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  1. Home
  2. Série A
  3. Palmeiras vs Vasco DA Gama

Palmeiras vs Vasco DA Gama

Result • Série A·Palmeiras·Vasco DA Gama

Série A
Série A
Aug 23, 2026
19:00
high Confidence
WINNER
Palmeiras

Palmeiras

Home
Final Score
4-1
Predicted: 2-0
Final Score
4-1
Predicted: 2-0
Odds
11.64
X3.80
25.10
Stadium
Nubank Parque
high Confidence
Vasco DA Gama

Vasco DA Gama

Away
Odds
11.64
X3.80
25.10
Stadium
Nubank Parque
Win Probabilities
62%
Palmeiras
26%
Draw
12%
Vasco DA Gama
Home1.6462%
Draw3.8026%
Away5.1012%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

Palmeiras are clear favourites, backed by their top-of-the-table form and a dominant head-to-head record against a Vasco side struggling for goals. The main risk is Vasco's recent defensive solidity, which could keep the scoreline tight.

Our AI model analyzes this Série A fixture between Palmeiras and Vasco DA Gama using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Palmeiras a 62% win probability, a 26% chance of a draw, and Vasco DA Gama a 12% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-0. Both teams to score probability: 45%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 45%

Match Events

  1. Yellow Card: Marlon Freitas
    9'
    Yellow Card: Marlon FreitasPalmeiras
  2. 44'
    Yellow Card: A. GomezVasco DA Gama
    Yellow Card: A. Gomez
  3. Substitution: MuriloOut: A. Barboza
    46'
    Substitution: MuriloPalmeiras · Out: A. Barboza
  4. Goal: J. LopezAssist: Allan Elias
    47'
    Goal: J. LopezPalmeiras · Assist: Allan Elias
  5. 50'
    Yellow Card: Thiago MendesVasco DA Gama
    Yellow Card: Thiago Mendes
  6. Penalty: Vitor Roque (Penalty)
    51'
    Penalty: Vitor Roque (Penalty)Palmeiras
  7. Goal: MauricioAssist: Andreas Pereira
    56'
    Goal: MauricioPalmeiras · Assist: Andreas Pereira
  8. 58'
    Substitution: Riquelme AvellarVasco DA Gama · Out: Cuiabano
    Substitution: Riquelme AvellarOut: Cuiabano
  9. 58'
    Substitution: Ramon RiqueVasco DA Gama · Out: Thiago Mendes
    Substitution: Ramon RiqueOut: Thiago Mendes
  10. 65'
    Substitution: N. MoreiraVasco DA Gama · Out: Adson
    Substitution: N. MoreiraOut: Adson
  11. 65'
    Substitution: F. ColidioVasco DA Gama · Out: David
    Substitution: F. ColidioOut: David
  12. Substitution: Felipe AndersonOut: Allan Elias
    71'
    Substitution: Felipe AndersonPalmeiras · Out: Allan Elias
  13. Substitution: J. AriasOut: Vitor Roque
    71'
    Substitution: J. AriasPalmeiras · Out: Vitor Roque
  14. Substitution: E. MartinezOut: Marlon Freitas
    71'
    Substitution: E. MartinezPalmeiras · Out: Marlon Freitas
  15. 72'
    Substitution: M. HinestrozaVasco DA Gama · Out: A. Gomez
    Substitution: M. HinestrozaOut: A. Gomez
  16. 83'
    Yellow Card: Robert RenanVasco DA Gama
    Yellow Card: Robert Renan
  17. Substitution: KhellvenOut: A. Giay
    83'
    Substitution: KhellvenPalmeiras · Out: A. Giay
  18. Goal: J. LopezAssist: J. Arias
    89'
    Goal: J. LopezPalmeiras · Assist: J. Arias
  19. 90+4'
    Goal: F. ColidioVasco DA Gama
    Goal: F. Colidio
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1J. López vs Lucas Freitas: Palmeiras' top scorer will test Vasco's central defender with his movement and finishing.
2J. Arias vs Lucas Piton: The winger's pace and dribbling could expose Vasco's left-back in one-on-one situations.
3Maurício vs Ramon Rique: The midfield duel will be crucial in controlling the tempo and dictating play.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Palmeiras

  • Strong home record (7W-3D-1L)
  • High-scoring attack (1.6 goals per game)
  • Recent loss in last match
  • Conceding an average of 1.4 goals per game

Vasco DA Gama

  • Excellent defensive record recently (4 clean sheets in 5 games)
  • Compact and organised backline
  • Poor league position (18th)
  • Struggling to score (0.8 goals per game)

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
62%
API-Football
45%
54%
Palmeiras533611

Moderate agreement on home win (54%).

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Palmeiras are clear favourites for this Série A clash, backed by a dominant league position, superior form, and a strong head-to-head record. The home side sit top of the table with 48 points, while Vasco da Gama languish in 18th with just 22 points, making this a battle between promotion contenders and relegation strugglers.

Form Analysis: Palmeiras have won 61% of their recent matches, scoring 1.6 goals per game, while Vasco have lost three of their last five and have failed to score in three of those outings. Although Vasco have kept four clean sheets in five games, their attacking output is minimal, averaging just 0.8 goals per match.

Key Factors: The home advantage is significant, with Palmeiras unbeaten in 10 of 11 home games. Head-to-head, Palmeiras have won 7 of the last 10 meetings. Additionally, Vasco are missing several key players through suspension, weakening an already fragile squad.

Conclusion: All data points to a comfortable home victory. Palmeiras' attacking quality and Vasco's defensive resilience suggest a low-scoring affair, but the home side's overall superiority should see them prevail.

Statistical ContextPalmeiras

Double chance : Palmeiras or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
PalmeirasVasco DA Gama
75%Strength24%
91%Attacking Potential9%
50%Defensive Potential50%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
80%H2H Strength20%
80%Goals H2H20%
75%Wins the Game24%
Head-to-head →Injuries · PalmeirasInjuries · Vasco DA Gama

Statistical Context

Palmeiras

WWDDD
  • WSep 12, 26H · Sao Paulo2-0
  • WSep 9, 26H · LDU de Quito1-0
  • DSep 6, 26A · Botafogo0-0
  • DSep 3, 26A · Santos0-0
  • DAug 30, 26A · Mirassol1-1

Vasco DA Gama

WDLWW
  • WSep 12, 26A · Gremio1-2
  • DSep 8, 26A · Santa Fe0-0
  • LSep 6, 26A · Fluminense1-0
  • WSep 3, 26A · Vitoria0-2
  • WAug 30, 26H · Cruzeiro3-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
1Flamengo27+3157WWWWL
2Palmeiras27+2656WDDWL
3Atletico Paranaense27+1046DLDWD
16Gremio26-728LLWLL
17Vasco DA Gama26-1228WLWLL
18Internacional27-528WLLDD

Head to Head

7
Palmeiras
2
Draws
1
Vasco DA Gama
  • Mar 12, 26Vasco DA Gama – Palmeiras2-1
  • Oct 1, 25Palmeiras – Vasco DA Gama3-0
  • May 4, 25Vasco DA Gama – Palmeiras0-1
  • Sep 22, 24Vasco DA Gama – Palmeiras0-1
  • Jun 14, 24Palmeiras – Vasco DA Gama2-0

Season Statistics — 2026

PalmeirasVasco DA Gama
Played2625
Goals Scored4527
Goals Conceded2140
Avg Scored1.71.1
Avg Conceded0.81.6
Clean Sheets102

Palmeiras vs Vasco DA Gama — Match Analysis

Palmeiras are clear favourites, backed by their top-of-the-table form and a dominant head-to-head record against a Vasco side struggling for goals. The main risk is Vasco's recent defensive solidity, which could keep the scoreline tight.

Palmeiras are clear favourites for this Série A clash, backed by a dominant league position, superior form, and a strong head-to-head record. The home side sit top of the table with 48 points, while Vasco da Gama languish in 18th with just 22 points, making this a battle between promotion contenders and relegation strugglers.

Form Analysis: Palmeiras have won 61% of their recent matches, scoring 1.6 goals per game, while Vasco have lost three of their last five and have failed to score in three of those outings. Although Vasco have kept four clean sheets in five games, their attacking output is minimal, averaging just 0.8 goals per match.

Key Factors: The home advantage is significant, with Palmeiras unbeaten in 10 of 11 home games. Head-to-head, Palmeiras have won 7 of the last 10 meetings. Additionally, Vasco are missing several key players through suspension, weakening an already fragile squad.

Conclusion: All data points to a comfortable home victory. Palmeiras' attacking quality and Vasco's defensive resilience suggest a low-scoring affair, but the home side's overall superiority should see them prevail.

Win Probabilities: Palmeiras: 62% · Draw: 26% · Vasco DA Gama: 12%

Predicted Score: 2-0 (18.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 38% · Under 2.5: 62% · BTTS: 45%

H2H: Palmeiras wins: 7 · Draws: 2 · Vasco DA Gama wins: 1

Form (latest first): Palmeiras: WWDDD · Vasco DA Gama: WDLWW

  • J. López vs Lucas Freitas: Palmeiras' top scorer will test Vasco's central defender with his movement and finishing.
  • J. Arias vs Lucas Piton: The winger's pace and dribbling could expose Vasco's left-back in one-on-one situations.
  • Maurício vs Ramon Rique: The midfield duel will be crucial in controlling the tempo and dictating play.

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Série A

Série A

Brazil15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Série ABrazil
Botafogo
Sep 1622:30
Gremio
11.8554%
X3.5728%
25.5618%
Série ABrazil
Atletico-MG
Sep 1919:00
Chapecoense-sc
11.5664%
X4.0025%
29.0911%
Série ABrazil
Mirassol
Sep 1920:00
Botafogo
12.4441%
X2.9434%
24.0025%
Série ABrazil
Remo
Sep 1921:30
Santos
13.7027%
X3.0333%
22.5040%
Série ABrazil
Vasco DA Gama
Sep 1923:30
Coritiba
12.0848%
X3.5728%
24.1724%
Série ABrazil
Sao Paulo
Sep 2000:00
Internacional
12.0050%
X3.2331%
25.2619%
Série ABrazil
Gremio
Sep 2014:00
Palmeiras
14.5522%
X3.3330%
22.0848%
Série ABrazil
Corinthians
Sep 2019:00
Fluminense
12.5040%
X3.3330%
23.3330%
Série ABrazil
Vitoria
Sep 2019:00
Cruzeiro
13.7027%
X3.0333%
22.5040%
Série ABrazil
Flamengo
Sep 2021:30
RB Bragantino
11.5664%
X4.1724%
28.3312%
Série ABrazil
Atletico Paranaense
Sep 2022:30
Bahia
12.2744%
X3.4529%
23.7027%
Série ABrazil
Internacional
Oct 722:30
Corinthians
Early projection
12.7836%
X3.5728%
22.7836%
Série ABrazil
RB Bragantino
Oct 722:30
Mirassol
Early projection
11.8554%
X4.5522%
24.1724%
Série ABrazil
Remo
Oct 722:30
Gremio
Early projection
12.8635%
X3.7027%
22.6338%
Série ABrazil
Vitoria
Oct 723:00
Chapecoense-sc
Early projection
11.8255%
X4.7621%
24.1724%

Betting Tips

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