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  1. Home
  2. Série A
  3. Sao Paulo vs Santos

Sao Paulo vs Santos

Prediction • Série A·Sao Paulo·Santos

Série A
Série A
Jul 29, 2026
20:00
PREDICTED DRAW
Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

Home
VS
VS
Odds
12.00
X3.20
23.60
Stadium
Estadio Do MorumBIS
PREDICTED DRAW
Santos

Santos

Away
Odds
12.00
X3.20
23.60
Stadium
Estadio Do MorumBIS
Win Probabilities
37%
Sao Paulo
33%
Draw
30%
Santos
Home2.0037%
Draw3.2033%
Away3.6030%

Oracle's Vision

Confidence
“

Sao Paulo are slight favourites with home advantage, but their poor form and key suspensions make this a close contest. Santos' attacking threat and recent win give them a real chance of taking points.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
2.0Sao Paulo
/10
4.0Santos
Sao Paulo
FormLatest first
LWDDL
Win Rate20%
Santos
FormLatest first
DDWWL
Win Rate40%
Momentum AdvantageSantos+2.0

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Match Weather

21°
Clear
Wind
9 km/h
Humidity
72%
Rain
0.3 mm
Tactical Impact

Ideal playing conditions - no significant weather impact

Sao Paulo
Home

Sao Paulo

Form
LDLDL
Latest first
8
Pos
51
Pts
+1
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 22 matches)

Clean Sheets418%
Goal Diff+1
  • Strong home record (5W-2D-2L)
  • Solid defense at home
  • Experience in high-pressure matches

Key Players

J. Calleri
J. Calleri
6.8
Goals
6
Assists
1
Luciano
Luciano
7.0
Goals
6
Assists
1
Ferreira
Ferreira
7.2
Goals
4
Assists
0
Andre Silva
Yellow Cards
Suspended
Jonathan Calleri
Yellow Cards
Suspended
Wendell
Yellow Cards
Suspended
Lucas Moura
Achilles Injury
Injured
Luciano
Inactive
Injured
Sabino
Injury
Injured
Ryan Francisco
Knee Injury
Injured
Alisson
Inactive
Injured
Danielzinho
Inactive
Injured
Lucca Marques
Jaw injury
Injured
Lucas Ramon
Injury
Injured
D. Bobadilla
Inactive
Injured
Carlos Coronel
Inactive
Injured
E. Diaz
Personal Reasons
Injured
A. Franco
Muscle Injury
Injured
G. Tapia
International duty
Injured
Paulinho
Inactive
Injured
Pablo Maia
Fracture
Injured
Djhordney
Inactive
Injured
Marcos Antonio
Hamstring Injury
Injured
R. Toloi
Muscle Injury
Injured
Ferreira
Inactive
Injured
Robert Arboleda
Inactive
Injured
Maik
Inactive
Injured
Victor Sa
Inactive
Injured
Cauly
Inactive
Injured

Head to Head

Last 10
Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo
4Wins
2
Draws
Santos
4Wins
Santos
40%20%40%

Recent Matches

Last 10
Feb42026
SantosSantos
1-1
Draw
Sao PauloSao Paulo
Jan312026
Sao PauloSao Paulo
2-0
Win
SantosSantos
Sep212025
SantosSantos
1-0
Loss
Sao PauloSao Paulo
Apr202025
Sao PauloSao Paulo
2-1
Win
SantosSantos
Feb12025
SantosSantos
3-1
Loss
Sao PauloSao Paulo
Feb142024
Sao PauloSao Paulo
0-1
Loss
SantosSantos
Nov122023
SantosSantos
0-0
Draw
Sao PauloSao Paulo
Jul162023
Sao PauloSao Paulo
4-1
Win
SantosSantos
Feb122023
Sao PauloSao Paulo
3-1
Win
SantosSantos
Aug212022
SantosSantos
1-0
Loss
Sao PauloSao Paulo
Sao Paulo4-3-3vs4-2-3-1SantosPredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Balanced matchup. Control in wide areas vs central creativity.

SantosSantos4-2-3-1
Sao PauloSao Paulo4-3-3
SantosBenchSantos7
Sao PauloBenchSao Paulo7

Injury Report

Current team availability status

Data Accuracy: Player availability is highly accurate (~90%), but specific injury diagnoses and recovery timelines may not reflect the latest medical updates (~70% accuracy).

Sao Paulo

26Out

23 key players

Santos

27Out

21 key players

Sao Paulo

Team

Sao Paulo

Players Out

26(23 key)
Andre Silva

Andre Silva

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
Jonathan Calleri

Jonathan Calleri

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
Wendell

Wendell

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
Lucas Moura

Lucas Moura

MODERATE
Injury:Achilles Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Luciano

Luciano

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Sabino

Sabino

MODERATE
Injury:Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Ryan Francisco

Ryan Francisco

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

Alisson

Alisson

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Danielzinho

Danielzinho

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Lucca Marques

Lucca Marques

MODERATE
Injury:Jaw injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Lucas Ramon

Lucas Ramon

MODERATE
Injury:Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

D. Bobadilla

D. Bobadilla

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Carlos Coronel

Carlos Coronel

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

E. Diaz

E. Diaz

MODERATE
Injury:Personal Reasons

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

A. Franco

A. Franco

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

G. Tapia

G. Tapia

MODERATE
Injury:International duty

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Paulinho

Paulinho

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Pablo Maia

Pablo Maia

MODERATE
Injury:Fracture

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Djhordney

Djhordney

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Marcos Antonio

Marcos Antonio

MODERATE
Injury:Hamstring Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

R. Toloi

R. Toloi

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

Ferreira

Ferreira

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Robert Arboleda

Robert Arboleda

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Maik

Maik

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Victor Sa

Victor Sa

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Cauly

Cauly

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Santos

Team

Santos

Players Out

27(21 key)
Gabriel Barbosa

Gabriel Barbosa

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
Luan Peres

Luan Peres

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
Rony

Rony

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
G. Escobar

G. Escobar

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
Neymar

Neymar

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
Gabriel Brazao

Gabriel Brazao

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
Gustavo Henrique

Gustavo Henrique

MODERATE
Injury:Hamstring Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

Pepe Fermino

Pepe Fermino

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

A. Duarte

A. Duarte

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Ze Rafael

Ze Rafael

MODERATE
Injury:Ankle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-8 weeks

Joao Schmidt

Joao Schmidt

MODERATE
Injury:Hamstring Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

B. Rollheiser

B. Rollheiser

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

Vinicius Lira

Vinicius Lira

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

L. Diaz

L. Diaz

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Gabriel Menino

Gabriel Menino

MODERATE
Injury:Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Rodrigo Falcao

Rodrigo Falcao

MODERATE
Injury:Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Igor Vinicius

Igor Vinicius

MODERATE
Injury:Back Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

4-12 weeks

A. Barreal

A. Barreal

MODERATE
Injury:Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Lucas Verissimo

Lucas Verissimo

MODERATE
Injury:Calf Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

A. Frias

A. Frias

MODERATE
Injury:Transfer negotiations

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Mayke

Mayke

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

T. Rincon

T. Rincon

MODERATE
Injury:Health problems

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Gabriel Bontempo

Gabriel Bontempo

MODERATE
Injury:Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Thaciano

Thaciano

MODERATE
Injury:Hamstring Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

Tiquinho Soares

Tiquinho Soares

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Willian Arao

Willian Arao

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Moises

Moises

MODERATE
Injury:Ankle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-8 weeks

Série A

League Statistics

Série A • Standings & Top Performers

Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Palmeiras
Palmeiras
2415634420+2451
2
Flamengo
Flamengo
2313644521+2445
3
Atletico Paranaense
Atletico Paranaense
2312563120+1141
4
Fluminense
Fluminense
2411853629+741
5
Cruzeiro
Cruzeiro
2411673433+139
6
Bahia
Bahia
2491053428+637
7
RB Bragantino
RB Bragantino
2310582823+535
8
Coritiba
Coritiba
249783031-134
9
Atletico-MG
Atletico-MG
239683027+333
10
Corinthians
Corinthians
248882624+232
11
Botafogo
Botafogo
228683534+130
12
Vitoria
Vitoria
2485112335-1229
13
Sao Paulo
Sao PauloHome
2376102727027
14
Santos
SantosAway
236893336-326
15
Gremio
Gremio
2367102431-725
16
Internacional
Internacional
2451092428-425
17
Mirassol
Mirassol
2366112636-1024
18
Remo
Remo
2458112839-1123
19
Vasco DA Gama
Vasco DA Gama
2357112438-1422
20
Chapecoense-sc
Chapecoense-sc
2328132446-2214
Champions League
Relegation
HomeAway

Oracle's Vision

Predicted Winner

Draw

Confidence

Win Probabilities

37%Sao Paulo
33%Draw
30%Santos

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
Odds 1·X·22.00 · 3.20 · 3.60
KickoffWed, Jul 29 · 20:00
StadiumEstadio Do MorumBIS
League StatsSérie A

Statistical Context

Sao Paulo

LWDDL
  • LAug 23, 26A · Chapecoense-sc1-0
  • WAug 19, 26H · Bolívar3-1
  • DAug 16, 26H · Coritiba1-1
  • DAug 12, 26A · Bolívar1-1
  • LAug 8, 26A · Gremio2-1

Santos

DDWWL
  • DAug 23, 26H · Mirassol1-1
  • DAug 20, 26A · Macara0-0
  • WAug 16, 26A · Vasco DA Gama0-3
  • WAug 13, 26H · Macara2-1
  • LAug 9, 26H · Atletico Paranaense0-2

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
12Vitoria24-1229LWLLL
13Sao Paulo23027LDLDL
14Santos23-326DWLDL
15Gremio23-725LLWDL

Head to Head

4
Sao Paulo
2
Draws
4
Santos
  • Feb 4, 26Santos – Sao Paulo1-1
  • Jan 31, 26Sao Paulo – Santos2-0
  • Sep 21, 25Santos – Sao Paulo1-0
  • Apr 20, 25Sao Paulo – Santos2-1
  • Feb 1, 25Santos – Sao Paulo3-1

Season Statistics — 2026

Sao PauloSantos
Played2222
Goals Scored2732
Goals Conceded2635
Avg Scored1.21.4
Avg Conceded1.21.6
Clean Sheets45

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

Sao PauloSantos
Over 2.5 Goals6/10—
Both Teams Scored4/10—
Clean Sheets2/10—

Predicted Line-ups & Formations

Predicted XI

Sao Paulo

Formation 4-3-3
  1. 23GRafael
  2. 56DNicolas
  3. 54DOsorio Luis
  4. 5DR. Arboleda
  5. 2DR. Tolói
  6. 48MD. Ferreira
  7. 8MMarcos Antônio
  8. 30MFelipe Negrucci
  9. 17AAndré Silva
  10. 37AArtur
  11. 9AJ. Calleri

Coach: Machado Roger

Santos

Formation 4-2-3-1
  1. 1GDiógenes
  2. 98DA. Frías
  3. 26DJoão Paulo Ananias
  4. 4DLucas Veríssimo
  5. 6DJoão Alencar
  6. 81MS. Pierri
  7. 30MM. Terceros
  8. 28MC. Oliva
  9. 22MÁ. Barreal
  10. 48MGustavo Henrique Pereira
  11. 7ANikita Solodchenko

Coach: J. Vojvoda

Sao Paulo vs Santos — Expert Prediction & Analysis

Sao Paulo are slight favourites with home advantage, but their poor form and key suspensions make this a close contest. Santos' attacking threat and recent win give them a real chance of taking points.

Based on the data, Sao Paulo are slight favourites to win this match, but the contest is expected to be tight. The bookmaker-implied probabilities give the home side a clear edge, though the API-Football model suggests a more balanced affair with a higher chance of a draw or Santos victory.…

Win Probabilities: Sao Paulo: 37% · Draw: 33% · Santos: 30%

H2H: Sao Paulo wins: 4 · Draws: 2 · Santos wins: 4

Form (latest first): Sao Paulo: LWDDL · Santos: DDWWL

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Série A

Série A

Brazil15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Série ABrazil
Atletico-MG
Aug 2921:30
Vitoria
11.7557%
X3.5728%
26.6715%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Série ABrazil
Sao Paulo
Aug 2923:00
RB Bragantino
12.5040%
X3.2331%
23.4529%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Série ABrazil
Vasco DA Gama
Aug 3000:20
Cruzeiro
12.6338%
X3.4529%
23.0333%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Série ABrazil
Atletico Paranaense
Aug 3014:00
Fluminense
12.5040%
X3.1332%
23.5728%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Série ABrazil
Flamengo
Aug 3019:00
Botafogo
11.5664%
X4.1724%
28.3312%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Série ABrazil
Corinthians
Aug 3019:00
Santos
11.9651%
X3.2331%
25.5618%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Série ABrazil
Gremio
Aug 3021:30
Chapecoense-sc
11.5963%
X4.0025%
28.3312%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Série ABrazil
Mirassol
Aug 3021:30
Palmeiras
15.0020%
X3.1332%
22.0848%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Série ABrazil
Bahia
Aug 3022:30
Internacional
12.0449%
X3.2331%
25.0020%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Série ABrazil
Remo
Aug 3123:00
Coritiba
12.5040%
X3.3330%
23.3330%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Série ABrazil
Flamengo
Sep 222:30
Mirassol
Early projection
11.4370%
X6.2516%
27.1414%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Série ABrazil
RB Bragantino
Sep 519:00
Bahia
Early projection
12.1746%
X4.1724%
23.3330%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Série ABrazil
Sao Paulo
Sep 521:30
Atletico-MG
Early projection
12.6338%
X3.7027%
22.8635%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Série ABrazil
Fluminense
Sep 600:00
Vasco DA Gama
Early projection
11.5963%
X5.5618%
25.2619%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Série ABrazil
Coritiba
Sep 614:00
Mirassol
Early projection
11.8255%
X4.7621%
24.1724%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access