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Matches
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Pricing
  1. Home
  2. Série A
  3. Santos vs Coritiba

Santos vs Coritiba

Result • Série A·Santos·Coritiba

Série A
Série A
May 17, 2026
14:00
high Confidence
Santos

Santos

Home
Final Score
0-3
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
0-3
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
11.70
X3.50
25.50
Stadium
Neo Química Arena
high Confidence
WINNER
Coritiba

Coritiba

Away
Odds
11.70
X3.50
25.50
Stadium
Neo Química Arena
Win Probabilities
53%
Santos
32%
Draw
15%
Coritiba
Home1.7053%
Draw3.5032%
Away5.5015%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Santos's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Coritiba, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Our AI model analyzes this Série A fixture between Santos and Coritiba using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Santos a 53% win probability, a 32% chance of a draw, and Coritiba a 15% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 50%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 50%
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1Gabriel Barbosa vs Coritiba defense: Santos' top scorer faces a vulnerable backline that concedes 1.8 goals per game.
2Breno Lopes vs Santos defense: Coritiba's leading scorer must overcome Santos' strong defensive rating (60%).
3Midfield control: Both teams use 4-2-3-1, so the double pivot battle will be crucial for possession and transitions.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Santos

  • Strong head-to-head record
  • Solid defense (60% defensive rating)
  • Inconsistent form
  • Three doubtful players

Coritiba

  • Higher league position (10th)
  • Top scorer Breno Lopes (5 goals)
  • Poor defensive record (1.8 goals conceded per game)
  • Failed to score in 2 of last 5

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
53%
API-Football
45%
49%
Santos493913

Moderate agreement on home win (49%).

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Santos is predicted to win this match based on strong odds support and favorable head-to-head record.

Form Analysis: Santos has a mixed recent form (WDDLW) but averages 1.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded, while Coritiba (DLLWD) concedes 1.8 goals per game and has failed to score in 2 of the last 5 matches.

Key Factors: Head-to-head heavily favors Santos (7 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss in last 10 meetings). Santos also has a strong home advantage and a higher overall team comparison (69% vs 31%). Coritiba's defensive vulnerabilities and lack of scoring consistency are decisive.

Conclusion: With Santos' historical dominance, home support, and Coritiba's poor form, a home win is the most likely outcome.

Statistical ContextSantos

Double chance : Santos or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
SantosCoritiba
69%Strength31%
53%Attacking Potential47%
60%Defensive Potential40%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
93%H2H Strength7%
91%Goals H2H9%
69%Wins the Game31%
Line-ups →Head-to-head →Injuries · SantosInjuries · Coritiba</> Embed this prediction

Statistical Context

Santos

LWDWL
  • LSep 9, 26A · Atletico-MG2-0
  • WSep 6, 26A · Internacional2-3
  • DSep 3, 26H · Palmeiras0-0
  • WAug 30, 26A · Corinthians0-1
  • LAug 27, 26A · Palmeiras3-0

Coritiba

DLWWD
  • DSep 12, 26H · Atletico Paranaense3-3
  • LSep 6, 26H · Mirassol1-2
  • WAug 31, 26A · Remo2-3
  • WAug 23, 26H · Corinthians2-1
  • DAug 16, 26A · Sao Paulo1-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
6Cruzeiro26+142WLWWW
7Coritiba26-137LWWDW
8Atletico-MG25+236LWDWD
9RB Bragantino25+335LLWDL
10Sao Paulo25+333WWLDL
11Vitoria26-1232WLLWL
12Corinthians26032LLLLW
13Santos25-132WWDWL
14Botafogo25-331DLLLD

Head to Head

7
Santos
2
Draws
1
Coritiba
  • May 13, 26Coritiba – Santos0-2
  • Apr 22, 26Santos – Coritiba0-0
  • Nov 12, 24Coritiba – Santos0-2
  • Jul 22, 24Santos – Coritiba4-0
  • Oct 27, 23Santos – Coritiba2-1

Season Statistics — 2026

SantosCoritiba
Played2526
Goals Scored3734
Goals Conceded3835
Avg Scored1.51.3
Avg Conceded1.51.4
Clean Sheets66

Santos vs Coritiba — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Santos's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Coritiba, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Santos is predicted to win this match based on strong odds support and favorable head-to-head record.

Form Analysis: Santos has a mixed recent form (WDDLW) but averages 1.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded, while Coritiba (DLLWD) concedes 1.8 goals per game and has failed to score in 2 of the last 5 matches.

Key Factors: Head-to-head heavily favors Santos (7 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss in last 10 meetings). Santos also has a strong home advantage and a higher overall team comparison (69% vs 31%). Coritiba's defensive vulnerabilities and lack of scoring consistency are decisive.

Conclusion: With Santos' historical dominance, home support, and Coritiba's poor form, a home win is the most likely outcome.

Win Probabilities: Santos: 53% · Draw: 32% · Coritiba: 15%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 50%

H2H: Santos wins: 7 · Draws: 2 · Coritiba wins: 1

Form (latest first): Santos: LWDWL · Coritiba: DLWWD

  • Gabriel Barbosa vs Coritiba defense: Santos' top scorer faces a vulnerable backline that concedes 1.8 goals per game.
  • Breno Lopes vs Santos defense: Coritiba's leading scorer must overcome Santos' strong defensive rating (60%).
  • Midfield control: Both teams use 4-2-3-1, so the double pivot battle will be crucial for possession and transitions.

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Série A

Série A

Brazil15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Série ABrazil
Gremio
Sep 1219:00
Vasco DA Gama
12.1746%
X3.1332%
24.5522%
Série ABrazil
Atletico-MG
Sep 1219:00
Fluminense
12.5040%
X3.2331%
23.4529%
Série ABrazil
Chapecoense-sc
Sep 1220:00
Internacional
13.8526%
X2.9434%
22.5040%
Série ABrazil
Palmeiras
Sep 1221:30
Sao Paulo
11.6760%
X3.8526%
27.1414%
Série ABrazil
Botafogo
Sep 1223:30
RB Bragantino
12.2245%
X3.1332%
24.3523%
Série ABrazil
Santos
Sep 1300:00
Cruzeiro
13.5728%
X3.1332%
22.5040%
Série ABrazil
Mirassol
Sep 1319:00
Vitoria
11.9651%
X3.2331%
25.5618%
Série ABrazil
Flamengo
Sep 1320:30
Corinthians
11.5664%
X3.8526%
210.0010%
Série ABrazil
Bahia
Sep 1423:00
Remo
11.5664%
X4.7621%
26.6715%
Série ABrazil
Botafogo
Sep 1622:30
Gremio
11.8554%
X3.5728%
25.5618%
Série ABrazil
Atletico-MG
Sep 1919:00
Chapecoense-sc
Early projection
11.4569%
X6.2516%
26.6715%
Série ABrazil
Mirassol
Sep 1920:00
Botafogo
Early projection
12.7836%
X3.7027%
22.7037%
Série ABrazil
Remo
Sep 1921:30
Santos
Early projection
12.7836%
X3.5728%
22.7836%
Série ABrazil
Vasco DA Gama
Sep 1923:30
Coritiba
Early projection
12.7836%
X3.5728%
22.7836%
Série ABrazil
Sao Paulo
Sep 2000:00
Internacional
Early projection
11.8953%
X4.5522%
24.0025%

Betting Tips

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