33611163651-1529
20
Chapecoense-sc
3249193266-3421
Champions League
Relegation
HomeAway

Oracle's Vision

Early projection

Bahia

Odds pending

Win Probabilities

48%Bahia
24%Draw
28%Atletico-MG

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
KickoffWed, Dec 2 · 21:00
StadiumArena Fonte Nova
League StatsSérie A

More information

Brazil Série A predicted line-ups: Gameweek 3410/10Line-upsBahia – Atletico-MGHead-to-headBahia – Atletico-MGInjuriesBahiaInjuriesAtletico-MGLive scores

Statistical Context

Bahia

WDLWL
  • WOct 29, 26H · Sao Paulo3-2
  • DOct 25, 26A · Santos1-1
  • LOct 18, 26H · Flamengo0-3
  • WOct 11, 26H · Mirassol1-0
  • LOct 9, 26A · Palmeiras1-0

Atletico-MG

LLLLW
  • LNov 1, 26A · Gremio2-0
  • LOct 29, 26H · Cruzeiro0-1
  • LOct 26, 26A · Flamengo3-2
  • LOct 21, 26A · Atletico Torque2-0
  • WOct 17, 26H · Coritiba1-0

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
5Atletico Paranaense33+1054LDLWD
6Bahia33+653WDLWL
7Atletico-MG33+550LLWWD
8RB Bragantino34+547WWLDW

Head to Head

4
Bahia
2
Draws
4
Atletico-MG
  • Jul 21, 26Atletico-MG – Bahia1-1
  • Nov 5, 25Atletico-MG – Bahia3-0
  • Jul 13, 25Bahia – Atletico-MG2-1
  • Sep 15, 24Bahia – Atletico-MG3-0
  • Jun 2, 24Atletico-MG – Bahia1-1

Season Statistics — 2026

BahiaAtletico-MG
Played3333
Goals Scored4844
Goals Conceded4239
Avg Scored1.41.3
Avg Conceded1.31.2
Clean Sheets98

Predicted line-ups: Bahia vs Atletico-MG

Predicted XI

Bahia

5-3-2Formation· Coach: Rogério Ceni

Atletico-MG

4-1-4-1Formation· Coach: Luiz Felipe Scolari

  1. 1Gabriel Delfim
  1. 3Léo Duarte
  2. 6Renan Lodi
  3. 40Vitão
  4. 32Luis Chaves
  1. 15K. Castaño
  1. 39Mamady Cisse
  2. 25T. Pérez
  3. 11Bernard
  4. 28T. Cuello
  1. 29Caua
  1. 9A. Véliz
  2. 57Çağatay Yılmaz
  1. 10Éverton Ribeiro
  2. 5N. Acevedo
  3. 11Rodrigo Nestor
  1. 31Roman Gomez
  2. 43Luiz Gustavo
  3. 44Marcos Victor
  4. 3Marco Moreno
  5. 66Zé Guilherme
  1. 17G. Herrera

Bench

  • 1Ronaldo
  • 15M. Araújo
  • 22Léo Vieira
  • 91J. C. Neres dos Santos I.
  • 61Victor
  • 83Fred
  • 63David Martins

Out

  • Dell · Red Card
  • S. Ramos · Yellow Cards
  • Ze Guilherme · Yellow Cards
  • Kanu · Yellow Cards
  • David Duarte · Yellow Cards
  • Luciano Juba · Yellow Cards
  • R. Gomez · Yellow Cards
  • Erick · Yellow Cards

Bench

  • 92Dudu
  • 46Pedro Cobra
  • 64Guilherme Pires
  • 31Robert
  • 53Pedro Lemos
  • 34Samuel
  • 58Soares Eric

Out

  • I. Roman · Yellow Cards
  • Natanael · Red Card
  • Vitor Hugo · Yellow Cards
  • A. Franco · Yellow Cards
  • T. Perez · Red Card
  • Fred · Muscle Injury
  • Lyanco · Foot Injury
  • A. Preciado · Rest

Predicted line-ups based on recent matches and absences; official line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.

Bahia vs Atletico-MG — Expert Prediction & Analysis

Bahia are favored at 48% to win at home against Atletico-MG. The draw is rated 24% and the away win 28%, so the numbers point to a home result.

Bahia are narrow favourites at home, with the model and statistical comparison both pointing to a slight edge for the hosts. The baseline probabilities and API-Football model agree that Bahia are more likely to win, though the expected goals data suggests a low-scoring affair.…

Win Probabilities: Bahia: 48% · Draw: 24% · Atletico-MG: 28%

H2H: Bahia wins: 4 · Draws: 2 · Atletico-MG wins: 4

Form (latest first): Bahia: WDLWL · Atletico-MG: LLLLW

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Série A

Série A

Brazil15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Série ABrazil
Chapecoense-sc
Nov 322:30
Mirassol
14.0025%
X3.2331%
22.2744%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Série ABrazil
Internacional
Nov 400:30
Coritiba
11.7956%
X3.7027%
25.8817%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Série ABrazil
Flamengo
Nov 422:30
Gremio
11.2878%
X6.2516%
216.676%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Série ABrazil
Atletico Paranaense
Nov 422:30
Vasco DA Gama
12.6338%
X3.2331%
23.2331%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Série ABrazil
Botafogo
Nov 500:30
Atletico-MG
12.4441%
X3.4529%
23.3330%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Série ABrazil
Sao Paulo
Nov 500:30
Corinthians
12.1347%
X3.1332%
24.7621%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Série ABrazil
Palmeiras
Nov 522:30
Remo
11.2779%
X6.6715%
216.676%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Série ABrazil
Cruzeiro
Nov 600:30
Bahia
11.9252%
X3.4529%
25.2619%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Série ABrazil
Vitoria
Nov 623:00
Fluminense
14.1724%
X3.1332%
22.2744%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Série ABrazil
Mirassol
Nov 1421:30
Atletico-MG
Early projection
13.0333%
X3.8526%
22.4441%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Série ABrazil
Coritiba
Nov 1822:30
Santos
Early projection
12.8635%
X3.7027%
22.6338%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Série ABrazil
Remo
Nov 1823:00
Chapecoense-sc
Early projection
11.8953%
X4.5522%
24.0025%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Série ABrazil
Flamengo
Nov 1823:30
Atletico Paranaense
Early projection
11.6959%
X5.0020%
24.7621%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Série ABrazil
Cruzeiro
Nov 1823:30
Palmeiras
Early projection
13.2331%
X4.0025%
22.2744%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Série ABrazil
Gremio
Nov 1900:30
Bahia
Early projection
13.3330%
X4.1724%
22.1746%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access

Betting Tips

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