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Matches
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  1. Home
  2. Championship
  3. Derby vs Cardiff

Derby vs Cardiff

Prediction • Championship·Derby·Cardiff

Championship
Championship
Aug 22, 2026
14:00
Early projection · Odds pending
PREDICTED WINNER
Derby

Derby

Home
VS
VS
Stadium
Pride Park
Early projection · Odds pending
Cardiff

Cardiff

Away
Stadium
Pride Park
Win Probabilities
58%
Derby
20%
Draw
22%
Cardiff
Home1.7258%
Draw5.0020%
Away4.5522%

Oracle's Vision

Early projection
“

Derby are clear favourites, backed by a 16-place and 25-point gap in the standings and superior recent form. The main risk is Cardiff's historical head-to-head dominance, which could give them a psychological edge.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
4.0Derby
/10
0.0Cardiff
Derby
FormLatest first
LWLWL
Win Rate40%
Cardiff
FormLatest first
LL
Win Rate0%
Momentum AdvantageDerby+4.0

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Derby
Home

Derby

Form
LWLWL
Latest first
19
Pos
50
Pts
0
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 0 matches)

Clean Sheets0
Goal Diff0
  • Solid league position (8th) with 69 points
  • Positive goal difference (+8)
  • Consistent scoring, averaging 1.6 goals per game

Head to Head

Last 10
Derby
Derby
2Wins
3
Draws
Cardiff
5Wins
Cardiff
20%30%50%

Recent Matches

Last 10
Jan252025
CardiffCardiff
2-1
Loss
DerbyDerby
Sep142024
DerbyDerby
1-0
Win
CardiffCardiff
May72022
DerbyDerby
0-1
Loss
CardiffCardiff
Mar12022
CardiffCardiff
1-0
Loss
DerbyDerby
Mar22021
CardiffCardiff
4-0
Loss
DerbyDerby
Oct282020
DerbyDerby
1-1
Draw
CardiffCardiff
Jul142020
CardiffCardiff
2-1
Loss
DerbyDerby
Sep132019
DerbyDerby
1-1
Draw
CardiffCardiff
Apr242018
DerbyDerby
3-1
Win
CardiffCardiff
Sep302017
CardiffCardiff
0-0
Draw
DerbyDerby
Derby4-3-3vs4-3-3CardiffPredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Mirror formation. Tactical discipline and individual quality will decide.

CardiffCardiff4-3-3
DerbyDerby4-3-3
CardiffBenchCardiff7
DerbyBenchDerby7

No Reported Injuries

Both teams have a clean bill of health

Oracle's Vision

Early projection

Derby

Odds pending

Win Probabilities

58%Derby
20%Draw
22%Cardiff

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
KickoffSat, Aug 22 · 14:00
StadiumPride Park
League StatsChampionship

Statistical Context

Derby

LWLWL
  • LMay 2, 26H · Sheffield Utd1-2
  • WApr 25, 26A · QPR2-3
  • LApr 21, 26A · Norwich2-1
  • WApr 18, 26H · Oxford United1-0
  • LApr 11, 26A · Southampton2-1

Cardiff

LL
  • LDec 16, 25H · Chelsea1-3
  • LNov 1, 25A · Peterborough1-0

Head to Head

2
Derby
3
Draws
5
Cardiff
  • Jan 25, 25Cardiff – Derby2-1
  • Sep 14, 24Derby – Cardiff1-0
  • May 7, 22Derby – Cardiff0-1
  • Mar 1, 22Cardiff – Derby1-0
  • Mar 2, 21Cardiff – Derby4-0

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

DerbyCardiff
Over 2.5 Goals7/10—
Both Teams Scored7/10—
Clean Sheets2/10—

Derby vs Cardiff — Expert Prediction & Analysis

Derby are clear favourites, backed by a 16-place and 25-point gap in the standings and superior recent form. The main risk is Cardiff's historical head-to-head dominance, which could give them a psychological edge.

Derby are the clear favourites for this Championship clash at Pride Park, backed by a strong league position and superior form. The data points to a home victory, with the visitors struggling at the bottom of the table.…

Win Probabilities: Derby: 58% · Draw: 20% · Cardiff: 22%

H2H: Derby wins: 2 · Draws: 3 · Cardiff wins: 5

Form (latest first): Derby: LWLWL · Cardiff: LL

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Championship

Championship

England15 · Upcoming Fixtures
ChampionshipEngland
Wolves
Aug 1419:00
Blackburn
12.0050%
X3.5728%
24.5522%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Bolton
Aug 1511:30
Preston
12.5040%
X3.5728%
23.1332%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Bristol City
Aug 1514:00
Millwall
Early projection
12.8635%
X3.5728%
22.7037%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Middlesbrough
Aug 1514:00
Lincoln
12.5040%
X3.3330%
23.3330%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Norwich
Aug 1514:00
West Brom
Early projection
11.8953%
X4.5522%
24.0025%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Stoke City
Aug 1514:00
Swansea
Early projection
12.5639%
X3.8526%
22.8635%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Charlton
Aug 1514:00
Derby
Early projection
12.7836%
X3.5728%
22.7836%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Portsmouth
Aug 1514:00
QPR
Early projection
12.4441%
X3.8526%
23.0333%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Sheffield Utd
Aug 1516:30
Birmingham
Early projection
12.3343%
X4.0025%
23.1332%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Watford
Aug 1612:30
Southampton
Early projection
13.4529%
X4.1724%
22.1347%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Burnley
Aug 1615:00
West Ham
13.0333%
X3.0333%
22.9434%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Cardiff
Aug 1719:00
Wrexham
Early projection
13.0333%
X4.0025%
22.3842%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Birmingham
Aug 2211:30
Bristol City
Early projection
12.0449%
X4.3523%
23.5728%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Millwall
Aug 2211:30
Norwich
Early projection
11.9651%
X4.5522%
23.7027%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Lincoln
Aug 2211:30
Portsmouth
13.3330%
X3.5728%
22.3842%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access