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  1. Home
  2. Série A
  3. Palmeiras vs Bahia

Palmeiras vs Bahia

Prediction • Série A·Palmeiras·Bahia

Série A
Série A
Oct 9, 2026
00:30
Early projection · Odds pending
PREDICTED WINNER
Palmeiras

Palmeiras

Home
VS
VS
Stadium
Allianz Parque
Early projection · Odds pending
Bahia

Bahia

Away
Stadium
Allianz Parque
Win Probabilities
54%
Palmeiras
22%
Draw
24%
Bahia
Home1.8554%
Draw4.5522%
Away4.1724%

Oracle's Vision

Early projection
“

Palmeiras are clear favourites, backed by a superior league position, strong home record, and head-to-head dominance. Bahia's key suspensions and defensive frailty make an upset unlikely, though their attacking form could pose a threat.

See our exact score, over/under 2.5 and BTTS call for Palmeiras vs Bahia.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
4.0Palmeiras
/10
8.0Bahia
Palmeiras
FormLatest first
WWDDD
Win Rate40%
Bahia
FormLatest first
WWWWD
Win Rate80%
Momentum AdvantageBahia+4.0

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Palmeiras
Home

Palmeiras

Form
LWLWD
Latest first
2
Pos
76
Pts
+24
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 26 matches)

Clean Sheets1038%
Goal Diff+24
  • Excellent defensive record with 3 clean sheets in last 5 games
  • Strong home form with 8 wins in 12 matches
  • High league position (2nd) with positive goal difference

Key Players

J. López
J. López
7.0
Goals
6
Assists
3
Andreas Pereira
Andreas Pereira
7.1
Goals
1
Assists
9
A. Barboza
Red Card
Suspended
Murilo
Red Card
Suspended
Marlon Freitas
Yellow Cards
Suspended
Andreas Pereira
Yellow Cards
Suspended
Carlos Miguel
Yellow Cards
Suspended
A. Giay
Yellow Cards
Suspended
Arthur Gabriel
Red Card
Suspended
Bruno Fuchs
Post-Surgery Recovery
Injured
Khellven
Muscle Injury
Injured
Felipe Anderson
Inactive
Injured
Figueiredo
Injury
Injured
Lucas Evangelista
Hamstring Injury
Injured
Paulinho
Muscle Injury
Injured
J. Arias
International duty
Injured
Mauricio
International duty
Injured
J. Piquerez
Foot Injury
Injured
Jefte
Knee Injury
Injured
Allan Elias
Transfer negotiations
Injured
Benedetti
Ankle Injury
Injured
R. Sosa
Muscle Injury
Injured
G. Gomez
Muscle Injury
Injured
Vitor Roque
Ankle Injury
Injured
J. Lopez
Inactive
Injured
E. Martinez
International duty
Injured

Head to Head

Last 10
Palmeiras
Palmeiras
6Wins
1
Draws
Bahia
3Wins
Bahia
60%10%30%

Recent Matches

Last 10
Apr52026
BahiaBahia
1-2
Win
PalmeirasPalmeiras
Sep282025
BahiaBahia
1-0
Loss
PalmeirasPalmeiras
Apr272025
PalmeirasPalmeiras
0-1
Loss
BahiaBahia
Nov202024
BahiaBahia
1-2
Win
PalmeirasPalmeiras
Jul72024
PalmeirasPalmeiras
2-0
Win
BahiaBahia
Oct282023
PalmeirasPalmeiras
1-0
Win
BahiaBahia
Jun222023
BahiaBahia
1-0
Loss
PalmeirasPalmeiras
Oct132021
BahiaBahia
0-0
Draw
PalmeirasPalmeiras
Jun272021
PalmeirasPalmeiras
3-2
Win
BahiaBahia
Dec122020
PalmeirasPalmeiras
3-0
Win
BahiaBahia

Past Predictions

100%1/1 correct

Bahia 1 - 2 Palmeiras

Apr 5, 2026

23% / 35% / 42%

Palmeiras4-2-3-1vs4-3-3BahiaPredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Central creativity vs wide threat. Balance key.

See the full predicted line-ups ↓

Injury Report

Current team availability status

Data Accuracy: Player availability is highly accurate (~90%), but specific injury diagnoses and recovery timelines may not reflect the latest medical updates (~70% accuracy).

Palmeiras

24Out

17 key players

Bahia

25Out

13 key players

Palmeiras

Team

Palmeiras

Players Out

24(17 key)
A. Barboza

A. Barboza

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
Murilo

Murilo

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
Marlon Freitas

Marlon Freitas

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
Andreas Pereira

Andreas Pereira

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
Carlos Miguel

Carlos Miguel

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
A. Giay

A. Giay

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
Arthur Gabriel

Arthur Gabriel

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
Bruno Fuchs

Bruno Fuchs

SEVERE
Injury:Post-Surgery Recovery

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

6-12 weeks

Khellven

Khellven

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

Felipe Anderson

Felipe Anderson

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Figueiredo

Figueiredo

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Lucas Evangelista

Lucas Evangelista

MODERATE
Injury:Hamstring Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

Paulinho

Paulinho

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

J. Arias

J. Arias

MODERATE
Injury:International duty

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Mauricio

Mauricio

MODERATE
Injury:International duty

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

J. Piquerez

J. Piquerez

MODERATE
Injury:Foot Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-8 weeks

Jefte

Jefte

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

Allan Elias

Allan Elias

MODERATE
Injury:Transfer negotiations

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Benedetti

Benedetti

MODERATE
Injury:Ankle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-8 weeks

R. Sosa

R. Sosa

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

G. Gomez

G. Gomez

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

Vitor Roque

Vitor Roque

MODERATE
Injury:Ankle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-8 weeks

J. Lopez

J. Lopez

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

E. Martinez

E. Martinez

MODERATE
Injury:International duty

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Bahia

Team

Bahia

Players Out

25(13 key)
Michel Araujo

Michel Araujo

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
Dell

Dell

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
S. Ramos

S. Ramos

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
Ze Guilherme

Ze Guilherme

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
David Duarte

David Duarte

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
Luciano Juba

Luciano Juba

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
Erick

Erick

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
Rodrigo

Rodrigo

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
Everaldo

Everaldo

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
Nicolas Acevedo

Nicolas Acevedo

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
Jean Lucas

Jean Lucas

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
Erick Pulga

Erick Pulga

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
Sidney Duarte

Sidney Duarte

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

M. Moreno

M. Moreno

MODERATE
Injury:Lacking Match Fitness

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Caio Alexandre

Caio Alexandre

MODERATE
Injury:Hamstring Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

Gilberto

Gilberto

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

Kanu

Kanu

MODERATE
Injury:Hamstring Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

Everton Ribeiro

Everton Ribeiro

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Leo Vieira

Leo Vieira

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

Willian Jose

Willian Jose

MODERATE
Injury:Hamstring Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

Ronaldo Strada

Ronaldo Strada

MODERATE
Injury:Shoulder Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Ademir

Ademir

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

C. Olivera

C. Olivera

MODERATE
Injury:Ankle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-8 weeks

Ruan Pablo

Ruan Pablo

MODERATE
Injury:Ankle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-8 weeks

M. Sanabria

M. Sanabria

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Série A

League Statistics

Série A • Standings & Top Performers

Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Flamengo
Flamengo
2717645322+3157
2
Palmeiras
PalmeirasHome
2716834721+2656
3
Atletico Paranaense
Atletico Paranaense
2713774131+1046
4
Bahia
BahiaAway
27121054233+946
5
Fluminense
Fluminense
2712964135+645
6
Cruzeiro
Cruzeiro
2712693939042
7
Atletico-MG
Atletico-MG
2611693531+439
8
Coritiba
Coritiba
2710893738-138
9
RB Bragantino
RB Bragantino
26106103229+336
10
Santos
Santos
269893939035
11
Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo
2696113130+133
12
Vitoria
Vitoria
2796122739-1233
13
Corinthians
Corinthians
2788112829-132
14
Botafogo
Botafogo
2688103841-332
15
Mirassol
Mirassol
2778123142-1129
16
Gremio
Gremio
2677122835-728
17
Vasco DA Gama
Vasco DA Gama
2677122941-1228
18
Internacional
Internacional
27610113035-528
19
Remo
Remo
2758143145-1423
20
Chapecoense-sc
Chapecoense-sc
2638152852-2417
Champions League
Relegation
HomeAway

Oracle's Vision

Early projection

Palmeiras

Odds pending

Win Probabilities

54%Palmeiras
22%Draw
24%Bahia

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
KickoffFri, Oct 9 · 00:30
StadiumAllianz Parque
League StatsSérie A
Line-ups →Head-to-head →Injuries · PalmeirasInjuries · Bahia

Statistical Context

Palmeiras

WWDDD
  • WSep 12, 26H · Sao Paulo2-0
  • WSep 9, 26H · LDU de Quito1-0
  • DSep 6, 26A · Botafogo0-0
  • DSep 3, 26A · Santos0-0
  • DAug 30, 26A · Mirassol1-1

Bahia

WWWWD
  • WSep 14, 26H · Remo2-1
  • WSep 5, 26A · RB Bragantino2-3
  • WAug 30, 26H · Internacional3-2
  • WAug 23, 26A · Vitoria0-2
  • DAug 16, 26A · Chapecoense-sc3-3

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
1Flamengo27+3157WWWWL
2Palmeiras27+2656WDDWL
3Atletico Paranaense27+1046DLDWD
4Bahia27+946WWWWD
5Fluminense27+645LWDWW

Head to Head

6
Palmeiras
1
Draws
3
Bahia
  • Apr 5, 26Bahia – Palmeiras1-2
  • Sep 28, 25Bahia – Palmeiras1-0
  • Apr 27, 25Palmeiras – Bahia0-1
  • Nov 20, 24Bahia – Palmeiras1-2
  • Jul 7, 24Palmeiras – Bahia2-0

Season Statistics — 2026

PalmeirasBahia
Played2626
Goals Scored4540
Goals Conceded2132
Avg Scored1.71.5
Avg Conceded0.81.2
Clean Sheets108

Predicted line-ups: Palmeiras vs Bahia

Predicted XI

Palmeiras

4-2-3-1Formation· Coach: Abel Ferreira

Bahia

4-3-3Formation· Coach: Rogério Ceni

  1. 17G. Herrera
  1. 31Roman Gomez
  2. 44Marcos Victor
  3. 66Zé Guilherme
  4. 83Fred
  1. 10Éverton Ribeiro
  2. 5N. Acevedo
  3. 11Rodrigo Nestor
  1. 57Çağatay Yılmaz
  2. 9A. Véliz
  3. 12Willian José
  1. 39Heittor
  1. 32E. Martínez
  2. 18Maurício
  3. 45Erick Machado
  1. 48Larson
  2. 50Luis Felipe
  1. 15G. Gómez
  2. 66Lucas Andre
  3. 56Arthur
  4. 6Jefté
  1. 1Bruno

Bench

  • 14Marcelo Lomba
  • 42J. López
  • 1K. Lima
  • 4M. Kone
  • 5Rafael Coutinho
  • 29M. C. Bilong
  • 20Eduardo

Out

  • A. Barboza · Red Card
  • Murilo · Red Card
  • Marlon Freitas · Yellow Cards
  • Andreas Pereira · Yellow Cards
  • Carlos Miguel · Yellow Cards
  • A. Giay · Yellow Cards
  • Arthur Gabriel · Red Card
  • Bruno Fuchs · Surgery

Bench

  • 1Ronaldo
  • 15M. Araújo
  • 22Léo Vieira
  • 91J. C. Neres dos Santos I.
  • 61Victor
  • 43Luiz Gustavo
  • 3Marco Moreno

Out

  • Michel Araujo · Red Card
  • Dell · Red Card
  • S. Ramos · Yellow Cards
  • Ze Guilherme · Yellow Cards
  • David Duarte · Yellow Cards
  • Luciano Juba · Yellow Cards
  • Erick · Yellow Cards
  • Rodrigo · Yellow Cards

Predicted line-ups based on recent matches and absences; official line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.

Palmeiras vs Bahia — Expert Prediction & Analysis

Palmeiras are clear favourites, backed by a superior league position, strong home record, and head-to-head dominance. Bahia's key suspensions and defensive frailty make an upset unlikely, though their attacking form could pose a threat.

Palmeiras are clear favourites to win this Série A clash at Allianz Parque. The bookmaker-implied probabilities and the API-Football model both point to a home victory, and the underlying data supports that view.…

Win Probabilities: Palmeiras: 54% · Draw: 22% · Bahia: 24%

H2H: Palmeiras wins: 6 · Draws: 1 · Bahia wins: 3

Form (latest first): Palmeiras: WWDDD · Bahia: WWWWD

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Série A

Série A

Brazil15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Série ABrazil
Botafogo
Sep 1622:30
Gremio
11.8554%
X3.5728%
25.5618%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Série ABrazil
Atletico-MG
Sep 1919:00
Chapecoense-sc
11.5664%
X4.0025%
29.0911%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Série ABrazil
Mirassol
Sep 1920:00
Botafogo
12.4441%
X2.9434%
24.0025%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Série ABrazil
Remo
Sep 1921:30
Santos
13.7027%
X3.0333%
22.5040%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Série ABrazil
Vasco DA Gama
Sep 1923:30
Coritiba
12.0848%
X3.5728%
24.1724%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Série ABrazil
Sao Paulo
Sep 2000:00
Internacional
12.0050%
X3.2331%
25.2619%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Série ABrazil
Gremio
Sep 2014:00
Palmeiras
14.5522%
X3.3330%
22.0848%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Série ABrazil
Corinthians
Sep 2019:00
Fluminense
12.5040%
X3.3330%
23.3330%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Série ABrazil
Vitoria
Sep 2019:00
Cruzeiro
13.7027%
X3.0333%
22.5040%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Série ABrazil
Flamengo
Sep 2021:30
RB Bragantino
11.5664%
X4.1724%
28.3312%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Série ABrazil
Atletico Paranaense
Sep 2022:30
Bahia
12.2744%
X3.4529%
23.7027%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Série ABrazil
Internacional
Oct 722:30
Corinthians
Early projection
12.7836%
X3.5728%
22.7836%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Série ABrazil
RB Bragantino
Oct 722:30
Mirassol
Early projection
11.8554%
X4.5522%
24.1724%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Série ABrazil
Remo
Oct 722:30
Gremio
Early projection
12.8635%
X3.7027%
22.6338%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Série ABrazil
Vitoria
Oct 723:00
Chapecoense-sc
Early projection
11.8255%
X4.7621%
24.1724%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access

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