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  1. Home
  2. Championship
  3. Millwall vs Derby

Millwall vs Derby

Prediction • Championship·Millwall·Derby

Championship
Championship
Oct 31, 2026
15:00
Early projection · Odds pending
PREDICTED WINNER
Millwall

Millwall

Home
VS
VS
Stadium
The Den
Early projection · Odds pending
Derby

Derby

Away
Stadium
The Den
Win Probabilities
64%
Millwall
18%
Draw
18%
Derby
Home1.5664%
Draw5.5618%
Away5.5618%

Oracle's Vision

Early projection
“

Millwall are clear favourites for this Championship clash, backed by a dominant head-to-head record and Derby's poor form and attacking struggles. The main risk is Millwall's leaky defence, but Derby's lack of firepower makes an upset unlikely.

See our exact score, over/under 2.5 and BTTS call for Millwall vs Derby.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
2.0Millwall
/10
2.0Derby
Millwall
FormLatest first
DDLLW
Win Rate20%
Derby
FormLatest first
DLLLW
Win Rate20%
Momentum AdvantageEven Match

Featured Players

Compare the key players from each team

Key Battle

D
Jake Cooper
7.9

Jake Cooper

Millwall

VS
Joe Ward
7.3

Joe Ward

Derby

5ATT18
100TEC100
71TAC70
21DEF31
30CRE70

Team Streaks

Statistical trends from recent matches

Team Streaks

Last 10 Matches
Scoring
5/10
Over 2.5 Goals
7/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
1.4
Avg Scored
1.5
Defense
4/10
Clean Sheets
2/10
1.3
Avg Conceded
1.3
Match Flow
8/10
Scored First
6/10
1.8
Avg Cards
1.9
5.5
Avg Corners
6.0

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Millwall
Home

Millwall

Form
LWLDD
Latest first
8
Pos
66
Pts
0
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 8 matches)

Clean Sheets338%
Goal Diff0
  • Strong head-to-head record (5 wins in last 5)
  • Home advantage at The Den
  • Higher average goals scored (1.8 per game)
J. Metcalfe
Red Card
Suspended
J. Coburn
Muscle Injury
Injured
C. De Norre
Injury
Injured
K. Lisbie
Injury
Injured
R. Esse
Ankle Injury
Injured
R. Leonard
Hamstring Injury
Injured
L. Cundle
Inactive
Injured
T. Crama
Ankle Injury
Injured
M. Ivanovic
Hamstring Injury
Injured
D. Mazou-Sacko
Calf Injury
Injured
M. Servais
Hamstring Injury
Injured
A. Doughty
Hamstring Injury
Injured
L. Jensen
Injury
Injured
F. Azeez
Muscle Strain
Injured
M. Luongo
Knee Injury
Injured
M. Sykes
Injury
Injured
Derby
Away

Derby

Form
WLLLD
Latest first
19
Pos
50
Pts
-7
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 8 matches)

Clean Sheets113%
Goal Diff-7
  • Nothing significant from data
C. Forsyth
Knee Injury
Injured
C. Morris
Calf Injury
Injured
L. Travis
Leg Injury
Injured
H. Meister
Injury
Injured
J. Widell Zetterstrom
Knee Injury
Injured
P. Agyemang
Achilles Injury
Injured
R. Brewster
Injury
Injured
D. Murkin
Hamstring Injury
Injured
M. Clarke
Calf Injury
Injured
S. Szmodics
Thigh Injury
Injured
F. Bilbija
Back Injury
Injured

Head to Head

Last 10
Millwall
Millwall
5Wins
3
Draws
Derby
2Wins
Derby
50%30%20%

Recent Matches

Last 10
Mar102026
MillwallMillwall
1-0
Win
DerbyDerby
Dec102025
DerbyDerby
1-1
Draw
MillwallMillwall
Feb222025
DerbyDerby
0-1
Win
MillwallMillwall
Oct192024
MillwallMillwall
1-1
Draw
DerbyDerby
Feb232022
DerbyDerby
1-2
Win
MillwallMillwall
Nov62021
MillwallMillwall
1-1
Draw
DerbyDerby
Mar132021
DerbyDerby
0-1
Win
MillwallMillwall
Dec52020
MillwallMillwall
0-1
Loss
DerbyDerby
Jun202020
MillwallMillwall
2-3
Loss
DerbyDerby
Dec142019
DerbyDerby
0-1
Win
MillwallMillwall

Past Predictions

50%1/2 correct

Millwall 1 - 0 Derby

Mar 10, 2026

48% / 28% / 24%

Derby 1 - 1 Millwall

Dec 10, 2025

35% / 30% / 35%

Millwall4-2-3-1vs4-2-3-1DerbyPredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Tactical mirror. Individual brilliance decides.

See the full predicted line-ups ↓

Injury Report

Current team availability status

Data Accuracy: Player availability is highly accurate (~90%), but specific injury diagnoses and recovery timelines may not reflect the latest medical updates (~70% accuracy).

Millwall

16Out

15 key players

Derby

11Out

11 key players

Millwall

Team

Millwall

Players Out

16(15 key)
J. Metcalfe

J. Metcalfe

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
J. Coburn

J. Coburn

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

C. De Norre

C. De Norre

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

K. Lisbie

K. Lisbie

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

R. Esse

R. Esse

MODERATE
Injury:Ankle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-8 weeks

R. Leonard

R. Leonard

MODERATE
Injury:Hamstring Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

L. Cundle

L. Cundle

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

T. Crama

T. Crama

MODERATE
Injury:Ankle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-8 weeks

M. Ivanovic

M. Ivanovic

MODERATE
Injury:Hamstring Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

D. Mazou-Sacko

D. Mazou-Sacko

MODERATE
Injury:Calf Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

M. Servais

M. Servais

MODERATE
Injury:Hamstring Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

A. Doughty

A. Doughty

MODERATE
Injury:Hamstring Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

L. Jensen

L. Jensen

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

F. Azeez

F. Azeez

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Strain

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

M. Luongo

M. Luongo

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

M. Sykes

M. Sykes

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Derby

Team

Derby

Players Out

11(11 key)
C. Forsyth

C. Forsyth

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

C. Morris

C. Morris

MODERATE
Injury:Calf Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

L. Travis

L. Travis

MODERATE
Injury:Leg Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-6 weeks

H. Meister

H. Meister

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

J. Widell Zetterstrom

J. Widell Zetterstrom

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

P. Agyemang

P. Agyemang

MODERATE
Injury:Achilles Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

R. Brewster

R. Brewster

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

D. Murkin

D. Murkin

MODERATE
Injury:Hamstring Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

M. Clarke

M. Clarke

MODERATE
Injury:Calf Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

S. Szmodics

S. Szmodics

MODERATE
Injury:Thigh Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

F. Bilbija

F. Bilbija

MODERATE
Injury:Back Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

4-12 weeks

Championship

League Statistics

Championship • Standings & Top Performers

Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Swansea
8521136+717
2
West Ham
84312211+1115
3
Middlesbrough
84311612+415
4
Wolves
74211510+514
5
West Brom
8422108+214
6
QPR
8341107+313
7
Stoke City
84131312+113
8
Bristol City
84131112-113
9
Charlton
8332710-312
10
Birmingham
82511211+111
11
MillwallHome
83231515011
12
Lincoln
832378-111
13
Southampton
84221910+910
14
Wrexham
8242912-310
15
Bolton
83141115-410
16
Blackburn
8233121209
17
Norwich
83051617-19
18
Sheffield Utd
8233911-29
19
Portsmouth
7223910-18
20
Watford
8224710-38
21
Cardiff
81431012-27
22
DerbyAway
8125714-75
23
Preston
8116815-74
24
Burnley
8044917-84
Champions League
Relegation
HomeAway

Oracle's Vision

Early projection

Millwall

Odds pending

Win Probabilities

64%Millwall
18%Draw
18%Derby

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
KickoffSat, Oct 31 · 15:00
StadiumThe Den
League StatsChampionship
Line-ups →Head-to-head →Injuries · MillwallInjuries · DerbyLive scores →

Statistical Context

Millwall

DDLLW
  • DSep 19, 26H · West Ham2-2
  • DSep 15, 26A · Middlesbrough2-2
  • LSep 12, 26A · Blackburn3-1
  • LSep 8, 26H · Newcastle0-1
  • WSep 5, 26H · Bolton4-0

Derby

DLLLW
  • DSep 19, 26A · Burnley1-1
  • LSep 12, 26H · Birmingham1-2
  • LSep 9, 26H · West Brom0-1
  • LSep 5, 26A · West Ham3-0
  • WSep 1, 26A · Portsmouth0-2

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
10Birmingham8+111DWLDD
11Millwall8011DDLWL
12Lincoln8-111LWWDD
21Cardiff8-27WLDLL
22Derby8-75DLLLW
23Preston8-74DLLWL

Head to Head

5
Millwall
3
Draws
2
Derby
  • Mar 10, 26Millwall – Derby1-0
  • Dec 10, 25Derby – Millwall1-1
  • Feb 22, 25Derby – Millwall0-1
  • Oct 19, 24Millwall – Derby1-1
  • Feb 23, 22Derby – Millwall1-2

Season Statistics — 2026

MillwallDerby
Played88
Goals Scored157
Goals Conceded1514
Avg Scored1.90.9
Avg Conceded1.91.8
Clean Sheets31

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

MillwallDerby
Over 2.5 Goals5/107/10
Both Teams Scored5/107/10
Clean Sheets4/102/10

Predicted line-ups: Millwall vs Derby

Predicted XI

Millwall

4-2-3-1Formation· Coach: A. Neil

Derby

4-2-3-1Formation· Coach: J. Eustace

  1. 12R. O'Donnell
  1. 22M. Johnston
  2. 6S. Langås
  3. 42Raymond Offor
  4. 28D. Sanderson
  1. 8B. Clark
  2. 29O. Fraulo
  1. 20A. Mowatt
  2. 4D. Ozoh
  3. 23J. Ward
  1. 33C. Blackett-Taylor
  1. 7T. Arconte
  1. 57Regan Anderson
  2. 27Alfie Massey
  3. 51S. T. Vieira
  1. 16D. Kelly
  2. 14Jenson Metcalfe
  1. 12E. Baggott
  2. 23D. Batth
  3. 5J. Cooper
  4. 2J. Osei-Tutu
  1. 15M. Crocombe

Bench

  • 34F. Marschall
  • 3Zak Norton Sturge
  • 6C. Taylor
  • 13L. Dykes
  • 35Y. Issoufou
  • 10C. Neghli
  • 43J. Coleman

Out

  • J. Metcalfe · Red Card
  • J. Coburn · Muscle Injury
  • C. De Norre · Injury
  • K. Lisbie · Injury
  • R. Esse · Ankle Injury
  • R. Leonard · Hamstring Injury
  • L. Cundle · Inactive
  • T. Crama · Ankle Injury

Bench

  • 31J. Vickers
  • 18C. Taylor
  • 16M. Fuseini
  • 26R. Hedges
  • 15L. Salvesen
  • 1N. Bilokapić
  • 1H. Price

Out

  • C. Forsyth · Knee Injury
  • C. Morris · Calf Injury
  • L. Travis · Leg Injury
  • H. Meister · Injury
  • J. Widell Zetterstrom · Knee Injury
  • P. Agyemang · Achilles Tendon Injury
  • R. Brewster · Injury
  • D. Murkin · Hamstring Injury

Predicted line-ups based on recent matches and absences; official line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.

Millwall vs Derby — Expert Prediction & Analysis

Millwall are clear favourites for this Championship clash, backed by a dominant head-to-head record and Derby's poor form and attacking struggles. The main risk is Millwall's leaky defence, but Derby's lack of firepower makes an upset unlikely.

Millwall are the clear favourites to win this Championship clash at The Den, with the data pointing to a home victory. The baseline model gives them a strong edge, and the API-Football statistical model also favours Millwall, predicting a win or draw.…

Win Probabilities: Millwall: 64% · Draw: 18% · Derby: 18%

H2H: Millwall wins: 5 · Draws: 3 · Derby wins: 2

Form (latest first): Millwall: DDLLW · Derby: DLLLW

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Championship

Championship

England15 · Upcoming Fixtures
ChampionshipEngland
West Ham
Oct 919:00
QPR
11.5664%
X4.3523%
27.6913%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
West Brom
Oct 1011:30
Birmingham
12.5040%
X3.4529%
23.2331%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Swansea
Oct 1011:30
Norwich
12.5040%
X3.3330%
23.3330%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Charlton
Oct 1011:30
Bristol City
13.5728%
X3.1332%
22.5040%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Watford
Oct 1014:00
Burnley
13.4529%
X3.3330%
22.4441%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Preston
Oct 1014:00
Millwall
12.9434%
X3.4529%
22.7037%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Sheffield Utd
Oct 1014:00
Lincoln
12.0449%
X3.4529%
24.5522%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Blackburn
Oct 1014:00
Cardiff
12.9434%
X3.7027%
22.5639%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Bolton
Oct 1014:00
Stoke City
12.7037%
X3.4529%
22.9434%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Derby
Oct 1014:00
Wrexham
13.3330%
X3.3330%
22.5040%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Middlesbrough
Oct 1014:00
Wolves
12.2245%
X3.4529%
23.8526%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Southampton
Oct 1111:00
Portsmouth
11.6760%
X4.1724%
26.2516%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Wolves
Oct 1318:45
Bolton
Early projection
11.5266%
X5.8817%
25.8817%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Cardiff
Oct 1318:45
Watford
Early projection
13.1332%
X4.0025%
22.3343%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Burnley
Oct 1318:45
Charlton
Early projection
15.0020%
X5.2619%
21.6461%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access

Betting Tips

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