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Matches
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  1. Home
  2. Série A
  3. Atletico-MG vs Flamengo

Atletico-MG vs Flamengo

Result • Série A·Atletico-MG·Flamengo

Série A
Série A
Apr 26, 2026
23:30
medium Confidence
Atletico-MG

Atletico-MG

Home
Final Score
0-4
Predicted: 1-1
Final Score
0-4
Predicted: 1-1
Odds
13.60
X3.20
21.91
Stadium
Arena MRV
medium Confidence
WINNER
Flamengo

Flamengo

Away
Odds
13.60
X3.20
21.91
Stadium
Arena MRV
Win Probabilities
30%
Atletico-MG
30%
Draw
40%
Flamengo
Home3.6030%
Draw3.2030%
Away1.9140%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Flamengo's superior quality overcoming the home advantage. Ancient wisdom reveals the visitors' class will prove decisive in this encounter.

Our AI model analyzes this Série A fixture between Atletico-MG and Flamengo using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Atletico-MG a 30% win probability, a 30% chance of a draw, and Flamengo a 40% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-1. Both teams to score probability: 60%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 60%
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1Hulk vs David Luiz: Atletico's main striker against Flamengo's experienced center-back. Hulk's physicality vs Luiz's positioning.
2Paulinho vs Thiago Maia: Midfield duel where Paulinho's creativity meets Maia's defensive work rate.
3Gabriel Barbosa vs Jemerson: Flamengo's top scorer against Atletico's central defender. Barbosa's movement and finishing will test Jemerson's concentration.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Atletico-MG

  • Home advantage at MRV Arena
  • Decent attack with 14 goals in last 5
  • Defensive fragility: no clean sheets in 5 games
  • Inconsistent form (LLWWL)

Flamengo

  • Excellent form: 5-match winning streak
  • Strong attack averaging 2.4 goals per game
  • Several key players doubtful (Leo Ortiz, Pedro)
  • Potential complacency after long winning run

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
40%
API-Football
45%
43%
Flamengo203843

Models disagree significantly. Suggests away win (43%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisMedium Confidence

The match between Atletico-MG and Flamengo is finely balanced according to the odds, with each outcome around 33%. However, the API-Football model favors Flamengo (45% away win) and the overall comparison gives Flamengo a 53% edge. Flamengo's recent form is exceptional: 5 consecutive wins, scoring 2.4 goals per game and conceding only 0.6, with 2 clean sheets. Atletico-MG, on the other hand, have lost 3 of their last 5 and have no clean sheets. The head-to-head record also favors Flamengo with 6 wins in the last 9 meetings. Despite home advantage, Flamengo's momentum and superior statistics tilt the balance slightly in their favor.

Form Analysis: Flamengo are on fire with a 5-match winning streak, while Atletico-MG have been inconsistent (LLWWL). Flamengo's attack (57% comparison) and defense (45% comparison) are rated higher. Atletico-MG have conceded 1.4 goals per game recently, while Flamengo have scored 2.4 per game.

Key Factors: 1) Flamengo's 5-game winning streak and superior form. 2) Head-to-head dominance: Flamengo have won 6 of the last 9 meetings. 3) Atletico-MG's defensive vulnerabilities: no clean sheets in last 5 games.

Conclusion: While the odds suggest a tight match, Flamengo's current form and historical edge make them slight favorites. A draw is also plausible given the balanced odds, but Flamengo's momentum gives them the edge.

Statistical ContextFlamengo

Double chance : draw or Flamengo

Team Comparison

AI Powered
Atletico-MGFlamengo
47%Strength53%
43%Attacking Potential57%
55%Defensive Potential45%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
50%H2H Strength50%
50%Goals H2H50%
47%Wins the Game53%
Line-ups →Head-to-head →Injuries · Atletico-MGInjuries · Flamengo</> Embed this prediction

Statistical Context

Atletico-MG

WLWWD
  • WSep 9, 26H · Santos2-0
  • LSep 5, 26A · Sao Paulo2-0
  • WSep 2, 26H · Cruzeiro2-1
  • WAug 29, 26H · Vitoria2-1
  • DAug 26, 26A · Cruzeiro1-1

Flamengo

WWWWL
  • WSep 11, 26A · Independiente del Valle0-2
  • WSep 6, 26A · Remo0-1
  • WSep 2, 26H · Mirassol2-0
  • WAug 30, 26H · Botafogo3-0
  • LAug 22, 26A · Cruzeiro2-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
1Flamengo26+3054WWWLW
2Palmeiras26+2453DDWLD
3Atletico Paranaense26+1045LDWDW
4Fluminense26+845WDWWD
5Bahia26+843WWWDD
6Cruzeiro26+142WLWWW
7Coritiba26-137LWWDW
8Atletico-MG25+236LWDWD
9RB Bragantino25+335LLWDL

Head to Head

2
Atletico-MG
2
Draws
6
Flamengo
  • Nov 26, 25Atletico-MG – Flamengo1-1
  • Aug 6, 25Atletico-MG – Flamengo0-1
  • Aug 1, 25Flamengo – Atletico-MG0-1
  • Jul 27, 25Flamengo – Atletico-MG1-0
  • Nov 13, 24Flamengo – Atletico-MG0-0

Season Statistics — 2026

Atletico-MGFlamengo
Played2525
Goals Scored3250
Goals Conceded3021
Avg Scored1.32.0
Avg Conceded1.20.8
Clean Sheets611

Atletico-MG vs Flamengo — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Flamengo's superior quality overcoming the home advantage. Ancient wisdom reveals the visitors' class will prove decisive in this encounter.

The match between Atletico-MG and Flamengo is finely balanced according to the odds, with each outcome around 33%. However, the API-Football model favors Flamengo (45% away win) and the overall comparison gives Flamengo a 53% edge. Flamengo's recent form is exceptional: 5 consecutive wins, scoring 2.4 goals per game and conceding only 0.6, with 2 clean sheets. Atletico-MG, on the other hand, have lost 3 of their last 5 and have no clean sheets. The head-to-head record also favors Flamengo with 6 wins in the last 9 meetings. Despite home advantage, Flamengo's momentum and superior statistics tilt the balance slightly in their favor.

Form Analysis: Flamengo are on fire with a 5-match winning streak, while Atletico-MG have been inconsistent (LLWWL). Flamengo's attack (57% comparison) and defense (45% comparison) are rated higher. Atletico-MG have conceded 1.4 goals per game recently, while Flamengo have scored 2.4 per game.

Key Factors: 1) Flamengo's 5-game winning streak and superior form. 2) Head-to-head dominance: Flamengo have won 6 of the last 9 meetings. 3) Atletico-MG's defensive vulnerabilities: no clean sheets in last 5 games.

Conclusion: While the odds suggest a tight match, Flamengo's current form and historical edge make them slight favorites. A draw is also plausible given the balanced odds, but Flamengo's momentum gives them the edge.

Win Probabilities: Atletico-MG: 30% · Draw: 30% · Flamengo: 40%

Predicted Score: 1-1 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 60%

H2H: Atletico-MG wins: 2 · Draws: 2 · Flamengo wins: 6

Form (latest first): Atletico-MG: WLWWD · Flamengo: WWWWL

  • Hulk vs David Luiz: Atletico's main striker against Flamengo's experienced center-back. Hulk's physicality vs Luiz's positioning.
  • Paulinho vs Thiago Maia: Midfield duel where Paulinho's creativity meets Maia's defensive work rate.
  • Gabriel Barbosa vs Jemerson: Flamengo's top scorer against Atletico's central defender. Barbosa's movement and finishing will test Jemerson's concentration.

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Série A

Série A

Brazil15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Série ABrazil
Coritiba
Sep 1200:00
Atletico Paranaense
13.0333%
X3.2331%
22.7836%
Série ABrazil
Gremio
Sep 1219:00
Vasco DA Gama
12.1746%
X3.1332%
24.5522%
Série ABrazil
Atletico-MG
Sep 1219:00
Fluminense
12.5040%
X3.2331%
23.4529%
Série ABrazil
Chapecoense-sc
Sep 1220:00
Internacional
13.8526%
X2.9434%
22.5040%
Série ABrazil
Palmeiras
Sep 1221:30
Sao Paulo
11.6760%
X3.8526%
27.1414%
Série ABrazil
Botafogo
Sep 1223:30
RB Bragantino
12.2245%
X3.1332%
24.3523%
Série ABrazil
Santos
Sep 1300:00
Cruzeiro
13.5728%
X3.1332%
22.5040%
Série ABrazil
Mirassol
Sep 1319:00
Vitoria
11.9651%
X3.2331%
25.5618%
Série ABrazil
Flamengo
Sep 1320:30
Corinthians
11.5664%
X3.8526%
210.0010%
Série ABrazil
Bahia
Sep 1423:00
Remo
11.5664%
X4.7621%
26.6715%
Série ABrazil
Botafogo
Sep 1622:30
Gremio
11.8554%
X3.5728%
25.5618%
Série ABrazil
Atletico-MG
Sep 1919:00
Chapecoense-sc
Early projection
11.4569%
X6.2516%
26.6715%
Série ABrazil
Mirassol
Sep 1920:00
Botafogo
Early projection
12.7836%
X3.7027%
22.7037%
Série ABrazil
Remo
Sep 1921:30
Santos
Early projection
12.7836%
X3.5728%
22.7836%
Série ABrazil
Vasco DA Gama
Sep 1923:30
Coritiba
Early projection
12.7836%
X3.5728%
22.7836%

Betting Tips

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