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Matches
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  1. Home
  2. Championship
  3. Derby vs Swansea

Derby vs Swansea

Prediction • Championship·Derby·Swansea

Championship
Championship
Aug 29, 2026
11:30
Early projection · Odds pending
Derby

Derby

Home
VS
VS
Stadium
Pride Park
Early projection · Odds pending
PREDICTED WINNER
Swansea

Swansea

Away
Stadium
Pride Park
Win Probabilities
32%
Derby
25%
Draw
43%
Swansea
Home3.1332%
Draw4.0025%
Away2.3343%

Oracle's Vision

Early projection
“

Swansea are clear favourites, backed by superior form and a stronger overall statistical profile, while Derby are struggling with injuries and a two-game losing streak. The main risk is Derby's historical home advantage and the evenly matched head-to-head record, which could make this a tighter contest than expected.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
2.0Derby
/10
6.0Swansea
Derby
FormLatest first
LLLWL
Win Rate20%
Swansea
FormLatest first
WLWDW
Win Rate60%
Momentum AdvantageSwansea+4.0

Featured Players

Compare the key players from each team

Key Battle

M
Joe Ward
7.3

Joe Ward

Derby

VS
Josh Tymon
8.7

Josh Tymon

Swansea

18ATT39
100TEC100
70TAC30
31DEF25
70CRE70

Team Streaks

Statistical trends from recent matches

Team Streaks

Last 10 Matches
Scoring
7/10
Over 2.5 Goals
7/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
1.5
Avg Scored
1.1
Defense
2/10
Clean Sheets
1/10
1.3
Avg Conceded
2.0
Match Flow
6/10
Scored First
3/10
1.9
Avg Cards
1.6
6.0
Avg Corners
5.1

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Match Weather

16°
Patchy rain nearby
Wind
28 km/h
Humidity
55%
Rain
0.0 mm
Tactical Impact

Moderate wind - may affect crosses and set pieces

Derby
Home

Derby

Form
L
Latest first
19
Pos
50
Pts
-1
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 1 matches)

Clean Sheets00%
Goal Diff-1
  • Historical home advantage at Pride Park
  • Even head-to-head record against Swansea
  • Resilient defensive setup in a 4-3-3 formation
P. Agyemang
Achilles Injury
Injured
R. Brewster
Knee Injury
Injured
D. Murkin
Hamstring Injury
Injured
M. Clarke
Injury
Injured
C. Blackett-Taylor
Muscle Injury
Injured

Head to Head

Last 10
Derby
Derby
4Wins
2
Draws
Swansea
4Wins
Swansea
40%20%40%

Recent Matches

Last 10
Feb142026
DerbyDerby
2-0
Win
SwanseaSwansea
Nov252025
SwanseaSwansea
1-2
Win
DerbyDerby
Apr52025
SwanseaSwansea
1-0
Loss
DerbyDerby
Nov272024
DerbyDerby
1-2
Loss
SwanseaSwansea
Apr92022
SwanseaSwansea
2-1
Loss
DerbyDerby
Oct22021
DerbyDerby
0-0
Draw
SwanseaSwansea
May12021
SwanseaSwansea
2-1
Loss
DerbyDerby
Dec162020
DerbyDerby
2-0
Win
SwanseaSwansea
Feb82020
SwanseaSwansea
2-3
Win
DerbyDerby
Aug102019
DerbyDerby
0-0
Draw
SwanseaSwansea

Past Predictions

100%1/1 correct

Derby 2 - 0 Swansea

Feb 14, 2026

41% / 30% / 29%

Derby4-3-3vs4-3-3SwanseaPredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Mirror formation. Tactical discipline and individual quality will decide.

SwanseaSwansea4-3-3
DerbyDerby4-3-3
SwanseaBenchSwansea7
DerbyBenchDerby7

Injury Report

Current team availability status

Data Accuracy: Player availability is highly accurate (~90%), but specific injury diagnoses and recovery timelines may not reflect the latest medical updates (~70% accuracy).

Derby

5Out

5 key players

Swansea

3Out

3 key players

Derby

Team

Derby

Players Out

5(5 key)
P. Agyemang

P. Agyemang

MODERATE
Injury:Achilles Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

R. Brewster

R. Brewster

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

D. Murkin

D. Murkin

MODERATE
Injury:Hamstring Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

M. Clarke

M. Clarke

MODERATE
Injury:Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

C. Blackett-Taylor

C. Blackett-Taylor

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

Swansea

Team

Swansea

Players Out

3(3 key)
C. Burgess

C. Burgess

MODERATE
Injury:Achilles Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

G. Franco

G. Franco

MODERATE
Injury:Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

R. Stewart

R. Stewart

MODERATE
Injury:Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Championship

League Statistics

Championship • Standings & Top Performers

Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
QPR
QPR
110031+23
2
Millwall
Millwall
110020+23
3
Bolton
Bolton
110021+13
4
Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
110021+13
5
Charlton
Charlton
110021+13
6
Watford
Watford
110021+13
7
West Brom
West Brom
110021+13
8
Swansea
SwanseaAway
110021+13
9
Blackburn
Blackburn
10102201
10
West Ham
West Ham
10102201
11
Burnley
Burnley
10102201
12
Wolves
Wolves
10102201
13
Cardiff
Cardiff
10101101
14
Wrexham
Wrexham
10101101
15
Birmingham
Birmingham
10100001
16
Sheffield Utd
Sheffield Utd
10100001
17
Derby
DerbyHome
100112-10
18
Norwich
Norwich
100112-10
19
Preston
Preston
100112-10
20
Stoke City
Stoke City
100112-10
21
Lincoln
Lincoln
100112-10
22
Portsmouth
Portsmouth
100113-20
23
Bristol City
Bristol City
100102-20
24
Southampton
Southampton
100112-1-4
Champions League
Relegation
HomeAway

Oracle's Vision

Early projection

Swansea

Odds pending

Win Probabilities

32%Derby
25%Draw
43%Swansea

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
KickoffSat, Aug 29 · 11:30
StadiumPride Park
League StatsChampionship

Statistical Context

Derby

LLLWL
  • LAug 15, 26A · Charlton2-1
  • LAug 8, 26H · Lincoln1-2
  • LMay 2, 26H · Sheffield Utd1-2
  • WApr 25, 26A · QPR2-3
  • LApr 21, 26A · Norwich2-1

Swansea

WLWDW
  • WAug 15, 26A · Stoke City1-2
  • LAug 8, 26H · Birmingham0-1
  • WMay 2, 26H · Charlton3-1
  • DApr 25, 26A · Norwich1-1
  • WApr 21, 26A · QPR1-2

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
7West Brom1+13W
8Swansea1+13W
9Blackburn101D
16Sheffield Utd101D
17Derby1-10L
18Norwich1-10L

Head to Head

4
Derby
2
Draws
4
Swansea
  • Feb 14, 26Derby – Swansea2-0
  • Nov 25, 25Swansea – Derby1-2
  • Apr 5, 25Swansea – Derby1-0
  • Nov 27, 24Derby – Swansea1-2
  • Apr 9, 22Swansea – Derby2-1

Season Statistics — 2026

DerbySwansea
Played11
Goals Scored12
Goals Conceded21
Avg Scored1.02.0
Avg Conceded2.01.0
Clean Sheets00

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

DerbySwansea
Over 2.5 Goals7/107/10
Both Teams Scored7/107/10
Clean Sheets2/101/10

Predicted Line-ups & Formations

Predicted XI

Derby

Formation 4-3-3
  1. 31GJ. Vickers
  2. 3DC. Forsyth
  3. 22DM. Johnston
  4. 6DS. Langås
  5. 24DR. Nyambe
  6. 8MB. Clark
  7. 37MOwen Eames
  8. 29MO. Fraulo
  9. 9AC. Morris
  10. 15AL. Salvesen
  11. 39AD. Brown

Coach: J. Eustace

Swansea

Formation 4-3-3
  1. 1GA. Fisher
  2. 5DB. Cabango
  3. 2DJ. Key
  4. 26DF. Lissah
  5. 20DTiago Parente
  6. 4MJ. Fulton
  7. 6MM. Stamenić
  8. 21ML. Walta
  9. 10AEom Ji-Sung
  10. 33AA. Idah
  11. 35ARonald

Coach: L. Williams

Derby vs Swansea — Expert Prediction & Analysis

Swansea are clear favourites, backed by superior form and a stronger overall statistical profile, while Derby are struggling with injuries and a two-game losing streak. The main risk is Derby's historical home advantage and the evenly matched head-to-head record, which could make this a tighter contest than expected.

Swansea enter this Championship clash as the clear favourites, backed by superior form, a stronger overall statistical profile, and a higher league position. The visitors have won their last match and sit 7th, while Derby are 17th and have lost two consecutive games.…

Win Probabilities: Derby: 32% · Draw: 25% · Swansea: 43%

H2H: Derby wins: 4 · Draws: 2 · Swansea wins: 4

Form (latest first): Derby: LLLWL · Swansea: WLWDW

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Championship

Championship

England15 · Upcoming Fixtures
ChampionshipEngland
Birmingham
Aug 2211:30
Bristol City
12.0050%
X3.8526%
24.1724%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Millwall
Aug 2211:30
Norwich
11.9651%
X3.5728%
24.7621%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Lincoln
Aug 2211:30
Portsmouth
12.5040%
X3.7027%
23.0333%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Southampton
Aug 2214:00
Stoke City
11.6461%
X4.3523%
26.2516%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
West Ham
Aug 2214:00
Charlton
11.2878%
X5.8817%
220.005%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Preston
Aug 2214:00
Wolves
15.8817%
X3.8526%
21.7557%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Blackburn
Aug 2214:00
Middlesbrough
13.8526%
X3.3330%
22.2744%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Derby
Aug 2214:00
Cardiff
12.0449%
X3.7027%
24.1724%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
QPR
Aug 2214:00
Bolton
11.9651%
X3.5728%
24.7621%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Swansea
Aug 2214:00
Sheffield Utd
12.5639%
X3.5728%
23.0333%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Wrexham
Aug 2214:00
Watford
12.2245%
X3.5728%
23.7027%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
West Brom
Aug 2311:00
Burnley
13.0333%
X3.5728%
22.5639%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Wrexham
Aug 2819:00
Birmingham
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Wolves
Aug 2911:30
Stoke City
Early projection
12.0050%
X4.3523%
23.7027%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Middlesbrough
Aug 2911:30
West Brom
Early projection
12.2744%
X4.0025%
23.2331%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access