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Matches
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Pricing
  1. Home
  2. Championship
  3. Burnley vs Derby

Burnley vs Derby

Prediction • Championship·Burnley·Derby

Championship
Championship
Sep 19, 2026
14:00
Early projection · Odds pending
PREDICTED WINNER
Burnley

Burnley

Home
VS
VS
Stadium
Turf Moor
Early projection · Odds pending
Derby

Derby

Away
Stadium
Turf Moor
Win Probabilities
62%
Burnley
18%
Draw
20%
Derby
Home1.6162%
Draw5.5618%
Away5.0020%

Oracle's Vision

Early projection
“

Burnley are clear favourites, backed by a perfect home record and a dominant head-to-head history over Derby, who have never beaten them in recent meetings. The main risk is Burnley's injury list, which could disrupt their rhythm, but Derby's poor form makes an upset unlikely.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
0.0Burnley
/10
2.0Derby
Burnley
FormLatest first
DDDLD
Win Rate0%
Derby
FormLatest first
LLLWL
Win Rate20%
Momentum AdvantageDerby+2.0

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Burnley
Home

Burnley

Form
D
Latest first
2
Pos
100
Pts
+1
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 1 matches)

Clean Sheets00%
Goal Diff+1
  • Strong home record (1 win in 1 home game)
  • Superior head-to-head record against Derby (6 wins in last 10)
  • Higher attacking rating (67%) compared to Derby
E. Agyei
Injury
Injured
J. Banel
Injury
Injured
A. Barnes
Injury
Injured
J. Beyer
Hamstring Injury
Injured
J. Cullen
Knee Injury
Injured

Head to Head

Last 10
Burnley
Burnley
6Wins
4
Draws
Derby
0Wins
Derby
60%40%0%

Recent Matches

Last 10
Aug262025
BurnleyBurnley
2-1
Win
DerbyDerby
Apr82025
DerbyDerby
0-0
Draw
BurnleyBurnley
Dec102024
BurnleyBurnley
0-0
Draw
DerbyDerby
Jan252016
BurnleyBurnley
4-1
Win
DerbyDerby
Sep212015
DerbyDerby
0-0
Draw
BurnleyBurnley
Mar12014
BurnleyBurnley
2-0
Win
DerbyDerby
Aug312013
DerbyDerby
0-3
Win
BurnleyBurnley
Dec262012
BurnleyBurnley
2-0
Win
DerbyDerby
Sep222012
DerbyDerby
1-2
Win
BurnleyBurnley
Jan212012
BurnleyBurnley
0-0
Draw
DerbyDerby
Burnley4-2-3-1vs5-3-2DerbyPredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Tactical matchup will test both managers' adaptability.

DerbyDerby5-3-2
BurnleyBurnley4-2-3-1
DerbyBenchDerby7
BurnleyBenchBurnley7

Injury Report

Current team availability status

Data Accuracy: Player availability is highly accurate (~90%), but specific injury diagnoses and recovery timelines may not reflect the latest medical updates (~70% accuracy).

Burnley

5Out

5 key players

Derby

5Out

5 key players

Burnley

Team

Burnley

Players Out

5(5 key)
E. Agyei

E. Agyei

MODERATE
Injury:Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

J. Banel

J. Banel

MODERATE
Injury:Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

A. Barnes

A. Barnes

MODERATE
Injury:Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

J. Beyer

J. Beyer

MODERATE
Injury:Hamstring Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

J. Cullen

J. Cullen

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

Derby

Team

Derby

Players Out

5(5 key)
P. Agyemang

P. Agyemang

MODERATE
Injury:Achilles Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

R. Brewster

R. Brewster

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

D. Murkin

D. Murkin

MODERATE
Injury:Hamstring Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

M. Clarke

M. Clarke

MODERATE
Injury:Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

C. Blackett-Taylor

C. Blackett-Taylor

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

Championship

League Statistics

Championship • Standings & Top Performers

Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
QPR
QPR
110031+23
2
Millwall
Millwall
110020+23
3
Bolton
Bolton
110021+13
4
Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
110021+13
5
Charlton
Charlton
110021+13
6
Watford
Watford
110021+13
7
West Brom
West Brom
110021+13
8
Swansea
Swansea
110021+13
9
Blackburn
Blackburn
10102201
10
West Ham
West Ham
10102201
11
Burnley
BurnleyHome
10102201
12
Wolves
Wolves
10102201
13
Cardiff
Cardiff
10101101
14
Wrexham
Wrexham
10101101
15
Birmingham
Birmingham
10100001
16
Sheffield Utd
Sheffield Utd
10100001
17
Derby
DerbyAway
100112-10
18
Norwich
Norwich
100112-10
19
Preston
Preston
100112-10
20
Stoke City
Stoke City
100112-10
21
Lincoln
Lincoln
100112-10
22
Portsmouth
Portsmouth
100113-20
23
Bristol City
Bristol City
100102-20
24
Southampton
Southampton
100112-1-4
Champions League
Relegation
HomeAway

Oracle's Vision

Early projection

Burnley

Odds pending

Win Probabilities

62%Burnley
18%Draw
20%Derby

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
KickoffSat, Sep 19 · 14:00
StadiumTurf Moor
League StatsChampionship

Statistical Context

Burnley

DDDLD
  • DAug 16, 26H · West Ham2-2
  • DAug 8, 26H · Notts County1-1
  • DMay 24, 26H · Wolves1-1
  • LMay 18, 26A · Arsenal1-0
  • DMay 10, 26H · Aston Villa2-2

Derby

LLLWL
  • LAug 15, 26A · Charlton2-1
  • LAug 8, 26H · Lincoln1-2
  • LMay 2, 26H · Sheffield Utd1-2
  • WApr 25, 26A · QPR2-3
  • LApr 21, 26A · Norwich2-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
10West Ham101D
11Burnley101D
12Wolves101D
13Cardiff101D
14Wrexham101D
15Birmingham101D
16Sheffield Utd101D
17Derby1-10L
18Norwich1-10L

Head to Head

6
Burnley
4
Draws
0
Derby
  • Aug 26, 25Burnley – Derby2-1
  • Apr 8, 25Derby – Burnley0-0
  • Dec 10, 24Burnley – Derby0-0
  • Jan 25, 16Burnley – Derby4-1
  • Sep 21, 15Derby – Burnley0-0

Season Statistics — 2026

BurnleyDerby
Played11
Goals Scored21
Goals Conceded12
Avg Scored2.01.0
Avg Conceded1.02.0
Clean Sheets00

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

BurnleyDerby
Over 2.5 Goals—7/10
Both Teams Scored—7/10
Clean Sheets—2/10

Predicted Line-ups & Formations

Predicted XI

Burnley

Formation 4-2-3-1
  1. 13GB. Amos
  2. 3DMax Alleyne
  3. 6DB. Humphreys
  4. 23DLucas Pires
  5. 20DS. Sambo
  6. 7MJ. Bruun Larsen
  7. 29MJ. Laurent
  8. 28MH. Mejbri
  9. 8MU. Raghouber
  10. 21MA. Ramsey
  11. 19AZ. Flemming

Coach: S. Parker

Derby

Formation 5-3-2
  1. 31GJ. Vickers
  2. 3DC. Forsyth
  3. 22DM. Johnston
  4. 6DS. Langås
  5. 24DR. Nyambe
  6. 28DD. Sanderson
  7. 8MB. Clark
  8. 37MOwen Eames
  9. 29MO. Fraulo
  10. 11AS. Szmodics
  11. 9AC. Morris

Coach: J. Eustace

Burnley vs Derby — Expert Prediction & Analysis

Burnley are clear favourites, backed by a perfect home record and a dominant head-to-head history over Derby, who have never beaten them in recent meetings. The main risk is Burnley's injury list, which could disrupt their rhythm, but Derby's poor form makes an upset unlikely.

Burnley enter this Championship clash as clear favourites, backed by a dominant head-to-head record and superior recent form. The data points strongly toward a home victory, with the visitors struggling for momentum. Form Analysis: Burnley have won their only league match so far, while Derby have lost theirs.…

Win Probabilities: Burnley: 62% · Draw: 18% · Derby: 20%

H2H: Burnley wins: 6 · Draws: 4 · Derby wins: 0

Form (latest first): Burnley: DDDLD · Derby: LLLWL

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Championship

Championship

England15 · Upcoming Fixtures
ChampionshipEngland
Birmingham
Aug 2211:30
Bristol City
12.0050%
X3.8526%
24.1724%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Millwall
Aug 2211:30
Norwich
11.9651%
X3.5728%
24.7621%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Lincoln
Aug 2211:30
Portsmouth
12.5040%
X3.7027%
23.0333%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Southampton
Aug 2214:00
Stoke City
11.6461%
X4.3523%
26.2516%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
West Ham
Aug 2214:00
Charlton
11.2878%
X5.8817%
220.005%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Preston
Aug 2214:00
Wolves
15.8817%
X3.8526%
21.7557%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Blackburn
Aug 2214:00
Middlesbrough
13.8526%
X3.3330%
22.2744%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Derby
Aug 2214:00
Cardiff
12.0449%
X3.7027%
24.1724%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
QPR
Aug 2214:00
Bolton
11.9651%
X3.5728%
24.7621%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Swansea
Aug 2214:00
Sheffield Utd
12.5639%
X3.5728%
23.0333%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Wrexham
Aug 2214:00
Watford
12.2245%
X3.5728%
23.7027%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
West Brom
Aug 2311:00
Burnley
13.0333%
X3.5728%
22.5639%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Wrexham
Aug 2819:00
Birmingham
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Wolves
Aug 2911:30
Stoke City
Early projection
12.0050%
X4.3523%
23.7027%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Derby
Aug 2911:30
Swansea
Early projection
13.1332%
X4.0025%
22.3343%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access