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Matches
PlayNEW
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Accuracy Stats
Pricing
  1. Home
  2. Championship
  3. Derby vs Wrexham

Derby vs Wrexham

Prediction • Championship·Derby·Wrexham

Championship
Championship
Oct 10, 2026
14:00
Early projection · Odds pending
Derby

Derby

Home
VS
VS
Stadium
Pride Park
Early projection · Odds pending
PREDICTED WINNER
Wrexham

Wrexham

Away
Stadium
Pride Park
Win Probabilities
30%
Derby
25%
Draw
45%
Wrexham
Home3.3330%
Draw4.0025%
Away2.2245%

Oracle's Vision

Early projection
“

Wrexham are favored at 45% to win away at Derby. The draw is rated 25% and the home win 30%, so the numbers side with the visitors.

See our exact score, over/under 2.5 and BTTS call for Derby vs Wrexham.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
2.0Derby
/10
2.0Wrexham
Derby
FormLatest first
LLLWL
Win Rate20%
Wrexham
FormLatest first
LDDWL
Win Rate20%
Momentum AdvantageEven Match

Featured Players

Compare the key players from each team

Key Battle

M
Joe Ward
7.3

Joe Ward

Derby

VS
Ben Sheaf
7.9

Ben Sheaf

Wrexham

18ATT11
100TEC100
70TAC64
31DEF41
70CRE19

Team Streaks

Statistical trends from recent matches

Team Streaks

Last 10 Matches
Scoring
7/10
Over 2.5 Goals
2/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
1.5
Avg Scored
1.1
Defense
2/10
Clean Sheets
5/10
1.3
Avg Conceded
0.7
Match Flow
6/10
Scored First
7/10
1.9
Avg Cards
2.1
6.0
Avg Corners
4.0

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Derby
Home

Derby

Form
LWLLL
Latest first
19
Pos
50
Pts
-5
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 5 matches)

Clean Sheets120%
Goal Diff-5
  • Capable of finding the net when chances are created, with five goals in their last five
  • One clean sheet in their last five shows the defence can hold firm on occasion
  • Home crowd at Pride Park can provide a lift in tight contests
C. Forsyth
Knee Injury
Injured
C. Morris
Calf Injury
Injured
L. Travis
Leg Injury
Injured
P. Agyemang
Achilles Injury
Injured
R. Brewster
Injury
Injured
D. Murkin
Hamstring Injury
Injured
M. Clarke
Calf Injury
Injured
S. Szmodics
Thigh Injury
Injured
C. Blackett-Taylor
Muscle Injury
Injured
F. Bilbija
Inactive
Injured

Head to Head

Last 2
Derby
Derby
0Wins
1
Draws
Wrexham
1Wins
Wrexham
0%50%50%

Recent Matches

Last 2
Jan42026
DerbyDerby
1-2
Loss
WrexhamWrexham
Sep272025
WrexhamWrexham
1-1
Draw
DerbyDerby
Derby4-2-3-1vs3-4-2-1WrexhamPredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Tactical matchup will test both managers' adaptability.

See the full predicted line-ups ↓

Injury Report

Current team availability status

Data Accuracy: Player availability is highly accurate (~90%), but specific injury diagnoses and recovery timelines may not reflect the latest medical updates (~70% accuracy).

Derby

10Out

10 key players

Wrexham

8Out

8 key players

Derby

Team

Derby

Players Out

10(10 key)
C. Forsyth

C. Forsyth

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

C. Morris

C. Morris

MODERATE
Injury:Calf Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

L. Travis

L. Travis

MODERATE
Injury:Leg Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-6 weeks

P. Agyemang

P. Agyemang

MODERATE
Injury:Achilles Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

R. Brewster

R. Brewster

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

D. Murkin

D. Murkin

MODERATE
Injury:Hamstring Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

M. Clarke

M. Clarke

MODERATE
Injury:Calf Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

S. Szmodics

S. Szmodics

MODERATE
Injury:Thigh Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

C. Blackett-Taylor

C. Blackett-Taylor

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

F. Bilbija

F. Bilbija

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Wrexham

Team

Wrexham

Players Out

8(8 key)
O. Rathbone

O. Rathbone

MODERATE
Injury:Ankle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-8 weeks

N. Broadhead

N. Broadhead

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

J. Windass

J. Windass

MODERATE
Injury:Calf Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

L. Cacace

L. Cacace

MODERATE
Injury:Calf Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

B. Sheaf

B. Sheaf

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

G. Thomason

G. Thomason

MODERATE
Injury:Thigh Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

S. Revan

S. Revan

MODERATE
Injury:Hamstring Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

M. Cleworth

M. Cleworth

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

Championship

League Statistics

Championship • Standings & Top Performers

Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
West Ham
West Ham
7421209+1114
2
Swansea
Swansea
7421115+614
3
West Brom
West Brom
7421107+314
4
Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
6411128+413
5
QPR
QPR
733185+312
6
Charlton
Charlton
733167-112
7
Southampton
Southampton
7421188+1010
8
Birmingham
Birmingham
7241109+110
9
Stoke City
Stoke City
73131111010
10
Bristol City
Bristol City
63121011-110
11
Norwich
Norwich
7304131309
12
Millwall
Millwall
6303111109
13
Sheffield Utd
Sheffield Utd
62318809
14
Wolves
Wolves
52211310+38
15
Blackburn
Blackburn
7223101008
16
Lincoln
Lincoln
622256-18
17
Watford
Watford
722379-28
18
Portsmouth
Portsmouth
621378-17
19
Wrexham
WrexhamAway
7142711-47
20
Bolton
Bolton
7214712-57
21
Cardiff
Cardiff
7043711-44
22
Derby
DerbyHome
7115613-74
23
Preston
Preston
7106613-73
24
Burnley
Burnley
7034816-83
Champions League
Relegation
HomeAway

Oracle's Vision

Early projection

Wrexham

Odds pending

Win Probabilities

30%Derby
25%Draw
45%Wrexham

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
KickoffSat, Oct 10 · 14:00
StadiumPride Park
League StatsChampionship
Line-ups →Head-to-head →Injuries · DerbyInjuries · Wrexham</> Embed this prediction

Statistical Context

Derby

LLLWL
  • LSep 12, 26H · Birmingham1-2
  • LSep 9, 26H · West Brom0-1
  • LSep 5, 26A · West Ham3-0
  • WSep 1, 26A · Portsmouth0-2
  • LAug 29, 26H · Swansea0-3

Wrexham

LDDWL
  • LSep 11, 26A · West Ham6-0
  • DSep 8, 26H · Burnley1-1
  • DSep 5, 26A · Swansea0-0
  • WSep 2, 26A · Millwall0-3
  • LAug 28, 26H · Birmingham1-2

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
18Portsmouth6-17DWLLW
19Wrexham7-47LDDWL
20Bolton7-57WLLLL
21Cardiff7-44LDLLD
22Derby7-74LLLWL
23Preston7-73LLWLL

Head to Head

0
Derby
1
Draws
1
Wrexham
  • Jan 4, 26Derby – Wrexham1-2
  • Sep 27, 25Wrexham – Derby1-1

Season Statistics — 2026

DerbyWrexham
Played56
Goals Scored57
Goals Conceded105
Avg Scored1.01.2
Avg Conceded2.00.8
Clean Sheets12

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

DerbyWrexham
Over 2.5 Goals7/102/10
Both Teams Scored7/105/10
Clean Sheets2/105/10

Predicted line-ups: Derby vs Wrexham

Predicted XI

Derby

4-2-3-1Formation· Coach: J. Eustace

Wrexham

3-4-2-1Formation· Coach: B. Hughes

  1. 22A. Patterson
  1. 4M. Cleworth
  2. 2C. Doyle
  3. 3J. Ekomié
  1. 30Daniel Edward Peter Imray
  2. 37M. James
  3. 47R. Longman
  4. 27L. O&apos;Brien
  1. 8B. Whiteman
  2. 15G. Dobson
  1. 17C. O&apos;Hare
  1. 16M. Fuseini
  1. 20A. Mowatt
  2. 4D. Ozoh
  3. 23J. Ward
  1. 8B. Clark
  2. 29O. Fraulo
  1. 20E. Cashin
  2. 22M. Johnston
  3. 6S. Langås
  4. 24R. Nyambe
  1. 31J. Vickers

Bench

  • 1J. Widell Zetterström
  • 28D. Sanderson
  • 18C. Taylor
  • 26R. Hedges
  • 19H. Meister
  • 15L. Salvesen
  • 12R. O&apos;Donnell

Out

  • C. Forsyth · Knee Injury
  • C. Morris · Calf Injury
  • L. Travis · Leg Injury
  • P. Agyemang · Achilles Tendon Injury
  • R. Brewster · Injury
  • D. Murkin · Hamstring Injury
  • M. Clarke · Calf Injury
  • S. Szmodics · Thigh Injury

Bench

  • 21D. Ward
  • 5D. Hyam
  • 12I. Kaboré
  • 26Z. Vyner
  • 6J. Worrall
  • 19K. Moore
  • 28S. Smith

Out

  • O. Rathbone · Ankle Injury
  • N. Broadhead · Inactive
  • J. Windass · Calf Injury
  • L. Cacace · Calf Injury
  • B. Sheaf · Inactive
  • G. Thomason · Thigh Injury
  • S. Revan · Hamstring Injury
  • M. Cleworth · Muscle Injury

Predicted line-ups based on recent matches and absences; official line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.

Derby vs Wrexham — Expert Prediction & Analysis

Wrexham are favored at 45% to win away at Derby. The draw is rated 25% and the home win 30%, so the numbers side with the visitors.

Wrexham arrive at Pride Park as the side with the stronger overall profile, and the data points toward an away win or a share of the spoils. The statistical comparison favours the visitors across form, attack, defence and head-to-head strength, while Derby's recent run has been poor.…

Win Probabilities: Derby: 30% · Draw: 25% · Wrexham: 45%

H2H: Derby wins: 0 · Draws: 1 · Wrexham wins: 1

Form (latest first): Derby: LLLWL · Wrexham: LDDWL

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Championship

Championship

England15 · Upcoming Fixtures
ChampionshipEngland
Bristol City
Sep 1518:45
Lincoln
12.5040%
X3.4529%
23.2331%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Middlesbrough
Sep 1518:45
Millwall
12.0050%
X3.5728%
24.5522%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Bristol City
Sep 1819:00
Watford
12.5040%
X3.4529%
23.2331%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Cardiff
Sep 1911:30
Charlton
12.3343%
X3.5728%
23.4529%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Millwall
Sep 1911:30
West Ham
13.7027%
X3.5728%
22.2245%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Stoke City
Sep 1911:30
Sheffield Utd
13.2331%
X3.4529%
22.5040%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Burnley
Sep 1914:00
Derby
11.9651%
X3.5728%
24.7621%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Birmingham
Sep 1914:00
Middlesbrough
13.3330%
X3.4529%
22.4441%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
QPR
Sep 1914:00
Preston
11.7956%
X4.0025%
25.2619%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Portsmouth
Sep 1914:00
Blackburn
12.5040%
X3.3330%
23.3330%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Lincoln
Sep 1914:00
Swansea
13.2331%
X3.4529%
22.5040%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Wrexham
Sep 1914:00
Southampton
13.4529%
X3.3330%
22.4441%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Wolves
Sep 2011:00
West Brom
12.0848%
X3.5728%
24.1724%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Norwich
Sep 2012:30
Bolton
Early projection
12.0848%
X4.1724%
23.5728%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
West Ham
Oct 919:00
QPR
Early projection
12.3842%
X3.8526%
23.1332%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access

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