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  1. Home
  2. Série A
  3. Sao Paulo vs Atletico-MG

Sao Paulo vs Atletico-MG

Prediction • Série A·Sao Paulo·Atletico-MG

Série A
Série A
Sep 5, 2026
21:30
Early projection · Odds pending
PREDICTED DRAW
Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

Home
VS
VS
Stadium
Estadio Do MorumBIS
Early projection · Odds pending
PREDICTED DRAW
Atletico-MG

Atletico-MG

Away
Stadium
Estadio Do MorumBIS
Win Probabilities
37%
Sao Paulo
27%
Draw
36%
Atletico-MG
Home2.7037%
Draw3.7027%
Away2.7836%

Oracle's Vision

Early projection
“

Sao Paulo are favored at 37% to win at home against Atletico-MG. The draw is rated 27% and the away win 36%, so the numbers point to a home result.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
2.0Sao Paulo
/10
6.0Atletico-MG
Sao Paulo
FormLatest first
WDDLD
Win Rate20%
Atletico-MG
FormLatest first
DWWDW
Win Rate60%
Momentum AdvantageAtletico-MG+4.0

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Sao Paulo
Home

Sao Paulo

Form
LLDLD
Latest first
8
Pos
51
Pts
+7
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 8 matches)

Clean Sheets563%
Goal Diff+7
  • Strong home record with 5 wins in 10 home games
  • Top scorers Luciano and Calleri have 6 goals each
  • Solid attacking options with Ferreira contributing 4 goals

Key Players

J. Calleri
J. Calleri
6.8
Goals
6
Assists
1
Luciano
Luciano
7.0
Goals
6
Assists
1
Ferreira
Ferreira
7.2
Goals
4
Assists
0
Andre Silva
Yellow Cards
Suspended
Jonathan Calleri
Yellow Cards
Suspended
Wendell
Yellow Cards
Suspended
Lucas Moura
Achilles Injury
Injured
Luciano
Inactive
Injured
Sabino
Injury
Injured
Ryan Francisco
Knee Injury
Injured
Alisson
Inactive
Injured
Danielzinho
Inactive
Injured
Lucca Marques
Jaw injury
Injured
Lucas Ramon
Injury
Injured
D. Bobadilla
Knee Injury
Injured
Carlos Coronel
Inactive
Injured
E. Diaz
Personal Reasons
Injured
A. Franco
Muscle Injury
Injured
G. Tapia
International duty
Injured
Paulinho
Inactive
Injured
Pablo Maia
Fracture
Injured
Djhordney
Inactive
Injured
Marcos Antonio
Hamstring Injury
Injured
R. Toloi
Muscle Injury
Injured
Ferreira
Inactive
Injured
Robert Arboleda
Inactive
Injured
Maik
Inactive
Injured
Cauly
Inactive
Injured

Head to Head

Last 10
Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo
1Wins
4
Draws
Atletico-MG
5Wins
Atletico-MG
10%40%50%

Recent Matches

Last 10
Mar182026
Atletico-MGAtletico-MG
1-0
Loss
Sao PauloSao Paulo
Aug242025
Sao PauloSao Paulo
2-0
Win
Atletico-MGAtletico-MG
Apr62025
Atletico-MGAtletico-MG
0-0
Draw
Sao PauloSao Paulo
Nov242024
Sao PauloSao Paulo
2-2
Draw
Atletico-MGAtletico-MG
Sep132024
Atletico-MGAtletico-MG
0-0
Draw
Sao PauloSao Paulo
Aug292024
Sao PauloSao Paulo
0-1
Loss
Atletico-MGAtletico-MG
Jul122024
Atletico-MGAtletico-MG
2-1
Loss
Sao PauloSao Paulo
Dec32023
Atletico-MGAtletico-MG
2-1
Loss
Sao PauloSao Paulo
Aug62023
Sao PauloSao Paulo
0-2
Loss
Atletico-MGAtletico-MG
Nov22022
Sao PauloSao Paulo
2-2
Draw
Atletico-MGAtletico-MG
Sao Paulo3-5-1-1vs4-2-3-1Atletico-MGPredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Tactical matchup will test both managers' adaptability.

Atletico-MGAtletico-MG4-2-3-1
Sao PauloSao Paulo3-5-1-1
Atletico-MGBenchAtletico-MG7
Sao PauloBenchSao Paulo7

Injury Report

Current team availability status

Data Accuracy: Player availability is highly accurate (~90%), but specific injury diagnoses and recovery timelines may not reflect the latest medical updates (~70% accuracy).

Sao Paulo

25Out

22 key players

Atletico-MG

24Out

20 key players

Sao Paulo

Team

Sao Paulo

Players Out

25(22 key)
Andre Silva

Andre Silva

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
Jonathan Calleri

Jonathan Calleri

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
Wendell

Wendell

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
Lucas Moura

Lucas Moura

MODERATE
Injury:Achilles Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Luciano

Luciano

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Sabino

Sabino

MODERATE
Injury:Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Ryan Francisco

Ryan Francisco

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

Alisson

Alisson

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Danielzinho

Danielzinho

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Lucca Marques

Lucca Marques

MODERATE
Injury:Jaw injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Lucas Ramon

Lucas Ramon

MODERATE
Injury:Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

D. Bobadilla

D. Bobadilla

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

Carlos Coronel

Carlos Coronel

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

E. Diaz

E. Diaz

MODERATE
Injury:Personal Reasons

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

A. Franco

A. Franco

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

G. Tapia

G. Tapia

MODERATE
Injury:International duty

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Paulinho

Paulinho

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Pablo Maia

Pablo Maia

MODERATE
Injury:Fracture

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Djhordney

Djhordney

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Marcos Antonio

Marcos Antonio

MODERATE
Injury:Hamstring Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

R. Toloi

R. Toloi

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

Ferreira

Ferreira

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Robert Arboleda

Robert Arboleda

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Maik

Maik

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Cauly

Cauly

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Atletico-MG

Team

Atletico-MG

Players Out

24(20 key)
A. Preciado

A. Preciado

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
I. Roman

I. Roman

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
Natanael

Natanael

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
Ruan Tressoldi

Ruan Tressoldi

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
Lyanco

Lyanco

MODERATE
Injury:Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Rony

Rony

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Alexsander

Alexsander

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

M. Cassierra

M. Cassierra

MODERATE
Injury:Lacking Match Fitness

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Junior Santos

Junior Santos

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

M. Cisse

M. Cisse

MODERATE
Injury:Thigh Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

Maycon

Maycon

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Vitor Hugo

Vitor Hugo

MODERATE
Injury:Calf Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

A. Minda

A. Minda

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Patrick Silva

Patrick Silva

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

Indio

Indio

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

R. Lodi

R. Lodi

MODERATE
Status:Suspended
Cuello

Cuello

MODERATE
Injury:Hamstring Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

A. Franco

A. Franco

MODERATE
Injury:Personal Reasons

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Hulk

Hulk

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Victor Hugo

Victor Hugo

MODERATE
Injury:Hamstring Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

Gustavo Scarpa

Gustavo Scarpa

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

Igor Gomes

Igor Gomes

MODERATE
Injury:Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

L. Duarte

L. Duarte

MODERATE
Injury:Hamstring Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

J. Alonso

J. Alonso

MODERATE
Injury:International duty

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Série A

League Statistics

Série A • Standings & Top Performers

Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Palmeiras
Palmeiras
2314634019+2148
2
Flamengo
Flamengo
2213634419+2545
3
Atletico Paranaense
Atletico Paranaense
2312563120+1141
4
Fluminense
Fluminense
2310853428+638
5
Cruzeiro
Cruzeiro
2310673232036
6
Bahia
Bahia
2381053228+434
7
RB Bragantino
RB Bragantino
229582723+432
8
Atletico-MG
Atletico-MGAway
229583027+332
9
Corinthians
Corinthians
238872522+332
10
Coritiba
Coritiba
238782830-231
11
Botafogo
Botafogo
228683534+130
12
Vitoria
Vitoria
2385102333-1029
13
Sao Paulo
Sao PauloHome
227692726+127
14
Santos
Santos
226793235-325
15
Gremio
Gremio
226792430-625
16
Internacional
Internacional
235992428-424
17
Mirassol
Mirassol
2265112535-1023
18
Remo
Remo
2358102737-1023
19
Vasco DA Gama
Vasco DA Gama
2257102334-1122
20
Chapecoense-sc
Chapecoense-sc
2218132346-2311
Champions League
Relegation
HomeAway

Oracle's Vision

Early projection

Draw

Odds pending

Win Probabilities

37%Sao Paulo
27%Draw
36%Atletico-MG

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
KickoffSat, Sep 5 · 21:30
StadiumEstadio Do MorumBIS
League StatsSérie A

Statistical Context

Sao Paulo

WDDLD
  • WAug 19, 26H · Bolívar3-1
  • DAug 16, 26H · Coritiba1-1
  • DAug 12, 26A · Bolívar1-1
  • LAug 8, 26A · Gremio2-1
  • DJul 26, 26A · Flamengo1-1

Atletico-MG

DWWDW
  • DAug 19, 26H · RB Bragantino2-2
  • WAug 16, 26H · Gremio3-0
  • WAug 12, 26A · RB Bragantino0-1
  • DAug 8, 26A · Remo2-2
  • WAug 4, 26A · Juventude0-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
7RB Bragantino22+432DLDDW
8Atletico-MG22+332WDWDW
9Corinthians23+332LWDDW
10Coritiba23-231DWLDL
11Botafogo22+130LDWDW
12Vitoria23-1029WLLLD
13Sao Paulo22+127DLDLL
14Santos22-325WLDLW

Head to Head

1
Sao Paulo
4
Draws
5
Atletico-MG
  • Mar 18, 26Atletico-MG – Sao Paulo1-0
  • Aug 24, 25Sao Paulo – Atletico-MG2-0
  • Apr 6, 25Atletico-MG – Sao Paulo0-0
  • Nov 24, 24Sao Paulo – Atletico-MG2-2
  • Sep 13, 24Atletico-MG – Sao Paulo0-0

Season Statistics — 2026

Sao PauloAtletico-MG
Played821
Goals Scored1027
Goals Conceded327
Avg Scored1.31.3
Avg Conceded0.41.3
Clean Sheets54

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

Sao PauloAtletico-MG
Over 2.5 Goals6/10—
Both Teams Scored4/10—
Clean Sheets2/10—

Predicted Line-ups & Formations

Predicted XI

Sao Paulo

Formation 3-5-1-1
  1. 23GRafael
  2. 20DAurélio Buta
  3. 19DLucas Carvalho
  4. 54DOsorio Luis
  5. 8MMarcos Antônio
  6. 48MD. Ferreira
  7. 38MLeonardo Hugo
  8. 33MLuan
  9. 46MPedro Ferreira
  10. 43MG. Santana
  11. 17AAndré Silva

Coach: Machado Roger

Atletico-MG

Formation 4-2-3-1
  1. 22GEverson
  2. 6DRenan Lodi
  3. 36DK. Pascini
  4. 5DLéo Duarte
  5. 32DLuis Chaves
  6. 39MMamady Cisse
  7. 48MGutte
  8. 17MIgor Gomes
  9. 25MT. Pérez
  10. 11MBernard
  11. 19AReinier

Sao Paulo vs Atletico-MG — Expert Prediction & Analysis

Sao Paulo are favored at 37% to win at home against Atletico-MG. The draw is rated 27% and the away win 36%, so the numbers point to a home result.

This Série A clash between Sao Paulo and Atletico-MG is a tightly contested affair, with both teams separated by just two points in the standings. The away side enters with superior momentum, having gone five matches unbeaten, while the hosts have lost three of their last five.…

Win Probabilities: Sao Paulo: 37% · Draw: 27% · Atletico-MG: 36%

H2H: Sao Paulo wins: 1 · Draws: 4 · Atletico-MG wins: 5

Form (latest first): Sao Paulo: WDDLD · Atletico-MG: DWWDW

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Série A

Série A

Brazil15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Série ABrazil
Fluminense
Aug 2219:00
Remo
11.5664%
X4.0025%
29.0911%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Série ABrazil
Internacional
Aug 2221:30
Atletico-MG
12.7836%
X3.1332%
23.1332%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Série ABrazil
Cruzeiro
Aug 2223:30
Flamengo
13.8526%
X3.0333%
22.4441%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Série ABrazil
Palmeiras
Aug 2319:00
Vasco DA Gama
11.6162%
X3.8526%
28.3312%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Série ABrazil
Vitoria
Aug 2319:00
Bahia
13.7027%
X3.0333%
22.5040%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Série ABrazil
RB Bragantino
Aug 2319:00
Gremio
11.9252%
X3.3330%
25.5618%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Série ABrazil
Santos
Aug 2321:30
Mirassol
12.1746%
X3.4529%
24.0025%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Série ABrazil
Chapecoense-sc
Aug 2321:30
Sao Paulo
15.2619%
X3.1332%
22.0449%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Série ABrazil
Coritiba
Aug 2322:30
Corinthians
14.0025%
X2.8635%
22.5040%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Série ABrazil
Botafogo
Aug 2423:00
Atletico Paranaense
12.5040%
X3.2331%
23.4529%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Série ABrazil
Atletico-MG
Aug 2921:30
Vitoria
Early projection
11.8255%
X4.7621%
24.1724%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Série ABrazil
Sao Paulo
Aug 2923:00
RB Bragantino
Early projection
12.7037%
X3.5728%
22.8635%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Série ABrazil
Vasco DA Gama
Aug 3000:20
Cruzeiro
Early projection
13.0333%
X3.7027%
22.5040%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Série ABrazil
Atletico Paranaense
Aug 3014:00
Fluminense
Early projection
12.0050%
X4.3523%
23.7027%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Série ABrazil
Flamengo
Aug 3019:00
Botafogo
Early projection
11.6162%
X5.5618%
25.0020%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access