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Matches
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  1. Home
  2. Championship
  3. Middlesbrough vs Cardiff

Middlesbrough vs Cardiff

Prediction • Championship·Middlesbrough·Cardiff

Championship
Championship
Oct 17, 2026
11:30
Early projection · Odds pending
PREDICTED WINNER
Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough

Home
VS
VS
Stadium
Riverside Stadium
Early projection · Odds pending
Cardiff

Cardiff

Away
Stadium
Riverside Stadium
Win Probabilities
75%
Middlesbrough
14%
Draw
11%
Cardiff
Home1.3375%
Draw7.1414%
Away9.0911%

Oracle's Vision

Early projection
“

Middlesbrough are clear favourites for this Championship fixture, backed by superior form, a perfect home record, and a dominant head-to-head history. The main risk is complacency or an unexpected Cardiff defensive resilience, but the data strongly points to a home win.

See our exact score, over/under 2.5 and BTTS call for Middlesbrough vs Cardiff.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
4.0Middlesbrough
/10
0.0Cardiff
Middlesbrough
FormLatest first
DWLWD
Win Rate40%
Cardiff
FormLatest first
LDLLD
Win Rate0%
Momentum AdvantageMiddlesbrough+4.0

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Middlesbrough
Home

Middlesbrough

Form
WDWWD
Latest first
10
Pos
64
Pts
+4
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 6 matches)

Clean Sheets117%
Goal Diff+4
  • Excellent recent form: 10 points from last 5 matches (W-D-W-W-D)
  • Strong home record: 3 wins from 3 at the Riverside
  • Dominant head-to-head record: 6 wins in last 10 meetings
T. Conway
Ankle Injury
Injured
A. Bangura
Coach's decision
Injured
R. Pukstas
Transfer negotiations
Injured
J. Sarmiento
Inactive
Injured
A. Morris
Injury
Injured
A. Phillips
Lacking Match Fitness
Injured
A. Jones
Inactive
Injured
D. Strelec
Transfer negotiations
Injured

Head to Head

Last 10
Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
6Wins
3
Draws
Cardiff
1Wins
Cardiff
60%30%10%

Recent Matches

Last 10
Jan42025
MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough
1-1
Draw
CardiffCardiff
Aug312024
CardiffCardiff
0-2
Win
MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough
Apr272024
CardiffCardiff
1-4
Win
MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough
Oct32023
MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough
2-0
Win
CardiffCardiff
Feb112023
CardiffCardiff
1-3
Win
MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough
Sep132022
MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough
2-3
Loss
CardiffCardiff
Apr272022
MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough
2-0
Win
CardiffCardiff
Oct232021
CardiffCardiff
0-2
Win
MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough
Feb272021
MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough
1-1
Draw
CardiffCardiff
Oct242020
CardiffCardiff
1-1
Draw
MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough
Middlesbrough4-2-3-1vs4-2-3-1CardiffPredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Tactical mirror. Individual brilliance decides.

See the full predicted line-ups ↓

Injury Report

Current team availability status

Data Accuracy: Player availability is highly accurate (~90%), but specific injury diagnoses and recovery timelines may not reflect the latest medical updates (~70% accuracy).

Middlesbrough

8Out

8 key players

Cardiff

7Out

7 key players

Middlesbrough

Team

Middlesbrough

Players Out

8(8 key)
T. Conway

T. Conway

MODERATE
Injury:Ankle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-8 weeks

A. Bangura

A. Bangura

MODERATE
Injury:Coach's decision

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

R. Pukstas

R. Pukstas

MODERATE
Injury:Transfer negotiations

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

J. Sarmiento

J. Sarmiento

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

A. Morris

A. Morris

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

A. Phillips

A. Phillips

MODERATE
Injury:Lacking Match Fitness

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

A. Jones

A. Jones

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

D. Strelec

D. Strelec

MODERATE
Injury:Transfer negotiations

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Cardiff

Team

Cardiff

Players Out

7(7 key)
W. Fish

W. Fish

MODERATE
Injury:Hernia

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

R. Colwill

R. Colwill

MODERATE
Injury:Illness

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

K. Bielik

K. Bielik

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

C. Chambers

C. Chambers

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

G. Osho

G. Osho

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

D. Lawlor

D. Lawlor

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

I. Davies

I. Davies

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Championship

League Statistics

Championship • Standings & Top Performers

Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
West Ham
West Ham
7421209+1114
2
Swansea
Swansea
7421115+614
3
Middlesbrough
MiddlesbroughHome
74211410+414
4
West Brom
West Brom
7421107+314
5
QPR
QPR
733185+312
6
Charlton
Charlton
733167-112
7
Wolves
Wolves
63211410+411
8
Lincoln
Lincoln
732266011
9
Southampton
Southampton
7421188+1010
10
Birmingham
Birmingham
7241109+110
11
Millwall
Millwall
73131313010
12
Stoke City
Stoke City
73131111010
13
Bristol City
Bristol City
73131012-210
14
Norwich
Norwich
7304131309
15
Sheffield Utd
Sheffield Utd
723289-19
16
Blackburn
Blackburn
7223101008
17
Watford
Watford
722379-28
18
Portsmouth
Portsmouth
621378-17
19
Wrexham
Wrexham
7142711-47
20
Bolton
Bolton
7214712-57
21
Cardiff
CardiffAway
7043711-44
22
Derby
Derby
7115613-74
23
Preston
Preston
7106613-73
24
Burnley
Burnley
7034816-83
Champions League
Relegation
HomeAway

Oracle's Vision

Early projection

Middlesbrough

Odds pending

Win Probabilities

75%Middlesbrough
14%Draw
11%Cardiff

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
KickoffSat, Oct 17 · 11:30
StadiumRiverside Stadium
League StatsChampionship
Line-ups →Head-to-head →Injuries · MiddlesbroughInjuries · CardiffLive scores →

Statistical Context

Middlesbrough

DWLWD
  • DSep 15, 26H · Millwall2-2
  • WSep 12, 26H · Norwich4-3
  • LSep 8, 26A · Crystal Palace3-0
  • WSep 5, 26A · QPR0-1
  • DSep 2, 26A · Burnley1-1

Cardiff

LDLLD
  • LSep 12, 26A · Bolton1-0
  • DSep 8, 26H · Stoke City1-1
  • LSep 5, 26A · Portsmouth2-0
  • LSep 2, 26A · QPR2-1
  • DAug 29, 26H · Sheffield Utd2-2

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
2Swansea7+614WLDWW
3Middlesbrough7+414DWWDW
4West Brom7+314DWWDL
20Bolton7-57WLLLL
21Cardiff7-44LDLLD
22Derby7-74LLLWL

Head to Head

6
Middlesbrough
3
Draws
1
Cardiff
  • Jan 4, 25Middlesbrough – Cardiff1-1
  • Aug 31, 24Cardiff – Middlesbrough0-2
  • Apr 27, 24Cardiff – Middlesbrough1-4
  • Oct 3, 23Middlesbrough – Cardiff2-0
  • Feb 11, 23Cardiff – Middlesbrough1-3

Season Statistics — 2026

MiddlesbroughCardiff
Played65
Goals Scored126
Goals Conceded89
Avg Scored2.01.2
Avg Conceded1.31.8
Clean Sheets10

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

MiddlesbroughCardiff
Over 2.5 Goals6/10—
Both Teams Scored8/10—
Clean Sheets1/10—

Predicted line-ups: Middlesbrough vs Cardiff

Predicted XI

Middlesbrough

4-2-3-1Formation· Coach: R. Edwards

Cardiff

4-2-3-1Formation· Coach: M. Hudson

  1. 1N. Trott
  1. 3J. Bagan
  2. 44R. Kpakio
  3. 38P. Ng
  4. 23C. Scanlon
  1. 27J. Colwill
  2. 43P. Moreno
  1. 8J. Moylan
  2. 18A. Robertson
  3. 33R. Tankiewicz
  1. 45Cian Ashford
  1. 22K. Joseph
  1. 11A. Cozier-Duberry
  2. 8R. McGree
  3. 14M. Peart-Harris
  1. 6S. Berhalter
  2. 19Leo Castledine
  1. 12L. Ayling
  2. 2C. Brittain
  3. 3S. Byram
  4. 30Neto Borges
  1. 31S. Brynn

Bench

  • 1R. Vítek
  • 17M. Arfsten
  • 21R. Pukštas
  • 7W. Lankshear
  • 33J. McLaughlin
  • 25G. Edmundson
  • 46H. Hunt

Out

  • T. Conway · Ankle Injury
  • A. Bangura · Coach's decision
  • R. Pukstas · Transfer negotiations
  • J. Sarmiento · Inactive
  • A. Morris · Injury
  • A. Phillips · Lacking Match Fitness
  • A. Jones · Inactive
  • D. Strelec · Transfer negotiations

Bench

  • 41M. Turner
  • 30H. Tyrer
  • 14D. Turnbull
  • 16C. Willock
  • 11O. Tanner
  • 47C. Robinson
  • 9Y. Salech

Out

  • W. Fish · Hernia
  • R. Colwill · Health problems
  • K. Bielik · Inactive
  • C. Chambers · Knee Injury
  • G. Osho · Knee Injury
  • D. Lawlor · Muscle Injury
  • I. Davies · Injury

Predicted line-ups based on recent matches and absences; official line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.

Middlesbrough vs Cardiff — Expert Prediction & Analysis

Middlesbrough are clear favourites for this Championship fixture, backed by superior form, a perfect home record, and a dominant head-to-head history. The main risk is complacency or an unexpected Cardiff defensive resilience, but the data strongly points to a home win.

Middlesbrough are clear favourites to win this Championship clash against Cardiff at the Riverside Stadium. The baseline model gives them a commanding 75% chance, and the API-Football statistical mode…

Win Probabilities: Middlesbrough: 75% · Draw: 14% · Cardiff: 11%

H2H: Middlesbrough wins: 6 · Draws: 3 · Cardiff wins: 1

Form (latest first): Middlesbrough: DWLWD · Cardiff: LDLLD

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Championship

Championship

England15 · Upcoming Fixtures
ChampionshipEngland
Cardiff
Sep 1911:30
Charlton
12.3343%
X3.5728%
23.4529%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Millwall
Sep 1911:30
West Ham
13.7027%
X3.5728%
22.2245%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Stoke City
Sep 1911:30
Sheffield Utd
13.2331%
X3.4529%
22.5040%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Burnley
Sep 1914:00
Derby
11.9651%
X3.5728%
24.7621%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Birmingham
Sep 1914:00
Middlesbrough
13.3330%
X3.4529%
22.4441%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
QPR
Sep 1914:00
Preston
11.7956%
X4.0025%
25.2619%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Portsmouth
Sep 1914:00
Blackburn
12.5040%
X3.3330%
23.3330%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Lincoln
Sep 1914:00
Swansea
13.2331%
X3.4529%
22.5040%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Wrexham
Sep 1914:00
Southampton
13.4529%
X3.3330%
22.4441%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Wolves
Sep 2011:00
West Brom
12.0848%
X3.5728%
24.1724%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Norwich
Sep 2012:30
Bolton
11.5664%
X4.5522%
27.1414%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
West Ham
Oct 919:00
QPR
Early projection
12.3842%
X3.8526%
23.1332%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
West Brom
Oct 1011:30
Birmingham
Early projection
11.4768%
X5.8817%
26.6715%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Swansea
Oct 1011:30
Norwich
Early projection
11.8554%
X4.5522%
24.1724%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Charlton
Oct 1011:30
Bristol City
Early projection
12.8635%
X3.5728%
22.7037%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access

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