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  1. Home
  2. Série A
  3. Botafogo vs Palmeiras

Botafogo vs Palmeiras

Result • Série A·Botafogo·Palmeiras

Série A
Série A
Sep 6, 2026
21:30
medium Confidence
DRAW
Botafogo

Botafogo

Home
Final Score
0-0
Predicted: 1-2
Final Score
0-0
Predicted: 1-2
Odds
13.05
X3.40
22.22
Stadium
Estádio Nilton Santos
medium Confidence
DRAW
Palmeiras

Palmeiras

Away
Odds
13.05
X3.40
22.22
Stadium
Estádio Nilton Santos
Win Probabilities
25%
Botafogo
32%
Draw
43%
Palmeiras
Home3.0525%
Draw3.4032%
Away2.2243%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

Palmeiras are clear favourites, backed by their top-of-the-table form and superior defensive record. Botafogo's injury crisis and poor run make an upset unlikely, but their strong home head-to-head history offers a glimmer of hope.

Our AI model analyzes this Série A fixture between Botafogo and Palmeiras using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Botafogo a 25% win probability, a 32% chance of a draw, and Palmeiras a 43% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-2. Both teams to score probability: 55%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 55%

Match Events

  1. 19'
    Yellow Card: Alexander BarbozaPalmeiras
    Yellow Card: Alexander Barboza
  2. Yellow Card: Arthur Cabral
    20'
    Yellow Card: Arthur CabralBotafogo
  3. Yellow Card: Marçal
    24'
    Yellow Card: MarçalBotafogo
  4. 63'
    Substitution: Jhon AriasPalmeiras · Out: Maurício Magalhães Prado
    Substitution: Jhon AriasOut: Maurício Magalhães Prado
  5. 63'
    Substitution: Vitor RoquePalmeiras · Out: Lucas Evangelista
    Substitution: Vitor RoqueOut: Lucas Evangelista
  6. Substitution: Júnior SantosOut: Lucas Villalba
    68'
    Substitution: Júnior SantosBotafogo · Out: Lucas Villalba
  7. Substitution: Mateo PonteOut: Vitinho
    68'
    Substitution: Mateo PonteBotafogo · Out: Vitinho
  8. Substitution: Kadir BarríaOut: Arthur Cabral
    73'
    Substitution: Kadir BarríaBotafogo · Out: Arthur Cabral
  9. Yellow Card: Álvaro Montoro
    76'
    Yellow Card: Álvaro MontoroBotafogo
  10. 77'
    Yellow Card: Marlon FreitasPalmeiras
    Yellow Card: Marlon Freitas
  11. Substitution: Cristian MedinaOut: Álvaro Montoro
    78'
    Substitution: Cristian MedinaBotafogo · Out: Álvaro Montoro
  12. Substitution: EdenilsonOut: Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira
    78'
    Substitution: EdenilsonBotafogo · Out: Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira
  13. 80'
    Substitution: Emiliano MartínezPalmeiras · Out: Felipe Anderson
    Substitution: Emiliano MartínezOut: Felipe Anderson
  14. 80'
    Substitution: Khellven Douglas Silva OliveiraPalmeiras · Out: Agustin Giay
    Substitution: Khellven Douglas Silva OliveiraOut: Agustin Giay
  15. 88'
    Substitution: Larson Torna Ferreira dos SantosPalmeiras · Out: Andreas Pereira
    Substitution: Larson Torna Ferreira dos SantosOut: Andreas Pereira
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1Danilo Santos vs Gustavo Gómez: Botafogo's top scorer will need to outwit Palmeiras' defensive leader to create chances.
2Arthur Cabral vs Lucas Andre: The battle between Botafogo's forward and Palmeiras' centre-back could decide the flow of the game.
3J. López vs Kadu Santos: Palmeiras' striker will test Botafogo's defensive resolve with his movement and finishing.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Botafogo

  • Strong home record (4W-4D-3L)
  • Historical dominance in head-to-head (4 wins in last 5)
  • Poor recent form (2 consecutive losses)
  • High goals conceded (2.6 per game)

Palmeiras

  • League leaders with 52 points
  • Excellent defensive record (0.4 goals conceded per game)
  • Slightly less dominant away from home
  • Several players suspended, including key midfielder Andreas Pereira

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
43%
API-Football
45%
44%
Palmeiras183944

Moderate agreement on away win (44%).

AI AnalysisMedium Confidence

Palmeiras arrive as clear favourites, backed by a commanding league position and superior recent form. Botafogo, meanwhile, are mired in a poor run and face a significant injury crisis.

Form Analysis: Palmeiras are unbeaten in five matches (DWLDW), conceding just 0.4 goals per game and keeping three clean sheets. Botafogo have lost two straight (LLLDW), conceding 2.6 goals per game on average. The contrast in momentum is stark.

Key Factors: Palmeiras sit top of the table with 52 points, 22 ahead of Botafogo in 12th. Botafogo are missing several key players through suspension, weakening their squad depth. Palmeiras also hold a strong statistical edge in attack (73% vs 27%) and defence (62% vs 38%) per the comparison data.

Conclusion: All indicators point to a Palmeiras victory. Botafogo's home advantage and historical head-to-head success (4 wins in last 5) offer some hope, but the gulf in current form and squad availability makes an away win the most probable outcome.

Statistical ContextPalmeiras

Winner : Palmeiras

Team Comparison

AI Powered
BotafogoPalmeiras
33%Strength66%
27%Attacking Potential73%
38%Defensive Potential62%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
29%H2H Strength71%
44%Goals H2H56%
33%Wins the Game66%
Head-to-head →Injuries · BotafogoInjuries · PalmeirasLive scores →

Statistical Context

Botafogo

LWDLL
  • LSep 19, 26A · Mirassol2-0
  • WSep 16, 26H · Gremio3-2
  • DSep 12, 26H · RB Bragantino1-1
  • LAug 30, 26A · Flamengo3-0
  • LAug 24, 26H · Atletico Paranaense2-3

Palmeiras

DWWWD
  • DSep 20, 26A · Gremio0-0
  • WSep 16, 26H · LDU de Quito3-2
  • WSep 12, 26H · Sao Paulo2-0
  • WSep 9, 26H · LDU de Quito1-0
  • DSep 3, 26A · Santos0-0

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
1Flamengo28+3260WWWWW
2Palmeiras28+2657DWDDW
3Atletico Paranaense28+1149WDLDW
11Sao Paulo28+136LWLWW
12Botafogo28-435LWDDL
13Vitoria28-1433LDWLL

Head to Head

4
Botafogo
2
Draws
4
Palmeiras
  • Mar 18, 26Palmeiras – Botafogo2-1
  • Aug 17, 25Botafogo – Palmeiras0-1
  • Jun 28, 25Palmeiras – Botafogo1-0
  • Mar 30, 25Palmeiras – Botafogo0-0
  • Nov 27, 24Palmeiras – Botafogo1-3

Season Statistics — 2026

BotafogoPalmeiras
Played286
Goals Scored4115
Goals Conceded454
Avg Scored1.52.5
Avg Conceded1.60.7
Clean Sheets44

Botafogo vs Palmeiras — Match Analysis

Palmeiras are clear favourites, backed by their top-of-the-table form and superior defensive record. Botafogo's injury crisis and poor run make an upset unlikely, but their strong home head-to-head history offers a glimmer of hope.

Palmeiras arrive as clear favourites, backed by a commanding league position and superior recent form. Botafogo, meanwhile, are mired in a poor run and face a significant injury crisis.

Form Analysis: Palmeiras are unbeaten in five matches (DWLDW), conceding just 0.4 goals per game and keeping three clean sheets. Botafogo have lost two straight (LLLDW), conceding 2.6 goals per game on average. The contrast in momentum is stark.

Key Factors: Palmeiras sit top of the table with 52 points, 22 ahead of Botafogo in 12th. Botafogo are missing several key players through suspension, weakening their squad depth. Palmeiras also hold a strong statistical edge in attack (73% vs 27%) and defence (62% vs 38%) per the comparison data.

Conclusion: All indicators point to a Palmeiras victory. Botafogo's home advantage and historical head-to-head success (4 wins in last 5) offer some hope, but the gulf in current form and squad availability makes an away win the most probable outcome.

Win Probabilities: Botafogo: 25% · Draw: 32% · Palmeiras: 43%

Predicted Score: 1-2 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 49% · Under 2.5: 51% · BTTS: 55%

H2H: Botafogo wins: 4 · Draws: 2 · Palmeiras wins: 4

Form (latest first): Botafogo: LWDLL · Palmeiras: DWWWD

  • Danilo Santos vs Gustavo Gómez: Botafogo's top scorer will need to outwit Palmeiras' defensive leader to create chances.
  • Arthur Cabral vs Lucas Andre: The battle between Botafogo's forward and Palmeiras' centre-back could decide the flow of the game.
  • J. López vs Kadu Santos: Palmeiras' striker will test Botafogo's defensive resolve with his movement and finishing.

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Série A

Série A

Brazil15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Série ABrazil
Internacional
Oct 722:30
Corinthians
12.5040%
X3.3330%
23.3330%
Série ABrazil
RB Bragantino
Oct 722:30
Mirassol
11.9651%
X3.3330%
25.2619%
Série ABrazil
Remo
Oct 722:30
Gremio
12.5040%
X3.4529%
23.2331%
Série ABrazil
Vitoria
Oct 723:00
Chapecoense-sc
11.8554%
X3.4529%
25.8817%
Série ABrazil
Botafogo
Oct 723:30
Vasco DA Gama
13.5728%
X3.1332%
22.5040%
Série ABrazil
Cruzeiro
Oct 800:30
Sao Paulo
12.0050%
X3.3330%
25.0020%
Série ABrazil
Santos
Oct 822:30
Flamengo
15.0020%
X3.4529%
21.9651%
Série ABrazil
Atletico Paranaense
Oct 823:00
Atletico-MG
12.5639%
X3.1332%
23.4529%
Série ABrazil
Palmeiras
Oct 900:30
Bahia
11.6760%
X4.0025%
26.6715%
Série ABrazil
Fluminense
Oct 900:30
Coritiba
11.7956%
X4.1724%
25.0020%
Série ABrazil
Vasco DA Gama
Oct 1020:00
Remo
Early projection
11.9252%
X4.5522%
23.8526%
Série ABrazil
Sao Paulo
Oct 1100:00
Vitoria
Early projection
12.0050%
X4.5522%
23.5728%
Série ABrazil
Atletico-MG
Oct 1119:00
Santos
Early projection
12.0848%
X4.3523%
23.4529%
Série ABrazil
Palmeiras
Oct 1120:30
Corinthians
Early projection
11.5266%
X5.5618%
26.2516%
Série ABrazil
Flamengo
Oct 1120:30
Fluminense
Early projection
11.7258%
X5.0020%
24.5522%

Betting Tips

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