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  1. Home
  2. 1. Division
  3. AEK Larnaca vs Pafos

AEK Larnaca vs Pafos

Result • 1. Division·AEK Larnaca·Pafos

1. Division
1. Division
Sep 13, 2026
16:00
low Confidence
AEK Larnaca

AEK Larnaca

Home
Final Score
0-1
Predicted: 1-0
Final Score
0-1
Predicted: 1-0
Odds
12.60
X3.20
22.60
Stadium
AEK Arena
low Confidence
WINNER
Pafos

Pafos

Away
Odds
12.60
X3.20
22.60
Stadium
AEK Arena
Win Probabilities
41%
AEK Larnaca
27%
Draw
32%
Pafos
Home2.6041%
Draw3.2027%
Away2.6032%

Oracle's Vision

low Confidence
“

AEK Larnaca are favoured at 45%; our projected score is 1-0.

Our AI model analyzes this 1. Division fixture between AEK Larnaca and Pafos using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns AEK Larnaca a 41% win probability, a 27% chance of a draw, and Pafos a 32% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-0. Both teams to score probability: 53%. This prediction is rated as low confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 53%

Match Events

  1. 11'
    Yellow Card: D. QuinaPafos
    Yellow Card: D. Quina
  2. 33'
    Yellow Card: I. SunjicPafos
    Yellow Card: I. Sunjic
  3. Substitution: B. OlivanOut: K. Pileas
    59'
    Substitution: B. OlivanAEK Larnaca · Out: K. Pileas
  4. Substitution: Y. ChaconOut: D. Ivanovic
    59'
    Substitution: Y. ChaconAEK Larnaca · Out: D. Ivanovic
  5. Substitution: K. MrabtiOut: J. Repas
    59'
    Substitution: K. MrabtiAEK Larnaca · Out: J. Repas
  6. 60'
    Substitution: BielPafos · Out: K. Sema
    Substitution: BielOut: K. Sema
  7. 60'
    Substitution: V. DragomirPafos · Out: Lele
    Substitution: V. DragomirOut: Lele
  8. 62'
    Goal: V. DragomirPafos
    Goal: V. Dragomir
  9. Substitution: N. AndereggenOut: A. Trica
    68'
    Substitution: N. AndereggenAEK Larnaca · Out: A. Trica
  10. 73'
    Substitution: Y. ZaguePafos · Out: N. Ioannou
    Substitution: Y. ZagueOut: N. Ioannou
  11. 76'
    Substitution: GugaPafos · Out: N. Moumi Ngamaleu
    Substitution: GugaOut: N. Moumi Ngamaleu
  12. 77'
    Substitution: Anderson SilvaPafos · Out: D. Quina
    Substitution: Anderson SilvaOut: D. Quina
  13. Substitution: C. KyriakouOut: I. Pankov
    78'
    Substitution: C. KyriakouAEK Larnaca · Out: I. Pankov
  14. Yellow Card: Miramon
    90+2'
    Yellow Card: MiramonAEK Larnaca
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Head-to-head →Injuries · AEK LarnacaInjuries · PafosLive scores →

Statistical Context

AEK Larnaca

WDWWW
  • WOct 26, 26H · Omonia Nicosia2-0
  • DOct 18, 26A · Aris1-1
  • WOct 12, 26H · Omonia Aradippou1-0
  • WSep 18, 26A · Omonia 29is Maiou1-2
  • WSep 6, 26A · Nea Salamis1-4

Pafos

DDDLW
  • DOct 26, 26A · Nea Salamis0-0
  • DOct 22, 26H · Riga1-1
  • DOct 19, 26H · Apoel Nicosia0-0
  • LOct 15, 26A · Atalanta3-1
  • WOct 11, 26A · Anorthosis1-3

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
1AEK Larnaca7+816WDWWL
2Apollon Limassol7+1115WWWDD
3AEL7015LWWWW
4Omonia Nicosia7+712LDWWD
5Pafos7+412DDWLW
6Aris7+112WDWDW

Season Statistics — 2025 · 2026

AEK LarnacaPafos
Played74
Goals Scored77
Goals Conceded17
Avg Scored1.01.8
Avg Conceded0.11.8
Clean Sheets60

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

AEK LarnacaPafos
Over 2.5 Goals3/106/10
Both Teams Scored5/105/10
Clean Sheets5/105/10

AEK Larnaca vs Pafos — Match Analysis

AEK Larnaca are favoured at 45%; our projected score is 1-0.

AEK Larnaca host Pafos in the 1. Division on Sunday, 13 September 2026. Our model makes AEK Larnaca the favourite at 45%, with the draw at 25% and Pafos at 30%.

Form and league position

The league table is not yet meaningful this early in the season, so the model leans on last season's finishing positions and the goal rates of both sides.

Head-to-head record

There is no recent head-to-head history between these two in our records, so past meetings carry no weight in this projection.

Goals outlook

Attack-versus-defence rates give an expected score of 1.4–1.2, about 2.6 goals in total. That puts Over 2.5 goals at 47% and both teams to score at 53%.

Team news

No injuries or suspensions are reported for either squad.

What the market says

Bookmakers price AEK Larnaca at 2.37, the draw at 3.36 and Pafos at 2.83; those prices are blended into the probabilities above.

Prediction

AEK Larnaca to win (45%), most likely score 1-0.

This preview is a model projection built from league standings, recent form, goal rates, reported absences and, where available, bookmaker prices. It is refreshed automatically as new data arrives.

Win Probabilities: AEK Larnaca: 41% · Draw: 27% · Pafos: 32%

Predicted Score: 1-0 (9.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 47% · Under 2.5: 53% · BTTS: 53%

Form (latest first): AEK Larnaca: WDWWW · Pafos: DDDLW

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1. Division

1. Division

Cyprus15 · Upcoming Fixtures
1. DivisionCyprus
Karmiotissa
Oct 3017:00
Olympiakos
12.9434%
X3.7027%
22.5639%
1. DivisionCyprus
Krasava Ypsonas
Oct 3114:00
AEK Larnaca
110.0010%
X6.2516%
21.3574%
1. DivisionCyprus
Apollon Limassol
Oct 3115:00
Pafos
12.4441%
X3.5728%
23.2331%
1. DivisionCyprus
Omonia Nicosia
Oct 3117:00
AEL
11.3574%
X6.2516%
210.0010%
1. DivisionCyprus
Aris
Nov 114:00
Anorthosis
11.5664%
X4.7621%
26.6715%
1. DivisionCyprus
Omonia 29is Maiou
Nov 115:00
Nea Salamis
12.5639%
X3.8526%
22.8635%
1. DivisionCyprus
Omonia Aradippou
Nov 117:00
Apoel Nicosia
15.8817%
X5.2619%
21.5664%
1. DivisionCyprus
Nea Salamis
Nov 617:00
Omonia Aradippou
12.8635%
X3.7027%
22.6338%
1. DivisionCyprus
AEK Larnaca
Nov 617:00
Karmiotissa
11.3276%
X7.1414%
210.0010%
1. DivisionCyprus
AEL
Nov 714:00
Krasava Ypsonas
11.2381%
X8.3312%
214.297%
1. DivisionCyprus
Olympiakos
Nov 717:00
Apollon Limassol
13.0333%
X3.8526%
22.4441%
1. DivisionCyprus
Anorthosis
Nov 814:00
Omonia Nicosia
15.5618%
X5.5618%
21.5664%
1. DivisionCyprus
Apoel Nicosia
Nov 817:00
Aris
12.1746%
X4.1724%
23.3330%
1. DivisionCyprus
Pafos
Nov 817:00
Omonia 29is Maiou
11.7956%
X5.0020%
24.1724%
1. DivisionCyprus
Omonia Aradippou
Nov 2114:00
Pafos
13.8526%
X4.5522%
21.9252%

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