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  1. Home
  2. Série A
  3. Sao Paulo vs Vitoria

Sao Paulo vs Vitoria

Prediction • Série A·Sao Paulo·Vitoria

Série A
Série A
Oct 11, 2026
00:00
Early projection · Odds pending
PREDICTED WINNER
Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

Home
VS
VS
Stadium
Morumbi
Early projection · Odds pending
Vitoria

Vitoria

Away
Stadium
Morumbi
Win Probabilities
50%
Sao Paulo
22%
Draw
28%
Vitoria
Home2.0050%
Draw4.5522%
Away3.5728%

Oracle's Vision

Early projection
“

Sao Paulo are narrow favourites at home, supported by a strong head-to-head record and solid home form, while Vitoria's defensive frailties and suspensions hinder their chances. The main risk is Sao Paulo's own missing attackers, which could blunt their edge.

See our exact score, over/under 2.5 and BTTS call for Sao Paulo vs Vitoria.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
4.0Sao Paulo
/10
2.0Vitoria
Sao Paulo
FormLatest first
LLWWL
Win Rate40%
Vitoria
FormLatest first
DWLLL
Win Rate20%
Momentum AdvantageSao Paulo+2.0

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Sao Paulo
Home

Sao Paulo

Form
LLWWW
Latest first
8
Pos
51
Pts
+3
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 25 matches)

Clean Sheets520%
Goal Diff+3
  • Strong home record: 3 wins and 1 draw in 4 home games
  • Potent attack: 10 goals in last 5 matches
  • Dominant head-to-head record against Vitoria

Key Players

J. Calleri
J. Calleri
6.8
Goals
6
Assists
1
Luciano
Luciano
7.0
Goals
6
Assists
1
Ferreira
Ferreira
7.2
Goals
4
Assists
0
Andre Silva
Yellow Cards
Suspended
Jonathan Calleri
Yellow Cards
Suspended
Wendell
Yellow Cards
Suspended
Lucas Moura
Achilles Injury
Injured
Luciano
Inactive
Injured
Sabino
Injury
Injured
Ryan Francisco
Knee Injury
Injured
Alisson
Inactive
Injured
Danielzinho
Inactive
Injured
Lucca Marques
Jaw injury
Injured
Lucas Ramon
Injury
Injured
D. Bobadilla
Inactive
Injured
Carlos Coronel
Inactive
Injured
E. Diaz
Personal Reasons
Injured
A. Franco
Muscle Injury
Injured
G. Tapia
International duty
Injured
Paulinho
Inactive
Injured
Pablo Maia
Fracture
Injured
Djhordney
Inactive
Injured
Marcos Antonio
Hamstring Injury
Injured
R. Toloi
Muscle Injury
Injured
Ferreira
Inactive
Injured
Robert Arboleda
Inactive
Injured
Maik
Inactive
Injured
Victor Sa
Inactive
Injured
Cauly
Inactive
Injured

Head to Head

Last 10
Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo
7Wins
0
Draws
Vitoria
3Wins
Vitoria
70%0%30%

Recent Matches

Last 10
Apr112026
VitoriaVitoria
2-0
Loss
Sao PauloSao Paulo
Dec72025
VitoriaVitoria
1-0
Loss
Sao PauloSao Paulo
Aug92025
Sao PauloSao Paulo
2-0
Win
VitoriaVitoria
Aug252024
Sao PauloSao Paulo
2-1
Win
VitoriaVitoria
May52024
VitoriaVitoria
1-3
Win
Sao PauloSao Paulo
Oct262018
VitoriaVitoria
0-1
Win
Sao PauloSao Paulo
Jun132018
Sao PauloSao Paulo
3-0
Win
VitoriaVitoria
Sep172017
VitoriaVitoria
1-2
Win
Sao PauloSao Paulo
Jun82017
Sao PauloSao Paulo
2-0
Win
VitoriaVitoria
Sep252016
VitoriaVitoria
2-0
Loss
Sao PauloSao Paulo

Past Predictions

50%1/2 correct

Vitoria 2 - 0 Sao Paulo

Apr 11, 2026

26% / 36% / 38%

Vitoria 1 - 0 Sao Paulo

Dec 7, 2025

45% / 45% / 10%

Sao Paulo3-4-2-1vs4-2-3-1VitoriaPredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Tactical matchup will test both managers' adaptability.

See the full predicted line-ups ↓

Injury Report

Current team availability status

Data Accuracy: Player availability is highly accurate (~90%), but specific injury diagnoses and recovery timelines may not reflect the latest medical updates (~70% accuracy).

Sao Paulo

26Out

23 key players

Vitoria

34Out

28 key players

Sao Paulo

Team

Sao Paulo

Players Out

26(23 key)
Andre Silva

Andre Silva

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
Jonathan Calleri

Jonathan Calleri

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
Wendell

Wendell

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
Lucas Moura

Lucas Moura

MODERATE
Injury:Achilles Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Luciano

Luciano

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Sabino

Sabino

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Ryan Francisco

Ryan Francisco

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

Alisson

Alisson

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Danielzinho

Danielzinho

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Lucca Marques

Lucca Marques

MODERATE
Injury:Jaw injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Lucas Ramon

Lucas Ramon

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

D. Bobadilla

D. Bobadilla

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Carlos Coronel

Carlos Coronel

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

E. Diaz

E. Diaz

MODERATE
Injury:Personal Reasons

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

A. Franco

A. Franco

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

G. Tapia

G. Tapia

MODERATE
Injury:International duty

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Paulinho

Paulinho

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Pablo Maia

Pablo Maia

MODERATE
Injury:Fracture

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Djhordney

Djhordney

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Marcos Antonio

Marcos Antonio

MODERATE
Injury:Hamstring Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

R. Toloi

R. Toloi

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

Ferreira

Ferreira

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Robert Arboleda

Robert Arboleda

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Maik

Maik

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Victor Sa

Victor Sa

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Cauly

Cauly

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Vitoria

Team

Vitoria

Players Out

34(28 key)
Matheuzinho

Matheuzinho

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
Caique Goncalves

Caique Goncalves

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
Ze Vitor

Ze Vitor

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
Luan Candido

Luan Candido

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
Renato Kayzer

Renato Kayzer

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
Edenilson

Edenilson

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
Neris

Neris

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Gabriel

Gabriel

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Caca

Caca

MODERATE
Status:Suspended
Ramon

Ramon

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

R. Ramos

R. Ramos

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

Riccieli

Riccieli

MODERATE
Injury:Calf Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Camutanga

Camutanga

MODERATE
Injury:Fracture

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-6 weeks

Nathan Mendes

Nathan Mendes

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

Anderson

Anderson

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

A. Cantalapiedra

A. Cantalapiedra

MODERATE
Injury:Personal Reasons

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Edu

Edu

MODERATE
Injury:Achilles Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Walace

Walace

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Dudu

Dudu

MODERATE
Injury:Back Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

4-12 weeks

Claudinho

Claudinho

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

Fintelman

Fintelman

MODERATE
Injury:Hip Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Kauan Vitor

Kauan Vitor

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Lucas Arcanjo

Lucas Arcanjo

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

Marinho

Marinho

MODERATE
Injury:Hamstring Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

R. Lopez

R. Lopez

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

H. Pedro

H. Pedro

MODERATE
Injury:Hand Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

T. Pochettino

T. Pochettino

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Alex Bruno

Alex Bruno

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Yuri

Yuri

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Jamerson

Jamerson

MODERATE
Injury:Hamstring Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

Baralhas

Baralhas

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Emmanuel Martinez

Emmanuel Martinez

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Matheusinho

Matheusinho

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Fabricio

Fabricio

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Série A

League Statistics

Série A • Standings & Top Performers

Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Flamengo
Flamengo
2717645322+3157
2
Palmeiras
Palmeiras
2716834721+2656
3
Atletico Paranaense
Atletico Paranaense
2713774131+1046
4
Bahia
Bahia
27121054233+946
5
Fluminense
Fluminense
2712964135+645
6
Cruzeiro
Cruzeiro
2712693939042
7
Atletico-MG
Atletico-MG
2611693531+439
8
Coritiba
Coritiba
2710893738-138
9
RB Bragantino
RB Bragantino
26106103229+336
10
Santos
Santos
269893939035
11
Sao Paulo
Sao PauloHome
2696113130+133
12
Vitoria
VitoriaAway
2796122739-1233
13
Corinthians
Corinthians
2788112829-132
14
Botafogo
Botafogo
2688103841-332
15
Mirassol
Mirassol
2778123142-1129
16
Gremio
Gremio
2677122835-728
17
Vasco DA Gama
Vasco DA Gama
2677122941-1228
18
Internacional
Internacional
27610113035-528
19
Remo
Remo
2758143145-1423
20
Chapecoense-sc
Chapecoense-sc
2638152852-2417
Champions League
Relegation
HomeAway

Oracle's Vision

Early projection

Sao Paulo

Odds pending

Win Probabilities

50%Sao Paulo
22%Draw
28%Vitoria

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
KickoffSun, Oct 11 · 00:00
StadiumMorumbi
League StatsSérie A
Line-ups →Head-to-head →Injuries · Sao PauloInjuries · Vitoria

Statistical Context

Sao Paulo

LLWWL
  • LSep 12, 26A · Palmeiras2-0
  • LSep 9, 26A · Boca Juniors1-0
  • WSep 5, 26H · Atletico-MG2-0
  • WAug 29, 26H · RB Bragantino2-1
  • LAug 23, 26A · Chapecoense-sc1-0

Vitoria

DWLLL
  • DSep 13, 26A · Mirassol2-2
  • WSep 7, 26H · Gremio1-0
  • LSep 3, 26H · Vasco DA Gama0-2
  • LAug 29, 26A · Atletico-MG2-1
  • LAug 27, 26A · Vasco DA Gama1-0

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
10Santos26035WWWDW
11Sao Paulo26+133LWWLD
12Vitoria27-1233DWLLW
13Corinthians27-132LLLLL

Head to Head

7
Sao Paulo
0
Draws
3
Vitoria
  • Apr 11, 26Vitoria – Sao Paulo2-0
  • Dec 7, 25Vitoria – Sao Paulo1-0
  • Aug 9, 25Sao Paulo – Vitoria2-0
  • Aug 25, 24Sao Paulo – Vitoria2-1
  • May 5, 24Vitoria – Sao Paulo1-3

Season Statistics — 2026

Sao PauloVitoria
Played2525
Goals Scored3124
Goals Conceded2837
Avg Scored1.21.0
Avg Conceded1.11.5
Clean Sheets59

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

Sao PauloVitoria
Over 2.5 Goals6/10—
Both Teams Scored4/10—
Clean Sheets2/10—

Predicted line-ups: Sao Paulo vs Vitoria

Predicted XI

Sao Paulo

3-4-2-1Formation· Coach: Machado Roger

Vitoria

4-2-3-1Formation· Coach: Carlos Amadeu

  1. 71Yuri Sena
  1. 2E. Brítez
  2. 70Fabiano
  3. 18Kauan
  4. 36Luan Cândido
  1. 95Caíque
  2. 88Zé Vitor
  1. 33Erick
  2. 12D. Tarzia
  3. 41Wendell Sacramento
  1. 23Fabrício
  1. 17André Silva
  1. 37Artur
  2. 33Luan
  1. 12Iago
  2. 48D. Ferreira
  3. 8Marcos Antônio
  4. 28Newton
  1. 22Domingos Duarte
  2. 19Lucas Carvalho
  3. 5R. Arboleda
  1. 23Rafael

Bench

  • 2R. Tolói
  • 9J. Calleri
  • 43G. Santana
  • 27Victor Sá
  • 34P. dos Santos
  • 50Young
  • 56Nicolas

Out

  • Andre Silva · Yellow Cards
  • Jonathan Calleri · Yellow Cards
  • Wendell · Yellow Cards
  • Lucas Moura · Achilles Tendon Injury
  • Luciano · Inactive
  • Sabino · Injury
  • Ryan Francisco · Knee Injury
  • Alisson · Inactive

Bench

  • 98Mateusinho
  • 69Wanderson
  • 11Osvaldo
  • 91Rene
  • 25Cacá
  • 40Hiago Costa
  • 48Ivan

Out

  • Matheuzinho · Yellow Cards
  • Caique Goncalves · Yellow Cards
  • Ze Vitor · Yellow Cards
  • Luan Candido · Red Card
  • Renato Kayzer · Yellow Cards
  • Edenilson · Red Card
  • Neris · Injury
  • Gabriel · Inactive

Predicted line-ups based on recent matches and absences; official line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.

Sao Paulo vs Vitoria — Expert Prediction & Analysis

Sao Paulo are narrow favourites at home, supported by a strong head-to-head record and solid home form, while Vitoria's defensive frailties and suspensions hinder their chances. The main risk is Sao Paulo's own missing attackers, which could blunt their edge.

Sao Paulo enter this fixture as narrow favourites, backed by a strong home record and a superior head-to-head history against Vitoria. The model gives them a clear edge, though not a decisive one, with Vitoria capable of causing problems.…

Win Probabilities: Sao Paulo: 50% · Draw: 22% · Vitoria: 28%

H2H: Sao Paulo wins: 7 · Draws: 0 · Vitoria wins: 3

Form (latest first): Sao Paulo: LLWWL · Vitoria: DWLLL

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Série A

Série A

Brazil15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Série ABrazil
Botafogo
Sep 1622:30
Gremio
11.8554%
X3.5728%
25.5618%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Série ABrazil
Atletico-MG
Sep 1919:00
Chapecoense-sc
11.5664%
X4.0025%
29.0911%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Série ABrazil
Mirassol
Sep 1920:00
Botafogo
12.4441%
X2.9434%
24.0025%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Série ABrazil
Remo
Sep 1921:30
Santos
13.7027%
X3.0333%
22.5040%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Série ABrazil
Vasco DA Gama
Sep 1923:30
Coritiba
12.0848%
X3.5728%
24.1724%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Série ABrazil
Sao Paulo
Sep 2000:00
Internacional
12.0050%
X3.2331%
25.2619%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Série ABrazil
Gremio
Sep 2014:00
Palmeiras
14.5522%
X3.3330%
22.0848%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Série ABrazil
Corinthians
Sep 2019:00
Fluminense
12.5040%
X3.3330%
23.3330%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Série ABrazil
Vitoria
Sep 2019:00
Cruzeiro
13.7027%
X3.0333%
22.5040%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Série ABrazil
Flamengo
Sep 2021:30
RB Bragantino
11.5664%
X4.1724%
28.3312%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Série ABrazil
Atletico Paranaense
Sep 2022:30
Bahia
12.2744%
X3.4529%
23.7027%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Série ABrazil
Internacional
Oct 722:30
Corinthians
Early projection
12.7836%
X3.5728%
22.7836%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Série ABrazil
RB Bragantino
Oct 722:30
Mirassol
Early projection
11.8554%
X4.5522%
24.1724%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Série ABrazil
Remo
Oct 722:30
Gremio
Early projection
12.8635%
X3.7027%
22.6338%
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Série ABrazil
Vitoria
Oct 723:00
Chapecoense-sc
Early projection
11.8255%
X4.7621%
24.1724%
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Betting Tips

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