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  1. Home
  2. Primera A
  3. Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Cali

Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Cali

Result • Primera A·Deportes Tolima·Deportivo Cali

Primera A
Primera A
May 3, 2026
20:30
medium Confidence
DRAW
Deportes Tolima

Deportes Tolima

Home
Final Score
1-1
Predicted: 1-0
Final Score
1-1
Predicted: 1-0
Odds
12.60
X3.10
22.80
Stadium
Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro
medium Confidence
DRAW
Deportivo Cali

Deportivo Cali

Away
Odds
12.60
X3.10
22.80
Stadium
Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro
Win Probabilities
39%
Deportes Tolima
34%
Draw
27%
Deportivo Cali
Home2.6039%
Draw3.1034%
Away2.8027%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

The Oracle sees a tight contest where home advantage and historical dominance tip the scales slightly in Tolima's favor, but Cali's resilience may force a share of the spoils.

Our AI model analyzes this Primera A fixture between Deportes Tolima and Deportivo Cali using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Deportes Tolima a 39% win probability, a 34% chance of a draw, and Deportivo Cali a 27% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-0. Both teams to score probability: 45%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 45%

Match Events

  1. Penalty: E. Valencia (Penalty)
    12'
    Penalty: E. Valencia (Penalty)Deportes Tolima
  2. Yellow Card: J. Valencia
    17'
    Yellow Card: J. ValenciaDeportes Tolima
  3. 21'
    Yellow Card: F. AguilarDeportivo Cali
    Yellow Card: F. Aguilar
  4. Substitution: J. AnguloOut: Y. Osorio
    38'
    Substitution: J. AnguloDeportes Tolima · Out: Y. Osorio
  5. Yellow Card: J. Mosquera
    38'
    Yellow Card: J. MosqueraDeportes Tolima
  6. 46'
    Substitution: A. HurtadoDeportivo Cali · Out: F. Aguilar
    Substitution: A. HurtadoOut: F. Aguilar
  7. Yellow Card: S. P. Barbosa Gomez
    49'
    Yellow Card: S. P. Barbosa GomezDeportes Tolima
  8. 53'
    Penalty: Titi (Penalty)Deportivo Cali
    Penalty: Titi (Penalty)
  9. Substitution: E. LopezOut: J. Hernandez
    58'
    Substitution: E. LopezDeportes Tolima · Out: J. Hernandez
  10. Substitution: L. SandovalOut: J. Valencia
    58'
    Substitution: L. SandovalDeportes Tolima · Out: J. Valencia
  11. Substitution: B. RoviraOut: J. Nieto
    58'
    Substitution: B. RoviraDeportes Tolima · Out: J. Nieto
  12. Yellow Card: L. Sandoval
    61'
    Yellow Card: L. SandovalDeportes Tolima
  13. 62'
    Yellow Card: M. OrozcoDeportivo Cali
    Yellow Card: M. Orozco
  14. 68'
    Substitution: J. MontoyaDeportivo Cali · Out: J. Martinez
    Substitution: J. MontoyaOut: J. Martinez
  15. 68'
    Substitution: G. CuellarDeportivo Cali · Out: A. Hurtado
    Substitution: G. CuellarOut: A. Hurtado
  16. 68'
    Substitution: D. GiraldoDeportivo Cali · Out: R. Pajaro
    Substitution: D. GiraldoOut: R. Pajaro
  17. Substitution: S. GuzmanOut: S. P. Barbosa Gomez
    72'
    Substitution: S. GuzmanDeportes Tolima · Out: S. P. Barbosa Gomez
  18. Red Card: C. Trujillo
    80'
    Red Card: C. TrujilloDeportes Tolima
  19. 82'
    Substitution: J. GalindoDeportivo Cali · Out: M. Orozco
    Substitution: J. GalindoOut: M. Orozco
  20. 83'
    Yellow Card: J. GalindoDeportivo Cali
    Yellow Card: J. Galindo
  21. Yellow Card: J. Gonzalez
    90+6'
    Yellow Card: J. GonzalezDeportes Tolima
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1Tolima's attacking midfielder vs Cali's defensive midfielder: Key battle in the middle of the park.
2Tolima's striker vs Cali's center-backs: Physical duel for aerial balls.
3Cali's wing-backs vs Tolima's full-backs: Battle for wide areas.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Deportes Tolima

  • Strong attack (62% rating)
  • Dominant head-to-head record
  • Inconsistent recent form
  • Defensive vulnerabilities (1.2 goals conceded per game)

Deportivo Cali

  • Solid recent form (3 wins in last 5)
  • Strong defense (0.6 goals conceded per game)
  • Poor head-to-head record
  • Lower attacking threat (38% rating)

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
39%
API-Football
45%
42%
Deportes Tolima424019

Moderate agreement on home win (42%).

AI AnalysisMedium Confidence

The match between Deportes Tolima and Deportivo Cali is expected to be tightly contested, with a slight edge to the home side based on head-to-head dominance and attacking strength.

Form Analysis: Deportes Tolima have a mixed recent form (LWLDW) with average goals scored of 1.4 and conceded 1.2, while Deportivo Cali are in better form (WLDWW) with a stronger defense (0.6 goals conceded per game). However, Tolima's home advantage and superior attack (62% vs 38%) may offset Cali's recent momentum.

Key Factors: Head-to-head history heavily favors Tolima (6 wins in last 10 meetings). The API-Football model gives Tolima a 45% win probability and recommends a double chance on Tolima or draw. Weather conditions (rain, 15.4°C) favor a physical style, which may benefit Tolima's home setup. No significant injuries reported.

Conclusion: The data suggests a low-scoring affair with Tolima slightly more likely to win, but Cali's solid defense and recent form make a draw plausible. The odds imply a balanced match, so a narrow home win or draw is the most likely outcome.

Statistical ContextDeportes Tolima

Double chance : Deportes Tolima or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
Deportes TolimaDeportivo Cali
59%Strength40%
62%Attacking Potential38%
33%Defensive Potential67%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
85%H2H Strength15%
67%Goals H2H33%
59%Wins the Game40%
Head-to-head →Injuries · Deportes TolimaInjuries · Deportivo CaliLive scores →

Statistical Context

Deportes Tolima

DDDLL
  • DOct 3, 26H · Chico0-0
  • DSep 27, 26A · Fortaleza FC2-2
  • DSep 20, 26H · America de Cali1-1
  • LSep 16, 26A · Once Caldas1-0
  • LSep 12, 26A · Santa Fe1-0

Deportivo Cali

WWWWW
  • WOct 3, 26H · Alianza Valledupar3-1
  • WSep 28, 26H · Águilas Doradas2-0
  • WSep 23, 26A · Santa Fe0-1
  • WSep 19, 26H · Cucuta3-0
  • WSep 13, 26A · Once Caldas1-2

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
1America de Cali12+1727WWDLW
2Deportivo Cali12+1124WWWWW
3Bucaramanga11+1023WWWDW
4Atletico Nacional10+1122WDLWW
5Santa Fe12+722WWLWW
6Millonarios13+721DDWWD
7Independiente Medellin12+320LDLWD
8Deportes Tolima12+219DDDLL
9Cucuta12-415WWLLD

Head to Head

6
Deportes Tolima
2
Draws
2
Deportivo Cali
  • Oct 25, 25Deportes Tolima – Deportivo Cali2-1
  • May 3, 25Deportivo Cali – Deportes Tolima1-1
  • Sep 8, 24Deportes Tolima – Deportivo Cali1-1
  • Feb 27, 24Deportivo Cali – Deportes Tolima1-2
  • Nov 30, 23Deportivo Cali – Deportes Tolima0-2

Season Statistics — 2026

Deportes TolimaDeportivo Cali
Played3430
Goals Scored4637
Goals Conceded3424
Avg Scored1.41.2
Avg Conceded1.00.8
Clean Sheets1012

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

Deportes TolimaDeportivo Cali
Over 2.5 Goals4/10—
Both Teams Scored4/10—
Clean Sheets6/10—

Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Cali — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees a tight contest where home advantage and historical dominance tip the scales slightly in Tolima's favor, but Cali's resilience may force a share of the spoils.

The match between Deportes Tolima and Deportivo Cali is expected to be tightly contested, with a slight edge to the home side based on head-to-head dominance and attacking strength.

Form Analysis: Deportes Tolima have a mixed recent form (LWLDW) with average goals scored of 1.4 and conceded 1.2, while Deportivo Cali are in better form (WLDWW) with a stronger defense (0.6 goals conceded per game). However, Tolima's home advantage and superior attack (62% vs 38%) may offset Cali's recent momentum.

Key Factors: Head-to-head history heavily favors Tolima (6 wins in last 10 meetings). The API-Football model gives Tolima a 45% win probability and recommends a double chance on Tolima or draw. Weather conditions (rain, 15.4°C) favor a physical style, which may benefit Tolima's home setup. No significant injuries reported.

Conclusion: The data suggests a low-scoring affair with Tolima slightly more likely to win, but Cali's solid defense and recent form make a draw plausible. The odds imply a balanced match, so a narrow home win or draw is the most likely outcome.

Win Probabilities: Deportes Tolima: 39% · Draw: 34% · Deportivo Cali: 27%

Predicted Score: 1-0 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 40% · Under 2.5: 60% · BTTS: 45%

H2H: Deportes Tolima wins: 6 · Draws: 2 · Deportivo Cali wins: 2

Form (latest first): Deportes Tolima: DDDLL · Deportivo Cali: WWWWW

  • Tolima's attacking midfielder vs Cali's defensive midfielder: Key battle in the middle of the park.
  • Tolima's striker vs Cali's center-backs: Physical duel for aerial balls.
  • Cali's wing-backs vs Tolima's full-backs: Battle for wide areas.

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Primera A

Primera A

Colombia15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Primera AColombia
Atletico Nacional
Oct 823:05
Deportes Tolima
11.7557%
X3.7027%
26.2516%
Primera AColombia
Fortaleza FC
Oct 901:10
Millonarios
Early projection
13.2331%
X4.0025%
22.2744%
Primera AColombia
Alianza Valledupar
Oct 923:00
Águilas Doradas
12.5040%
X3.1332%
23.5728%
Primera AColombia
Once Caldas
Oct 1021:00
Llaneros
11.8554%
X3.8526%
25.0020%
Primera AColombia
Junior
Oct 1023:10
Internacional de Bogota
11.7956%
X3.5728%
26.2516%
Primera AColombia
Atletico Nacional
Oct 1101:15
Deportivo Pasto
11.2381%
X6.6715%
225.004%
Primera AColombia
Deportivo Pereira
Oct 1119:00
Deportivo Cali
15.5618%
X3.3330%
21.9252%
Primera AColombia
Jaguares
Oct 1121:05
Deportes Tolima
15.0020%
X3.1332%
22.0848%
Primera AColombia
America de Cali
Oct 1201:15
Independiente Medellin
12.4441%
X3.2331%
23.5728%
Primera AColombia
Chico
Oct 1301:10
Cucuta
12.5040%
X3.3330%
23.3330%
Primera AColombia
Bucaramanga
Oct 1400:00
Águilas Doradas
12.0050%
X3.2331%
25.2619%
Primera AColombia
Junior
Oct 1423:00
Deportivo Pereira
11.3773%
X5.0020%
214.297%
Primera AColombia
Santa Fe
Oct 1501:05
Jaguares
11.4171%
X4.7621%
212.508%
Primera AColombia
Chico
Oct 1719:00
Atletico Nacional
17.1414%
X3.5728%
21.7258%
Primera AColombia
Águilas Doradas
Oct 1721:00
Deportes Tolima
Early projection
12.9434%
X3.7027%
22.5639%

Betting Tips

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