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  1. Home
  2. Série A
  3. Atletico-MG vs Santos

Atletico-MG vs Santos

Prediction • Série A·Atletico-MG·Santos

Série A
Série A
Oct 11, 2026
19:00
Early projection · Odds pending
PREDICTED WINNER
Atletico-MG

Atletico-MG

Home
VS
VS
Stadium
MRV Arena
Early projection · Odds pending
Santos

Santos

Away
Stadium
MRV Arena
Win Probabilities
48%
Atletico-MG
23%
Draw
29%
Santos
Home2.0848%
Draw4.3523%
Away3.4529%

Oracle's Vision

Early projection
“

Atletico-MG hold a narrow edge at home, backed by a strong home record of just one defeat in eleven, though their two-match losing streak is a concern. The main risk is Santos's Gabriel Barbosa, whose seven goals could punish a defence that has kept no recent clean sheets.

See our exact score, over/under 2.5 and BTTS call for Atletico-MG vs Santos.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
8.0Atletico-MG
/10
6.0Santos
Atletico-MG
FormLatest first
WWLWW
Win Rate80%
Santos
FormLatest first
WLWDW
Win Rate60%
Momentum AdvantageAtletico-MG+2.0

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Atletico-MG
Home

Atletico-MG

Form
DWDWL
Latest first
11
Pos
48
Pts
+2
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 25 matches)

Clean Sheets624%
Goal Diff+2
  • Excellent home record with just one defeat in eleven home matches
  • Slight historical edge in the head-to-head series
  • Higher league position and superior goal difference

Key Players

Ruan Tressoldi
Ruan Tressoldi
6.9
Goals
1
Assists
0
Renan Lodi
Renan Lodi
6.8
Goals
0
Assists
2
A. Preciado
Yellow Cards
Suspended
I. Roman
Yellow Cards
Suspended
Natanael
Red Card
Suspended
Lyanco
Foot Injury
Injured
Rony
Inactive
Injured
Alexsander
Knee Injury
Injured
M. Cassierra
Lacking Match Fitness
Injured
Junior Santos
Inactive
Injured
M. Cisse
Thigh Injury
Injured
Maycon
Inactive
Injured
Vitor Hugo
Calf Injury
Injured
Ruan Tressoldi
Muscle Injury
Injured
A. Minda
Inactive
Injured
Patrick Silva
Knee Injury
Injured
Indio
Knee Injury
Injured
R. Lodi
Suspended
Suspended
Cuello
Hamstring Injury
Injured
A. Franco
Personal Reasons
Injured
Hulk
Inactive
Injured
Victor Hugo
Hamstring Injury
Injured
Everson
Foot Injury
Injured
Gustavo Scarpa
Muscle Injury
Injured
Igor Gomes
Knee Injury
Injured
L. Duarte
Hamstring Injury
Injured
J. Alonso
International duty
Injured
T. Borbas
Muscle Injury
Injured
T. Perez
Injury
Injured

Head to Head

Last 10
Atletico-MG
Atletico-MG
4Wins
3
Draws
Santos
3Wins
Santos
40%30%30%

Recent Matches

Last 10
Apr112026
SantosSantos
1-0
Loss
Atletico-MGAtletico-MG
Sep142025
Atletico-MGAtletico-MG
1-1
Draw
SantosSantos
Apr172025
SantosSantos
2-0
Loss
Atletico-MGAtletico-MG
Aug272023
Atletico-MGAtletico-MG
2-0
Win
SantosSantos
Apr232023
SantosSantos
0-0
Draw
Atletico-MGAtletico-MG
Oct62022
SantosSantos
1-2
Win
Atletico-MGAtletico-MG
Jun112022
Atletico-MGAtletico-MG
1-1
Draw
SantosSantos
Oct132021
Atletico-MGAtletico-MG
3-1
Win
SantosSantos
Jun272021
SantosSantos
2-0
Loss
Atletico-MGAtletico-MG
Jan262021
Atletico-MGAtletico-MG
2-0
Win
SantosSantos

Past Predictions

50%1/2 correct

Atletico-MG 2 - 0 Santos

Sep 9, 2026

44% / 35% / 21%

Santos 1 - 0 Atletico-MG

Apr 11, 2026

33% / 34% / 33%

Atletico-MG4-2-3-1vs4-2-3-1SantosPredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Tactical mirror. Individual brilliance decides.

See the full predicted line-ups ↓

Injury Report

Current team availability status

Data Accuracy: Player availability is highly accurate (~90%), but specific injury diagnoses and recovery timelines may not reflect the latest medical updates (~70% accuracy).

Atletico-MG

27Out

24 key players

Santos

27Out

19 key players

Atletico-MG

Team

Atletico-MG

Players Out

27(24 key)
A. Preciado

A. Preciado

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
I. Roman

I. Roman

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
Natanael

Natanael

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
Lyanco

Lyanco

MODERATE
Injury:Foot Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-8 weeks

Rony

Rony

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Alexsander

Alexsander

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

M. Cassierra

M. Cassierra

MODERATE
Injury:Lacking Match Fitness

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Junior Santos

Junior Santos

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

M. Cisse

M. Cisse

MODERATE
Injury:Thigh Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

Maycon

Maycon

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Vitor Hugo

Vitor Hugo

MODERATE
Injury:Calf Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Ruan Tressoldi

Ruan Tressoldi

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

A. Minda

A. Minda

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Patrick Silva

Patrick Silva

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

Indio

Indio

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

R. Lodi

R. Lodi

MODERATE
Status:Suspended
Cuello

Cuello

MODERATE
Injury:Hamstring Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

A. Franco

A. Franco

MODERATE
Injury:Personal Reasons

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Hulk

Hulk

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Victor Hugo

Victor Hugo

MODERATE
Injury:Hamstring Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

Everson

Everson

MODERATE
Injury:Foot Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-8 weeks

Gustavo Scarpa

Gustavo Scarpa

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

Igor Gomes

Igor Gomes

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

L. Duarte

L. Duarte

MODERATE
Injury:Hamstring Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

J. Alonso

J. Alonso

MODERATE
Injury:International duty

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

T. Borbas

T. Borbas

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

T. Perez

T. Perez

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Santos

Team

Santos

Players Out

27(19 key)
Gabriel Barbosa

Gabriel Barbosa

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
Joao Schmidt

Joao Schmidt

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
Luan Peres

Luan Peres

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
Rony

Rony

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
A. Barreal

A. Barreal

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
Lucas Verissimo

Lucas Verissimo

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
G. Escobar

G. Escobar

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
Gabriel Brazao

Gabriel Brazao

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
Gustavo Henrique

Gustavo Henrique

MODERATE
Injury:Hamstring Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

Pepe Fermino

Pepe Fermino

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

A. Duarte

A. Duarte

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Ze Rafael

Ze Rafael

MODERATE
Injury:Ankle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-8 weeks

B. Rollheiser

B. Rollheiser

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

Vinicius Lira

Vinicius Lira

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

L. Diaz

L. Diaz

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Gabriel Menino

Gabriel Menino

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

Rodrigo Falcao

Rodrigo Falcao

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Igor Vinicius

Igor Vinicius

MODERATE
Injury:Back Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

4-12 weeks

A. Frias

A. Frias

MODERATE
Injury:Transfer negotiations

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Mayke

Mayke

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

T. Rincon

T. Rincon

MODERATE
Injury:Illness

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Gabriel Bontempo

Gabriel Bontempo

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Neymar

Neymar

MODERATE
Injury:Thigh Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

Thaciano

Thaciano

MODERATE
Injury:Hamstring Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

Tiquinho Soares

Tiquinho Soares

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Willian Arao

Willian Arao

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Moises

Moises

MODERATE
Injury:Ankle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-8 weeks

Série A

League Statistics

Série A • Standings & Top Performers

Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Flamengo
Flamengo
2717645322+3157
2
Palmeiras
Palmeiras
2716834721+2656
3
Atletico Paranaense
Atletico Paranaense
2713774131+1046
4
Fluminense
Fluminense
2712964135+645
5
Bahia
Bahia
26111054032+843
6
Cruzeiro
Cruzeiro
2712693939042
7
Atletico-MG
Atletico-MGHome
2611693531+439
8
Coritiba
Coritiba
2710893738-138
9
RB Bragantino
RB Bragantino
26106103229+336
10
Santos
SantosAway
269893939035
11
Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo
2696113130+133
12
Vitoria
Vitoria
2796122739-1233
13
Corinthians
Corinthians
2788112829-132
14
Botafogo
Botafogo
2688103841-332
15
Mirassol
Mirassol
2778123142-1129
16
Gremio
Gremio
2677122835-728
17
Vasco DA Gama
Vasco DA Gama
2677122941-1228
18
Internacional
Internacional
27610113035-528
19
Remo
Remo
2658133043-1323
20
Chapecoense-sc
Chapecoense-sc
2638152852-2417
Champions League
Relegation
HomeAway

Oracle's Vision

Early projection

Atletico-MG

Odds pending

Win Probabilities

48%Atletico-MG
23%Draw
29%Santos

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
KickoffSun, Oct 11 · 19:00
StadiumMRV Arena
League StatsSérie A
Line-ups →Head-to-head →Injuries · Atletico-MGInjuries · Santos</> Embed this prediction

Statistical Context

Atletico-MG

WWLWW
  • WSep 12, 26H · Fluminense3-1
  • WSep 9, 26H · Santos2-0
  • LSep 5, 26A · Sao Paulo2-0
  • WSep 2, 26H · Cruzeiro2-1
  • WAug 29, 26H · Vitoria2-1

Santos

WLWDW
  • WSep 13, 26H · Cruzeiro2-1
  • LSep 9, 26A · Atletico-MG2-0
  • WSep 6, 26A · Internacional2-3
  • DSep 3, 26H · Palmeiras0-0
  • WAug 30, 26A · Corinthians0-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
6Cruzeiro27042LWLWW
7Atletico-MG26+439WLWDW
8Coritiba27-138DLWWD
9RB Bragantino26+336DLLWD
10Santos26035WWWDW
11Sao Paulo26+133LWWLD

Head to Head

4
Atletico-MG
3
Draws
3
Santos
  • Apr 11, 26Santos – Atletico-MG1-0
  • Sep 14, 25Atletico-MG – Santos1-1
  • Apr 17, 25Santos – Atletico-MG2-0
  • Aug 27, 23Atletico-MG – Santos2-0
  • Apr 23, 23Santos – Atletico-MG0-0

Season Statistics — 2026

Atletico-MGSantos
Played2525
Goals Scored3237
Goals Conceded3038
Avg Scored1.31.5
Avg Conceded1.21.5
Clean Sheets66

Predicted line-ups: Atletico-MG vs Santos

Predicted XI

Atletico-MG

4-2-3-1Formation· Coach: Luiz Felipe Scolari

Santos

4-2-3-1Formation· Coach: Pedro Caixinha

  1. 77Gabriel Brazão
  1. 42João Alencar
  2. 26João Paulo Ananias
  3. 38Rafael Gonzaga
  4. 23Rodinei
  1. 6Arthur
  2. 48Gustavo Henrique Pereira
  1. 5João Schmidt
  2. 45Lima
  3. 30M. Terceros
  1. 17G. Caballero
  1. 7Fred
  1. 19Reinier
  2. 58Soares Eric
  3. 48Gutte
  1. 15K. Castaño
  2. 39Mamady Cisse
  1. 6Renan Lodi
  2. 36K. Pascini
  3. 40Vitão
  4. 5Léo Duarte
  1. 1Gabriel Delfim

Bench

  • 31Robert
  • 11Bernard
  • 92Dudu
  • 46Pedro Cobra
  • 32Luis Chaves
  • 53Pedro Lemos
  • 34Samuel

Out

  • A. Preciado · Yellow Cards
  • I. Roman · Yellow Cards
  • Natanael · Red Card
  • Lyanco · Foot Injury
  • Rony · Inactive
  • Alexsander · Knee Injury
  • M. Cassierra · Lacking Match Fitness
  • Junior Santos · Inactive

Bench

  • 34João Paulo
  • 15Willian Arão
  • 28C. Oliva
  • 27D. Fernandes
  • 57Nadson
  • 1Diógenes
  • 1Joao Lucio

Out

  • Gabriel Barbosa · Yellow Cards
  • Joao Schmidt · Yellow Cards
  • Luan Peres · Red Card
  • Rony · Yellow Cards
  • A. Barreal · Yellow Cards
  • Lucas Verissimo · Yellow Cards
  • G. Escobar · Yellow Cards
  • Gabriel Brazao · Yellow Cards

Predicted line-ups based on recent matches and absences; official line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.

Atletico-MG vs Santos — Expert Prediction & Analysis

Atletico-MG hold a narrow edge at home, backed by a strong home record of just one defeat in eleven, though their two-match losing streak is a concern. The main risk is Santos's Gabriel Barbosa, whose seven goals could punish a defence that has kept no recent clean sheets.

Atletico-MG enter this Série A clash as narrow favourites on home soil, though the margin is far from decisive. The statistical model gives the hosts a clear edge, and their strong home record at the MRV Arena supports that view.…

Win Probabilities: Atletico-MG: 48% · Draw: 23% · Santos: 29%

H2H: Atletico-MG wins: 4 · Draws: 3 · Santos wins: 3

Form (latest first): Atletico-MG: WWLWW · Santos: WLWDW

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Série A

Série A

Brazil15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Série ABrazil
Botafogo
Sep 1622:30
Gremio
11.8554%
X3.5728%
25.5618%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Série ABrazil
Atletico-MG
Sep 1919:00
Chapecoense-sc
11.5664%
X4.0025%
29.0911%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Série ABrazil
Mirassol
Sep 1920:00
Botafogo
12.4441%
X2.9434%
24.0025%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Série ABrazil
Remo
Sep 1921:30
Santos
13.7027%
X3.0333%
22.5040%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Série ABrazil
Vasco DA Gama
Sep 1923:30
Coritiba
12.0848%
X3.5728%
24.1724%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Série ABrazil
Sao Paulo
Sep 2000:00
Internacional
12.0050%
X3.2331%
25.2619%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Série ABrazil
Gremio
Sep 2014:00
Palmeiras
14.5522%
X3.3330%
22.0848%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Série ABrazil
Corinthians
Sep 2019:00
Fluminense
12.5040%
X3.3330%
23.3330%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Série ABrazil
Vitoria
Sep 2019:00
Cruzeiro
13.7027%
X3.0333%
22.5040%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Série ABrazil
Flamengo
Sep 2021:30
RB Bragantino
11.5664%
X4.1724%
28.3312%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Série ABrazil
Atletico Paranaense
Sep 2022:30
Bahia
12.2744%
X3.4529%
23.7027%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Série ABrazil
Internacional
Oct 722:30
Corinthians
Early projection
12.7836%
X3.5728%
22.7836%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Série ABrazil
RB Bragantino
Oct 722:30
Mirassol
Early projection
11.8554%
X4.5522%
24.1724%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Série ABrazil
Remo
Oct 722:30
Gremio
Early projection
12.8635%
X3.7027%
22.6338%
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Série ABrazil
Vitoria
Oct 723:00
Chapecoense-sc
Early projection
11.8255%
X4.7621%
24.1724%
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