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Matches
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  1. Home
  2. Série A
  3. Bahia vs Gremio

Bahia vs Gremio

Result • Série A·Bahia·Gremio

Série A
Série A
May 17, 2026
19:00
medium Confidence
DRAW
Bahia

Bahia

Home
Final Score
1-1
Predicted: 1-1
Final Score
1-1
Predicted: 1-1
Odds
11.67
X4.00
25.00
Stadium
Arena Fonte Nova
medium Confidence
DRAW
Gremio

Gremio

Away
Odds
11.67
X4.00
25.00
Stadium
Arena Fonte Nova
Win Probabilities
35%
Bahia
33%
Draw
32%
Gremio
Home1.6735%
Draw4.0033%
Away5.0032%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Bahia's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Gremio, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Our AI model analyzes this Série A fixture between Bahia and Gremio using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Bahia a 35% win probability, a 33% chance of a draw, and Gremio a 32% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-1. Both teams to score probability: 50%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 50%

Match Events

  1. 36'
    Yellow Card: J. EnamoradoGremio
    Yellow Card: J. Enamorado
  2. 46'
    Substitution: Gabriel MecGremio · Out: Willian
    Substitution: Gabriel MecOut: Willian
  3. Yellow Card: Kanu
    57'
    Yellow Card: KanuBahia
  4. 60'
    Substitution: V. RamonGremio · Out: Marcos Rocha
    Substitution: V. RamonOut: Marcos Rocha
  5. 60'
    Substitution: F. AmuzuGremio · Out: J. Enamorado
    Substitution: F. AmuzuOut: J. Enamorado
  6. 60'
    Substitution: M. BraithwaiteGremio · Out: Carlos Vinicius
    Substitution: M. BraithwaiteOut: Carlos Vinicius
  7. Substitution: Iago BorduchiOut: Luciano Juba
    60'
    Substitution: Iago BorduchiBahia · Out: Luciano Juba
  8. Substitution: M. SanabriaOut: Ademir
    60'
    Substitution: M. SanabriaBahia · Out: Ademir
  9. 62'
    Goal: VieryGremio · Assist: Pedro Gabriel
    Goal: VieryAssist: Pedro Gabriel
  10. 65'
    Yellow Card: Pedro GabrielGremio
    Yellow Card: Pedro Gabriel
  11. Substitution: RodrigoOut: Everton Ribeiro
    67'
    Substitution: RodrigoBahia · Out: Everton Ribeiro
  12. Substitution: EveraldoOut: Willian Jose
    67'
    Substitution: EveraldoBahia · Out: Willian Jose
  13. Goal: M. Sanabria
    72'
    Goal: M. SanabriaBahia
  14. Yellow Card: Nicolas Acevedo
    74'
    Yellow Card: Nicolas AcevedoBahia
  15. 78'
    Substitution: Bernardo ZorteaGremio · Out: E. Noriega
    Substitution: Bernardo ZorteaOut: E. Noriega
  16. Yellow Card: Erick Pulga
    79'
    Yellow Card: Erick PulgaBahia
  17. 80'
    Yellow Card: V. RamonGremio
    Yellow Card: V. Ramon
  18. Substitution: Caio SuassunaOut: Gilberto
    84'
    Substitution: Caio SuassunaBahia · Out: Gilberto
  19. 89'
    Yellow Card: Andre HenriqueGremio
    Yellow Card: Andre Henrique
  20. 90+1'
    Yellow Card: Gabriel MecGremio
    Yellow Card: Gabriel Mec
  21. Yellow Card: Rodrigo
    90+1'
    Yellow Card: RodrigoBahia
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1Luciano Juba vs Gremio defense: Bahia's top scorer faces a resolute backline that has kept 4 clean sheets in 5 games.
2Carlos Vinicius vs Bahia defense: Gremio's main goal threat against a defense that has conceded in every recent match.
3Midfield control: Bahia's midfield vs Gremio's double pivot will be crucial in dictating tempo.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Bahia

  • Strong attack (88% rating)
  • Home advantage
  • Poor defense (no clean sheets in 5)
  • Recent losing streak (2 losses)

Gremio

  • Excellent defense (4 clean sheets in 5)
  • Resilient away form
  • Poor league position (17th)
  • Offensive struggles (failed to score in 3 of last 5)

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
35%
API-Football
45%
40%
Bahia403921

Models disagree significantly. Suggests home win (40%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisMedium Confidence

Based on the data, this match is highly balanced with a slight edge to Bahia due to home advantage and superior attack, but Gremio's excellent defense and recent clean sheets make them a tough opponent.

Form Analysis: Bahia has lost 2 consecutive matches and has no clean sheets in the last 5, conceding 2.2 goals per game. Gremio, despite being in poor league position, has kept 4 clean sheets in the last 5 games, showing defensive resilience. However, Gremio has failed to score in 3 of those 5 games, indicating offensive struggles.

Key Factors: 1) Gremio's strong defense (4 clean sheets in 5) vs Bahia's leaky defense (no clean sheets). 2) Bahia's superior attack (88% rating) and home advantage. 3) Head-to-head is evenly balanced (3 wins each, 4 draws in last 10). 4) Gremio has 4 injury doubts, which may weaken their lineup.

Conclusion: The match is too close to call with confidence. Bahia's home form and attacking strength are countered by Gremio's defensive solidity. A draw is a very plausible outcome, but Bahia's slight edge in attack and home support gives them a marginal advantage.

Statistical ContextBahia

Combo Double chance : Bahia or draw and -3.5 goals

Team Comparison

AI Powered
BahiaGremio
62%Strength37%
88%Attacking Potential13%
25%Defensive Potential75%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
60%H2H Strength40%
78%Goals H2H22%
62%Wins the Game37%
Head-to-head →Injuries · BahiaInjuries · Gremio

Statistical Context

Bahia

WWWWD
  • WSep 14, 26H · Remo2-1
  • WSep 5, 26A · RB Bragantino2-3
  • WAug 30, 26H · Internacional3-2
  • WAug 23, 26A · Vitoria0-2
  • DAug 16, 26A · Chapecoense-sc3-3

Gremio

LLWWD
  • LSep 12, 26H · Vasco DA Gama1-2
  • LSep 7, 26A · Vitoria1-0
  • WSep 3, 26H · Internacional3-1
  • WAug 30, 26H · Chapecoense-sc3-1
  • DAug 27, 26A · Internacional0-0

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
3Atletico Paranaense27+1046DLDWD
4Bahia27+946WWWWD
5Fluminense27+645LWDWW
15Mirassol27-1129DWLDD
16Gremio26-728LLWLL
17Vasco DA Gama26-1228WLWLL

Head to Head

3
Bahia
4
Draws
3
Gremio
  • Oct 19, 25Bahia – Gremio4-0
  • May 25, 25Gremio – Bahia1-0
  • Aug 17, 24Gremio – Bahia0-2
  • Apr 28, 24Bahia – Gremio1-0
  • Nov 4, 23Gremio – Bahia1-0

Season Statistics — 2026

BahiaGremio
Played2625
Goals Scored4027
Goals Conceded3233
Avg Scored1.51.1
Avg Conceded1.21.3
Clean Sheets85

Bahia vs Gremio — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Bahia's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Gremio, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Based on the data, this match is highly balanced with a slight edge to Bahia due to home advantage and superior attack, but Gremio's excellent defense and recent clean sheets make them a tough opponent.

Form Analysis: Bahia has lost 2 consecutive matches and has no clean sheets in the last 5, conceding 2.2 goals per game. Gremio, despite being in poor league position, has kept 4 clean sheets in the last 5 games, showing defensive resilience. However, Gremio has failed to score in 3 of those 5 games, indicating offensive struggles.

Key Factors: 1) Gremio's strong defense (4 clean sheets in 5) vs Bahia's leaky defense (no clean sheets). 2) Bahia's superior attack (88% rating) and home advantage. 3) Head-to-head is evenly balanced (3 wins each, 4 draws in last 10). 4) Gremio has 4 injury doubts, which may weaken their lineup.

Conclusion: The match is too close to call with confidence. Bahia's home form and attacking strength are countered by Gremio's defensive solidity. A draw is a very plausible outcome, but Bahia's slight edge in attack and home support gives them a marginal advantage.

Win Probabilities: Bahia: 35% · Draw: 33% · Gremio: 32%

Predicted Score: 1-1 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 45% · Under 2.5: 55% · BTTS: 50%

H2H: Bahia wins: 3 · Draws: 4 · Gremio wins: 3

Form (latest first): Bahia: WWWWD · Gremio: LLWWD

  • Luciano Juba vs Gremio defense: Bahia's top scorer faces a resolute backline that has kept 4 clean sheets in 5 games.
  • Carlos Vinicius vs Bahia defense: Gremio's main goal threat against a defense that has conceded in every recent match.
  • Midfield control: Bahia's midfield vs Gremio's double pivot will be crucial in dictating tempo.

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Série A

Série A

Brazil15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Série ABrazil
Botafogo
Sep 1622:30
Gremio
11.8554%
X3.5728%
25.5618%
Série ABrazil
Atletico-MG
Sep 1919:00
Chapecoense-sc
11.5664%
X4.0025%
29.0911%
Série ABrazil
Mirassol
Sep 1920:00
Botafogo
12.4441%
X2.9434%
24.0025%
Série ABrazil
Remo
Sep 1921:30
Santos
13.7027%
X3.0333%
22.5040%
Série ABrazil
Vasco DA Gama
Sep 1923:30
Coritiba
12.0848%
X3.5728%
24.1724%
Série ABrazil
Sao Paulo
Sep 2000:00
Internacional
12.0050%
X3.2331%
25.2619%
Série ABrazil
Gremio
Sep 2014:00
Palmeiras
14.5522%
X3.3330%
22.0848%
Série ABrazil
Corinthians
Sep 2019:00
Fluminense
12.5040%
X3.3330%
23.3330%
Série ABrazil
Vitoria
Sep 2019:00
Cruzeiro
13.7027%
X3.0333%
22.5040%
Série ABrazil
Flamengo
Sep 2021:30
RB Bragantino
11.5664%
X4.1724%
28.3312%
Série ABrazil
Atletico Paranaense
Sep 2022:30
Bahia
12.2744%
X3.4529%
23.7027%
Série ABrazil
Internacional
Oct 722:30
Corinthians
Early projection
12.7836%
X3.5728%
22.7836%
Série ABrazil
RB Bragantino
Oct 722:30
Mirassol
Early projection
11.8554%
X4.5522%
24.1724%
Série ABrazil
Remo
Oct 722:30
Gremio
Early projection
12.8635%
X3.7027%
22.6338%
Série ABrazil
Vitoria
Oct 723:00
Chapecoense-sc
Early projection
11.8255%
X4.7621%
24.1724%

Betting Tips

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