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Matches
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  1. Home
  2. Championship
  3. QPR vs Bolton

QPR vs Bolton

Result • Championship·QPR·Bolton

Championship
Championship
Aug 22, 2026
14:00
high Confidence
DRAW
QPR

QPR

Home
Final Score
0-0
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
0-0
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
11.86
X3.55
24.00
Stadium
Loftus Road Stadium
high Confidence
DRAW
Bolton

Bolton

Away
Odds
11.86
X3.55
24.00
Stadium
Loftus Road Stadium
Win Probabilities
51%
QPR
28%
Draw
21%
Bolton
Home1.8651%
Draw3.5528%
Away4.0021%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

QPR are the clear favourites, backed by superior form and attacking output, with Bolton struggling for goals. The main risk is Bolton's defensive resilience, which could keep the match tight.

Our AI model analyzes this Championship fixture between QPR and Bolton using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns QPR a 51% win probability, a 28% chance of a draw, and Bolton a 21% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 57%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 57%

Match Events

  1. 45+1'
    Yellow Card: T. GaleBolton
    Yellow Card: T. Gale
  2. 46'
    Substitution: B. DaviesBolton · Out: A. Famewo
    Substitution: B. DaviesOut: A. Famewo
  3. 59'
    Substitution: S. Iling JuniorBolton · Out: T. Gale
    Substitution: S. Iling JuniorOut: T. Gale
  4. 59'
    Substitution: R. HardieBolton · Out: J. McAtee
    Substitution: R. HardieOut: J. McAtee
  5. Substitution: R. BurrellOut: R. Kone
    62'
    Substitution: R. BurrellQPR · Out: R. Kone
  6. Substitution: N. MadsenOut: K. Poku
    62'
    Substitution: N. MadsenQPR · Out: K. Poku
  7. Substitution: D. CirkinOut: K. Adamson
    62'
    Substitution: D. CirkinQPR · Out: K. Adamson
  8. Substitution: T. LampteyOut: A. S. Mbengue
    62'
    Substitution: T. LampteyQPR · Out: A. S. Mbengue
  9. 67'
    Substitution: K. DongBolton · Out: G. Larrazabal
    Substitution: K. DongOut: G. Larrazabal
  10. 73'
    Yellow Card: R. HardieBolton
    Yellow Card: R. Hardie
  11. Yellow Card: J. Clarke-Salter
    75'
    Yellow Card: J. Clarke-SalterQPR
  12. Substitution: P. SmythOut: K. Saito
    76'
    Substitution: P. SmythQPR · Out: K. Saito
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1Ilias Chair vs Josh Sheehan: Chair's creativity and goal threat will test Sheehan's defensive discipline in midfield.
2Richard Kone vs Chris Forino: Kone's physical presence and finishing ability will challenge Forino's aerial and positional play.
3Koki Saito vs Max Conway: Saito's pace and dribbling on the wing could expose Conway's defensive vulnerabilities.
Strengths · Weaknesses

QPR

  • High scoring average (2.8 goals per game)
  • Strong attacking presence (60% attack rating)
  • Missing several key players due to injuries
  • Defensive record could be improved (conceded 0.8 per game)

Bolton

  • Solid defensive record (conceded 0.6 per game)
  • Recent winning form (100% win rate in last 5)
  • Low scoring average (0.8 goals per game)
  • Failed to score in 2 of last 5 matches

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
51%
API-Football
45%
48%
QPR483716

Moderate agreement on home win (48%).

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

QPR enter this Championship clash as the clear favourites, backed by a strong home record and superior attacking output. The bookmaker-implied probabilities and the API-Football model both point towards a home victory, with the model also suggesting a double chance on QPR or draw.

Form Analysis: QPR are on a five-match unbeaten streak, scoring an average of 2.8 goals per game while conceding just 0.8. Bolton, despite a 100% win rate in their last five, have been less prolific, averaging only 0.8 goals scored per game and failing to score in two of those matches. This contrast in attacking potency gives QPR a clear edge.

Key Factors: QPR's attacking strength (60% in the comparison) and overall team rating (56%) favour them. Bolton's injury list includes key players, and they have struggled to find the net recently. The head-to-head record is close, but QPR's home advantage and superior form tilt the balance.

Conclusion: The data strongly supports a QPR victory. Their form, attacking quality, and home advantage make them the likely winners, with Bolton's defensive resilience potentially keeping the scoreline respectable.

Statistical ContextQPR

Double chance : QPR or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
QPRBolton
56%Strength44%
60%Attacking Potential40%
50%Defensive Potential50%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
62%H2H Strength38%
58%Goals H2H42%
56%Wins the Game44%
Head-to-head →Injuries · QPRInjuries · BoltonLive scores →

Statistical Context

QPR

DDLWW
  • DSep 12, 26A · West Brom1-1
  • DSep 9, 26A · Charlton0-0
  • LSep 5, 26H · Middlesbrough0-1
  • WSep 2, 26H · Cardiff2-1
  • WAug 29, 26A · Blackburn1-2

Bolton

WLLLL
  • WSep 12, 26H · Cardiff1-0
  • LSep 8, 26H · West Ham2-3
  • LSep 5, 26A · Millwall4-0
  • LSep 1, 26A · Sheffield Utd3-2
  • LAug 29, 26H · Lincoln0-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
4West Brom7+314DWWDL
5QPR7+312DDLWW
6Charlton7-112DDLDW
19Wrexham7-47LDDWL
20Bolton7-57WLLLL
21Cardiff7-44LDLLD

Head to Head

5
QPR
2
Draws
3
Bolton
  • Mar 30, 19QPR – Bolton1-2
  • Sep 15, 18Bolton – QPR1-2
  • Feb 17, 18QPR – Bolton2-0
  • Oct 21, 17Bolton – QPR1-1
  • Feb 20, 16Bolton – QPR1-1

Season Statistics — 2026

QPRBolton
Played56
Goals Scored76
Goals Conceded412
Avg Scored1.41.0
Avg Conceded0.82.0
Clean Sheets11

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

QPRBolton
Over 2.5 Goals6/10—
Both Teams Scored6/10—
Clean Sheets3/10—

QPR vs Bolton — Match Analysis

QPR are the clear favourites, backed by superior form and attacking output, with Bolton struggling for goals. The main risk is Bolton's defensive resilience, which could keep the match tight.

QPR enter this Championship clash as the clear favourites, backed by a strong home record and superior attacking output. The bookmaker-implied probabilities and the API-Football model both point towards a home victory, with the model also suggesting a double chance on QPR or draw.

Form Analysis: QPR are on a five-match unbeaten streak, scoring an average of 2.8 goals per game while conceding just 0.8. Bolton, despite a 100% win rate in their last five, have been less prolific, averaging only 0.8 goals scored per game and failing to score in two of those matches. This contrast in attacking potency gives QPR a clear edge.

Key Factors: QPR's attacking strength (60% in the comparison) and overall team rating (56%) favour them. Bolton's injury list includes key players, and they have struggled to find the net recently. The head-to-head record is close, but QPR's home advantage and superior form tilt the balance.

Conclusion: The data strongly supports a QPR victory. Their form, attacking quality, and home advantage make them the likely winners, with Bolton's defensive resilience potentially keeping the scoreline respectable.

Win Probabilities: QPR: 51% · Draw: 28% · Bolton: 21%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 53% · Under 2.5: 47% · BTTS: 57%

H2H: QPR wins: 5 · Draws: 2 · Bolton wins: 3

Form (latest first): QPR: DDLWW · Bolton: WLLLL

  • Ilias Chair vs Josh Sheehan: Chair's creativity and goal threat will test Sheehan's defensive discipline in midfield.
  • Richard Kone vs Chris Forino: Kone's physical presence and finishing ability will challenge Forino's aerial and positional play.
  • Koki Saito vs Max Conway: Saito's pace and dribbling on the wing could expose Conway's defensive vulnerabilities.

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Championship

Championship

England15 · Upcoming Fixtures
ChampionshipEngland
Bristol City
Sep 1819:00
Watford
12.5040%
X3.4529%
23.2331%
ChampionshipEngland
Cardiff
Sep 1911:30
Charlton
12.3343%
X3.5728%
23.4529%
ChampionshipEngland
Millwall
Sep 1911:30
West Ham
13.7027%
X3.5728%
22.2245%
ChampionshipEngland
Stoke City
Sep 1911:30
Sheffield Utd
13.2331%
X3.4529%
22.5040%
ChampionshipEngland
Burnley
Sep 1914:00
Derby
11.9651%
X3.5728%
24.7621%
ChampionshipEngland
Birmingham
Sep 1914:00
Middlesbrough
13.3330%
X3.4529%
22.4441%
ChampionshipEngland
QPR
Sep 1914:00
Preston
11.7956%
X4.0025%
25.2619%
ChampionshipEngland
Portsmouth
Sep 1914:00
Blackburn
12.5040%
X3.3330%
23.3330%
ChampionshipEngland
Lincoln
Sep 1914:00
Swansea
13.2331%
X3.4529%
22.5040%
ChampionshipEngland
Wrexham
Sep 1914:00
Southampton
13.4529%
X3.3330%
22.4441%
ChampionshipEngland
Wolves
Sep 2011:00
West Brom
12.0848%
X3.5728%
24.1724%
ChampionshipEngland
Norwich
Sep 2012:30
Bolton
11.5664%
X4.5522%
27.1414%
ChampionshipEngland
West Ham
Oct 919:00
QPR
Early projection
12.3842%
X3.8526%
23.1332%
ChampionshipEngland
West Brom
Oct 1011:30
Birmingham
Early projection
11.4768%
X5.8817%
26.6715%
ChampionshipEngland
Swansea
Oct 1011:30
Norwich
Early projection
11.8554%
X4.5522%
24.1724%

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