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Today's Tips
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  1. Home
  2. Championship
  3. Derby vs Bristol City

Derby vs Bristol City

Prediction • Championship·Derby·Bristol City

Championship
Championship
Dec 9, 2026
19:45
Early projection · Odds pending
Derby

Derby

Home
VS
VS
Stadium
Pride Park
Early projection · Odds pending
PREDICTED WINNER
Bristol City

Bristol City

Away
Stadium
Pride Park
Win Probabilities
33%
Derby
25%
Draw
42%
Bristol City
Home3.0333%
Draw4.0025%
Away2.3842%

Oracle's Vision

Early projection
“

Derby hold a narrow edge at home, supported by a slight attacking advantage and a marginal statistical model lean, but their poor home record and injury crisis keep the contest tight. The main risk is Bristol City's superior head-to-head record and league position, which could see them snatch a result.

See our exact score, over/under 2.5 and BTTS call for Derby vs Bristol City.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
2.0Derby
/10
2.0Bristol City
Derby
FormLatest first
WLLDL
Win Rate20%
Bristol City
FormLatest first
LLWDL
Win Rate20%
Momentum AdvantageEven Match

Featured Players

Compare the key players from each team

Key Battle

M
Joe Ward
7.3

Joe Ward

Derby

VS
Adam Randell
7.5

Adam Randell

Bristol City

18ATT18
100TEC100
70TAC40
31DEF15
70CRE0

Goalscorers

StarterDerby – Bristol City
New · Goalscorers

Who scores?

Chance each player scores at any time, from this season's minutes, goals and shots.

Team Streaks

Statistical trends from recent matches

Team Streaks

Last 10 Matches
Scoring
7/10
Over 2.5 Goals
3/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
3/10
1.5
Avg Scored
1.1
Defense
2/10
Clean Sheets
4/10
1.3
Avg Conceded
1.1
Match Flow
6/10
Scored First
6/10
1.9
Avg Cards
1.2
6.0
Avg Corners
5.2

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

More markets

StarterDerby – Bristol City
New · More markets

Every way to read this match

Worked out from the same score grid as the main prediction, so the numbers always agree.

Match stats predictions

StarterDerby – Bristol City

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Derby
Home

Derby

Form
LDLLW
Latest first
19
Pos
50
Pts
-16
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 15 matches)

Clean Sheets17%
Goal Diff-16
  • Slight statistical edge in attack (56% vs 44%)
  • Home advantage at Pride Park
  • Recent win in last match (1 win streak)
D. Sanderson
Red Card
Suspended
C. Forsyth
Knee Injury
Injured
C. Morris
Calf Injury
Injured
L. Travis
Ankle Injury
Injured
H. Meister
Concussion
Injured
J. Widell Zetterstrom
Knee Injury
Injured
J. Ward
Inactive
Injured
P. Agyemang
Achilles Injury
Injured
R. Brewster
Injury
Injured
D. Murkin
Hamstring Injury
Injured
E. Cashin
Inactive
Injured
M. Johnston
Inactive
Injured
M. Clarke
Calf Injury
Injured
C. Taylor
Injury
Injured
S. Szmodics
Thigh Injury
Injured
A. Mowatt
Health problems
Injured
F. Bilbija
Back Injury
Injured
S. Langas
Injury
Injured
Bristol City
Away

Bristol City

Form
LDWLL
Latest first
6
Pos
68
Pts
-3
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 14 matches)

Clean Sheets214%
Goal Diff-3
  • Better league position (17th vs 23rd)
  • Superior head-to-head record (6 wins vs 3)
  • Higher win rate in last 5 (36% vs 13%)
A. Randell
Red Card
Suspended
J. Williams
Inactive
Injured
R. Dickie
Knee Injury
Injured
L. McNally
Knee Injury
Injured
O. Thomas
Injury
Injured
B. De Keersmaecker
Shoulder Injury
Injured
C. Pring
Ankle Injury
Injured
E. Adebayo
Inactive
Injured
N. Eile
Illness
Injured
L. Tolaj
Knock
Injured

Head to Head

Last 10
Derby
Derby
3Wins
1
Draws
Bristol City
6Wins
Bristol City
30%10%60%

Recent Matches

Last 10
Jan302026
Bristol CityBristol City
0-5
Win
DerbyDerby
Aug222025
DerbyDerby
1-1
Draw
Bristol CityBristol City
Jan42025
Bristol CityBristol City
1-0
Loss
DerbyDerby
Aug312024
DerbyDerby
3-0
Win
Bristol CityBristol City
Apr232022
DerbyDerby
1-3
Loss
Bristol CityBristol City
Dec42021
Bristol CityBristol City
1-0
Loss
DerbyDerby
Jan302021
DerbyDerby
1-0
Win
Bristol CityBristol City
Nov212020
Bristol CityBristol City
1-0
Loss
DerbyDerby
Feb122020
Bristol CityBristol City
3-2
Loss
DerbyDerby
Aug202019
DerbyDerby
1-2
Loss
Bristol CityBristol City

Past Predictions

0%0/1 correct

Bristol City 0 - 5 Derby

Jan 30, 2026

47% / 29% / 24%

Scorer chances

StarterDerby – Bristol City
New · Goalscorers

Who scores?

Chance each player scores at any time, from this season's minutes, goals and shots.

Derby4-2-3-1vs4-2-3-1Bristol CityPredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Tactical mirror. Individual brilliance decides.

See the full predicted line-ups ↓

Injury Report

Current team availability status

Data Accuracy: Player availability is highly accurate (~90%), but specific injury diagnoses and recovery timelines may not reflect the latest medical updates (~70% accuracy).

Derby

18Out

17 key players

Bristol City

10Out

7 key players

Derby

Team

Derby

Players Out

18(17 key)
D. Sanderson

D. Sanderson

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
C. Forsyth

C. Forsyth

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

C. Morris

C. Morris

MODERATE
Injury:Calf Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

L. Travis

L. Travis

MODERATE
Injury:Ankle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-8 weeks

H. Meister

H. Meister

MODERATE
Injury:Concussion

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

1-3 weeks

J. Widell Zetterstrom

J. Widell Zetterstrom

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

J. Ward

J. Ward

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

P. Agyemang

P. Agyemang

MODERATE
Injury:Achilles Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

R. Brewster

R. Brewster

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

D. Murkin

D. Murkin

MODERATE
Injury:Hamstring Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

E. Cashin

E. Cashin

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

M. Johnston

M. Johnston

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

M. Clarke

M. Clarke

MODERATE
Injury:Calf Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

C. Taylor

C. Taylor

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

S. Szmodics

S. Szmodics

MODERATE
Injury:Thigh Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

A. Mowatt

A. Mowatt

MODERATE
Injury:Illness

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

F. Bilbija

F. Bilbija

MODERATE
Injury:Back Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

4-12 weeks

S. Langas

S. Langas

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Bristol City

Team

Bristol City

Players Out

10(7 key)
A. Randell

A. Randell

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
J. Williams

J. Williams

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

R. Dickie

R. Dickie

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

L. McNally

L. McNally

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

O. Thomas

O. Thomas

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

B. De Keersmaecker

B. De Keersmaecker

MODERATE
Injury:Shoulder Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

C. Pring

C. Pring

MODERATE
Injury:Ankle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-8 weeks

E. Adebayo

E. Adebayo

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

N. Eile

N. Eile

MINOR
Injury:Illness

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-7 days

L. Tolaj

L. Tolaj

MINOR
Injury:Knock

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

1-2 weeks

Championship

League Statistics

Championship • Standings & Top Performers

Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Birmingham
158522814+1429
2
Middlesbrough
158523019+1129
3
Stoke City
159242418+629
4
Wolves
158432618+828
5
West Brom
158432315+828
6
Swansea
158252218+426
7
Southampton
158432915+1424
8
QPR
156632418+624
9
West Ham
156543723+1423
10
Sheffield Utd
156452119+222
11
Portsmouth
156452018+222
12
Norwich
157083224+821
13
Blackburn
156362223-121
14
Cardiff
154652727018
15
Wrexham
154651820-218
16
Millwall
155372327-418
17
Bristol CityAway
155371624-818
18
Bolton
155282029-917
19
Charlton
154561323-1017
20
Watford
154381323-1015
21
Lincoln
154381526-1115
22
Burnley
151772231-910
23
DerbyHome
152491430-1610
24
Preston
1522111330-178
Champions League
Relegation
HomeAway

Oracle's Vision

Early projection

Bristol City

Odds pending

Win Probabilities

33%Derby
25%Draw
42%Bristol City

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
KickoffWed, Dec 9 · 19:45
StadiumPride Park
League StatsChampionship
2:1Correct Score Predictions TodayToday's most likely score for every match — free, updated every 15 minutes.

More information

Championship predicted line-ups: Gameweek 1612/12Line-upsDerby – Bristol CityHead-to-headDerby – Bristol CityInjuriesDerbyInjuriesBristol CityLive scores

Statistical Context

Derby

WLLDL
  • WNov 6, 26H · Bolton3-1
  • LNov 3, 26H · Norwich0-4
  • LOct 31, 26A · Millwall4-1
  • DOct 24, 26A · Sheffield Utd1-1
  • LOct 17, 26H · Stoke City0-1

Bristol City

LLWDL
  • LNov 7, 26H · Norwich0-5
  • LNov 4, 26H · Wolves1-2
  • WOct 31, 26A · Bolton2-3
  • DOct 24, 26A · Stoke City0-0
  • LOct 17, 26H · Sheffield Utd0-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
16Millwall15-418LLWLD
17Bristol City15-818LLWDL
18Bolton15-917LWLLD
19Charlton15-1017WLLLL
20Watford15-1015DWLLW
21Lincoln15-1115LLLWD
22Burnley15-910LDDLL
23Derby15-1610WLLDL
24Preston15-178WLLDL

Head to Head

3
Derby
1
Draws
6
Bristol City
  • Jan 30, 26Bristol City – Derby0-5
  • Aug 22, 25Derby – Bristol City1-1
  • Jan 4, 25Bristol City – Derby1-0
  • Aug 31, 24Derby – Bristol City3-0
  • Apr 23, 22Derby – Bristol City1-3

Season Statistics — 2026

DerbyBristol City
Played1514
Goals Scored1416
Goals Conceded3019
Avg Scored0.91.1
Avg Conceded2.01.4
Clean Sheets12

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

DerbyBristol City
Over 2.5 Goals7/103/10
Both Teams Scored7/103/10
Clean Sheets2/104/10

Predicted line-ups: Derby vs Bristol City

Predicted XI

Derby

4-2-3-1Formation· Coach: J. Eustace

Bristol City

4-2-3-1Formation· Coach: G. Struber

  1. 40B. Collins
  1. 5R. Atkinson
  2. 2L. Eissat
  3. 19G. Tanner
  4. 21Rio Cardines
  1. 14T. Horvat
  2. 12J. Knight
  1. 10S. Twine
  2. 11S. Bell
  3. 7Y. Hirakawa
  1. 23D. Ballard
  1. 33C. Blackett-Taylor
  1. 4D. Ozoh
  2. 16M. Fuseini
  3. 27C. Allen
  1. 8B. Clark
  2. 29O. Fraulo
  1. 25S. Duffy
  2. 43I. Gordon
  3. 24R. Nyambe
  4. 14J. Robinson
  1. 31J. Vickers

Bench

  • 1J. Widell Zetterström
  • 15L. Salvesen
  • 1N. Bilokapić
  • 12R. O'Donnell
  • 1H. Price
  • 6S. Langås
  • 5Raymond Offor

Out

  • D. Sanderson · Red Card
  • C. Forsyth · Knee Injury
  • C. Morris · Calf Injury
  • L. Travis · Ankle Injury
  • H. Meister · Concussion
  • J. Widell Zetterstrom · Knee Injury
  • J. Ward · Inactive
  • P. Agyemang · Achilles Tendon Injury

Bench

  • 1S. Tickle
  • 17J. Wallace
  • 32L. Thomas
  • 20S. Greenwood
  • 17E. Morrison
  • 27G. Yah
  • 29Leo Pecover

Out

  • A. Randell · Red Card
  • J. Williams · Inactive
  • R. Dickie · Knee Injury
  • L. McNally · Knee Injury
  • O. Thomas · Injury
  • B. De Keersmaecker · Shoulder Injury
  • C. Pring · Ankle Injury
  • E. Adebayo · Inactive

Predicted line-ups based on recent matches and absences; official line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.

Derby vs Bristol City — Expert Prediction & Analysis

Derby hold a narrow edge at home, supported by a slight attacking advantage and a marginal statistical model lean, but their poor home record and injury crisis keep the contest tight. The main risk is Bristol City's superior head-to-head record and league position, which could see them snatch a result.

Derby County and Bristol City meet at Pride Park in a Championship clash that the data frames as a narrow, evenly-matched contest. The API-Football model gives Derby a slight edge, predicting a win or draw, while the team comparison shows almost nothing between the sides overall.…

Win Probabilities: Derby: 33% · Draw: 25% · Bristol City: 42%

H2H: Derby wins: 3 · Draws: 1 · Bristol City wins: 6

Form (latest first): Derby: WLLDL · Bristol City: LLWDL

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Oct 18, 2026
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Championship

Championship

England15 · Upcoming Fixtures
ChampionshipEngland
Southampton
Nov 2112:30
Derby
Early projection
11.3375%
X7.1414%
29.0911%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Millwall
Nov 2112:30
QPR
Early projection
12.5639%
X3.7027%
22.9434%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Norwich
Nov 2112:30
Cardiff
Early projection
12.7836%
X3.7027%
22.7037%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Wolves
Nov 2115:00
Charlton
Early projection
11.6959%
X5.0020%
24.7621%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
West Ham
Nov 2115:00
Preston
Early projection
11.2282%
X8.3312%
216.676%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Sheffield Utd
Nov 2115:00
Watford
Early projection
11.7258%
X5.0020%
24.5522%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Bolton
Nov 2115:00
Portsmouth
Early projection
12.3343%
X4.0025%
23.1332%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Middlesbrough
Nov 2115:00
Bristol City
Early projection
11.5963%
X5.2619%
25.5618%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Stoke City
Nov 2115:00
Birmingham
Early projection
12.5639%
X3.7027%
22.9434%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Swansea
Nov 2115:00
West Brom
Early projection
11.7956%
X4.7621%
24.3523%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Lincoln
Nov 2115:00
Wrexham
Early projection
12.8635%
X3.5728%
22.7037%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Burnley
Nov 2212:00
Blackburn
Early projection
13.4529%
X4.1724%
22.1347%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Cardiff
Nov 2419:45
Preston
Early projection
11.4370%
X6.2516%
27.1414%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Bristol City
Nov 2419:45
Wrexham
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Sheffield Utd
Nov 2419:45
Southampton
Early projection
13.0333%
X3.8526%
22.4441%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access

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