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Matches
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  1. Home
  2. Championship
  3. Millwall vs Bolton

Millwall vs Bolton

Result • Championship·Millwall·Bolton

Championship
Championship
Sep 5, 2026
14:00
high Confidence
WINNER
Millwall

Millwall

Home
Final Score
4-0
Predicted: 1-0
Final Score
4-0
Predicted: 1-0
Odds
11.56
X3.80
26.00
Stadium
The Den
high Confidence
Bolton

Bolton

Away
Odds
11.56
X3.80
26.00
Stadium
The Den
Win Probabilities
62%
Millwall
23%
Draw
15%
Bolton
Home1.5662%
Draw3.8023%
Away6.0015%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

Millwall are the clear favourites, backed by superior form and a stronger squad, while Bolton's attacking woes and injury crisis undermine their chances. The main risk is a tight, low-scoring affair where Bolton's defensive organisation could frustrate the home side.

Our AI model analyzes this Championship fixture between Millwall and Bolton using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Millwall a 62% win probability, a 23% chance of a draw, and Bolton a 15% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-0. Both teams to score probability: 52%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 52%

Match Events

  1. Goal: Caleb TaylorAssist: Jenson Metcalfe
    38'
    Goal: Caleb TaylorMillwall · Assist: Jenson Metcalfe
  2. 45'
    Substitution: Ruben RodriguesBolton · Out: John Mcatee
    Substitution: Ruben RodriguesOut: John Mcatee
  3. Substitution: D. KellyOut: Derek Mazou Sacko
    55'
    Substitution: D. KellyMillwall · Out: Derek Mazou Sacko
  4. 60'
    Substitution: Thelonius BairBolton · Out: Sam Dalby
    Substitution: Thelonius BairOut: Sam Dalby
  5. 60'
    Substitution: Kyliane DongBolton · Out: Samuel Iling
    Substitution: Kyliane DongOut: Samuel Iling
  6. Substitution: Yanis Ali IssoufouOut: Taïryk Arconte
    65'
    Substitution: Yanis Ali IssoufouMillwall · Out: Taïryk Arconte
  7. Substitution: Zakariya LovelaceOut: Romain Esse
    65'
    Substitution: Zakariya LovelaceMillwall · Out: Romain Esse
  8. 75'
    Yellow Card: Akin FamewoBolton
    Yellow Card: Akin Famewo
  9. 75'
    Substitution: Max ConwayBolton · Out: Akin Famewo
    Substitution: Max ConwayOut: Akin Famewo
  10. 76'
    Substitution: Ryan HardieBolton · Out: Xavier Simons
    Substitution: Ryan HardieOut: Xavier Simons
  11. Substitution: Elkan BaggottOut: Jordi Osei-Tutu
    81'
    Substitution: Elkan BaggottMillwall · Out: Jordi Osei-Tutu
  12. Goal: Lyndon DykesAssist: Zakariya Lovelace
    83'
    Goal: Lyndon DykesMillwall · Assist: Zakariya Lovelace
  13. 86'
    Red Card: Josh SheehanBolton
    Red Card: Josh Sheehan
  14. Red Card: Jenson Metcalfe
    86'
    Red Card: Jenson MetcalfeMillwall
  15. Goal: Lyndon DykesAssist: Zak Sturge
    88'
    Goal: Lyndon DykesMillwall · Assist: Zak Sturge
  16. Goal: Camiel Neghli
    90+2'
    Goal: Camiel NeghliMillwall
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1J. Coburn vs B. Davies: Coburn's physical presence and goal threat will test Davies' defensive capabilities, a key duel in determining Millwall's attacking success.
2L. Dykes vs A. Famewo: Dykes' movement and link-up play could exploit gaps left by Famewo, making this a crucial battle in the final third.
3C. De Norre vs E. Erhahon: The midfield contest between De Norre's creativity and Erhahon's defensive shielding will dictate the flow of the game.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Millwall

  • Solid defensive record with 3 clean sheets in last 5
  • Better recent form with 50% win rate
  • Conceding an average of 1.6 goals per game
  • Current 2-match losing streak

Bolton

  • Defensively organized with 62% defensive rating in comparison
  • Away team has a slight overall edge in API comparison
  • Poor attacking output, scoring only 0.8 goals per game
  • Failed to score in 3 of last 5 matches

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
62%
API-Football
35%
49%
Millwall492923

Models disagree significantly. Suggests home win (49%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Millwall enter this Championship clash as the clear favourites, backed by a strong home record and a superior league position. Despite a recent dip in form, their defensive solidity and the significant injury crisis at Bolton tilt the balance firmly in their favour.

Form Analysis: Millwall have won 50% of their last five matches, scoring 1.4 goals per game, while Bolton have managed just a 25% win rate and 0.8 goals per game. Millwall's three clean sheets in that period underline their defensive resilience, whereas Bolton have failed to score in three of their last five outings.

Key Factors: Bolton are missing three key players through suspension and injury, weakening an already fragile squad. Millwall's home advantage at The Den, combined with Bolton's poor away form, further strengthens the home side's case. Historically, these sides have shared draws, but Millwall's current standing and squad depth give them the edge.

Conclusion: With a stronger squad, better recent form, and home advantage, Millwall are well-positioned to secure a narrow victory. Bolton's attacking struggles and defensive vulnerabilities make an upset unlikely, though a draw remains a possibility given the tight nature of the contest.

Statistical ContextMillwall

Double chance : Millwall or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
MillwallBolton
49%Strength50%
60%Attacking Potential40%
38%Defensive Potential62%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
38%H2H Strength62%
45%Goals H2H55%
49%Wins the Game50%
Head-to-head →Injuries · MillwallInjuries · BoltonLive scores →

Statistical Context

Millwall

DDLLL
  • DSep 19, 26H · West Ham2-2
  • DSep 15, 26A · Middlesbrough2-2
  • LSep 12, 26A · Blackburn3-1
  • LSep 8, 26H · Newcastle0-1
  • LSep 2, 26H · Wrexham0-3

Bolton

WWLLL
  • WSep 20, 26A · Norwich3-4
  • WSep 12, 26H · Cardiff1-0
  • LSep 8, 26H · West Ham2-3
  • LSep 1, 26A · Sheffield Utd3-2
  • LAug 29, 26H · Lincoln0-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
10Birmingham8+111DWLDD
11Millwall8011DDLWL
12Lincoln8-111LWWDD
13Southampton8+910LWWDD
14Wrexham8-310WLDDW
15Bolton8-410WWLLL
16Blackburn809DWLLD

Head to Head

1
Millwall
3
Draws
6
Bolton
  • Mar 9, 19Bolton – Millwall2-1
  • Nov 24, 18Millwall – Bolton1-1
  • Apr 10, 18Bolton – Millwall0-2
  • Aug 12, 17Millwall – Bolton1-1
  • Nov 19, 16Bolton – Millwall2-0

Season Statistics — 2026

MillwallBolton
Played88
Goals Scored1511
Goals Conceded1515
Avg Scored1.91.4
Avg Conceded1.91.9
Clean Sheets32

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

MillwallBolton
Over 2.5 Goals5/10—
Both Teams Scored5/10—
Clean Sheets4/10—

Millwall vs Bolton — Match Analysis

Millwall are the clear favourites, backed by superior form and a stronger squad, while Bolton's attacking woes and injury crisis undermine their chances. The main risk is a tight, low-scoring affair where Bolton's defensive organisation could frustrate the home side.

Millwall enter this Championship clash as the clear favourites, backed by a strong home record and a superior league position. Despite a recent dip in form, their defensive solidity and the significant injury crisis at Bolton tilt the balance firmly in their favour.

Form Analysis: Millwall have won 50% of their last five matches, scoring 1.4 goals per game, while Bolton have managed just a 25% win rate and 0.8 goals per game. Millwall's three clean sheets in that period underline their defensive resilience, whereas Bolton have failed to score in three of their last five outings.

Key Factors: Bolton are missing three key players through suspension and injury, weakening an already fragile squad. Millwall's home advantage at The Den, combined with Bolton's poor away form, further strengthens the home side's case. Historically, these sides have shared draws, but Millwall's current standing and squad depth give them the edge.

Conclusion: With a stronger squad, better recent form, and home advantage, Millwall are well-positioned to secure a narrow victory. Bolton's attacking struggles and defensive vulnerabilities make an upset unlikely, though a draw remains a possibility given the tight nature of the contest.

Win Probabilities: Millwall: 62% · Draw: 23% · Bolton: 15%

Predicted Score: 1-0 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 47% · Under 2.5: 53% · BTTS: 52%

H2H: Millwall wins: 1 · Draws: 3 · Bolton wins: 6

Form (latest first): Millwall: DDLLL · Bolton: WWLLL

  • J. Coburn vs B. Davies: Coburn's physical presence and goal threat will test Davies' defensive capabilities, a key duel in determining Millwall's attacking success.
  • L. Dykes vs A. Famewo: Dykes' movement and link-up play could exploit gaps left by Famewo, making this a crucial battle in the final third.
  • C. De Norre vs E. Erhahon: The midfield contest between De Norre's creativity and Erhahon's defensive shielding will dictate the flow of the game.

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Championship

Championship

England15 · Upcoming Fixtures
ChampionshipEngland
West Ham
Oct 919:00
QPR
11.5664%
X4.3523%
27.6913%
ChampionshipEngland
West Brom
Oct 1011:30
Birmingham
Early projection
11.4768%
X5.8817%
26.6715%
ChampionshipEngland
Swansea
Oct 1011:30
Norwich
Early projection
11.8554%
X4.5522%
24.1724%
ChampionshipEngland
Charlton
Oct 1011:30
Bristol City
Early projection
12.8635%
X3.5728%
22.7037%
ChampionshipEngland
Watford
Oct 1014:00
Burnley
Early projection
11.5266%
X5.5618%
26.2516%
ChampionshipEngland
Preston
Oct 1014:00
Millwall
Early projection
15.2619%
X5.5618%
21.5963%
ChampionshipEngland
Sheffield Utd
Oct 1014:00
Lincoln
Early projection
11.6959%
X5.2619%
24.5522%
ChampionshipEngland
Blackburn
Oct 1014:00
Cardiff
Early projection
12.0449%
X4.3523%
23.5728%
ChampionshipEngland
Bolton
Oct 1014:00
Stoke City
Early projection
13.3330%
X4.1724%
22.1746%
ChampionshipEngland
Derby
Oct 1014:00
Wrexham
Early projection
13.3330%
X4.0025%
22.2245%
ChampionshipEngland
Middlesbrough
Oct 1014:00
Wolves
Early projection
11.8953%
X4.5522%
24.0025%
ChampionshipEngland
Southampton
Oct 1111:00
Portsmouth
Early projection
11.9651%
X4.5522%
23.7027%
ChampionshipEngland
Wolves
Oct 1318:45
Bolton
Early projection
11.5266%
X5.8817%
25.8817%
ChampionshipEngland
Cardiff
Oct 1318:45
Watford
Early projection
13.1332%
X4.0025%
22.3343%
ChampionshipEngland
Burnley
Oct 1318:45
Charlton
Early projection
15.0020%
X5.2619%
21.6461%

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