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Today's Tips
Matches
Live
Play
  1. Home
  2. Championship
  3. Derby vs Watford

Derby vs Watford

Prediction • Championship·Derby·Watford

Championship
Championship
Nov 28, 2026
15:00
Early projection · Odds pending
PREDICTED DRAW
Derby

Derby

Home
VS
VS
Stadium
Pride Park
Early projection · Odds pending
PREDICTED DRAW
Watford

Watford

Away
Stadium
Pride Park
Win Probabilities
36%
Derby
28%
Draw
36%
Watford
Home2.7836%
Draw3.5728%
Away2.7836%

Oracle's Vision

Early projection
“

Derby are favored at 36% to win at home against Watford. The draw is rated 28% and the away win 36%, so the numbers point to a home result.

See our exact score, over/under 2.5 and BTTS call for Derby vs Watford.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
0.0Derby
/10
2.0Watford
Derby
FormLatest first
LDLLD
Win Rate0%
Watford
FormLatest first
LLWLL
Win Rate20%
Momentum AdvantageWatford+2.0

Featured Players

Compare the key players from each team

Key Battle

M
Joe Ward
7.3

Joe Ward

Derby

VS
Luca Kjerrumgaard
8.9

Luca Kjerrumgaard

Watford

18ATT37
100TEC100
70TAC50
31DEF5
70CRE19

Team Streaks

Statistical trends from recent matches

Team Streaks

Last 10 Matches
Scoring
7/10
Over 2.5 Goals
6/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
8/10
1.5
Avg Scored
1.6
Defense
2/10
Clean Sheets
1/10
1.3
Avg Conceded
1.4
Match Flow
6/10
Scored First
7/10
1.9
Avg Cards
1.6
6.0
Avg Corners
4.6

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Match stats predictions

StarterDerby – Watford

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Derby
Home

Derby

Form
DLLDL
Latest first
19
Pos
50
Pts
-11
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 12 matches)

Clean Sheets18%
Goal Diff-11
  • Capable of grinding out draws (3 draws in last 5)
  • Decent attacking output with 10 goals in last 5
  • Home crowd support at Pride Park
D. Sanderson
Red Card
Suspended
C. Forsyth
Knee Injury
Injured
C. Morris
Calf Injury
Injured
L. Travis
Ankle Injury
Injured
H. Meister
Concussion
Injured
J. Widell Zetterstrom
Knee Injury
Injured
P. Agyemang
Achilles Injury
Injured
R. Brewster
Injury
Injured
D. Murkin
Hamstring Injury
Injured
E. Cashin
Inactive
Injured
M. Johnston
Inactive
Injured
M. Clarke
Calf Injury
Injured
C. Taylor
Injury
Injured
S. Szmodics
Thigh Injury
Injured
A. Mowatt
Health problems
Injured
F. Bilbija
Back Injury
Injured
S. Langas
Injury
Injured
Watford
Away

Watford

Form
LLWLL
Latest first
14
Pos
57
Pts
-10
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 12 matches)

Clean Sheets18%
Goal Diff-10
  • Strong head-to-head record (6 wins in last 9)
  • Better win rate (25%) than Derby
  • Solid defensive record with 1 clean sheet in last 5
M. Antonio
Inactive
Injured
J. Zemura
Muscle Injury
Injured
O. H. Traore
Injury
Injured
M. Boadu
Injury
Injured
B. Mlacic
Inactive
Injured
M. Bola
Hamstring Injury
Injured
S. Coulibaly
Hamstring Injury
Injured
E. Bove
Knee Injury
Injured
T. Akomeah
Lacking Match Fitness
Injured
J. Grieves
Lacking Match Fitness
Injured
J. Ngakia
Thigh Injury
Injured
K. Baah
Knock
Injured

Head to Head

Last 10
Derby
Derby
3Wins
1
Draws
Watford
6Wins
Watford
30%10%60%

Recent Matches

Last 10
Feb212026
WatfordWatford
2-0
Loss
DerbyDerby
Nov222025
DerbyDerby
2-3
Loss
WatfordWatford
Jan182025
DerbyDerby
0-2
Loss
WatfordWatford
Aug242024
WatfordWatford
2-1
Loss
DerbyDerby
Feb192021
WatfordWatford
2-1
Loss
DerbyDerby
Oct162020
DerbyDerby
0-1
Loss
WatfordWatford
Apr32015
DerbyDerby
2-2
Draw
WatfordWatford
Nov222014
WatfordWatford
1-2
Win
DerbyDerby
Apr262014
DerbyDerby
4-2
Win
WatfordWatford
Oct192013
WatfordWatford
2-3
Win
DerbyDerby

Past Predictions

100%1/1 correct

Watford 2 - 0 Derby

Feb 21, 2026

44% / 29% / 27%

Derby4-2-3-1vs5-3-2WatfordPredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Tactical matchup will test both managers' adaptability.

See the full predicted line-ups ↓

Injury Report

Current team availability status

Data Accuracy: Player availability is highly accurate (~90%), but specific injury diagnoses and recovery timelines may not reflect the latest medical updates (~70% accuracy).

Derby

17Out

16 key players

Watford

12Out

11 key players

Derby

Team

Derby

Players Out

17(16 key)
D. Sanderson

D. Sanderson

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
C. Forsyth

C. Forsyth

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

C. Morris

C. Morris

MODERATE
Injury:Calf Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

L. Travis

L. Travis

MODERATE
Injury:Ankle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-8 weeks

H. Meister

H. Meister

MODERATE
Injury:Concussion

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

1-3 weeks

J. Widell Zetterstrom

J. Widell Zetterstrom

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

P. Agyemang

P. Agyemang

MODERATE
Injury:Achilles Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

R. Brewster

R. Brewster

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

D. Murkin

D. Murkin

MODERATE
Injury:Hamstring Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

E. Cashin

E. Cashin

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

M. Johnston

M. Johnston

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

M. Clarke

M. Clarke

MODERATE
Injury:Calf Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

C. Taylor

C. Taylor

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

S. Szmodics

S. Szmodics

MODERATE
Injury:Thigh Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

A. Mowatt

A. Mowatt

MODERATE
Injury:Illness

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

F. Bilbija

F. Bilbija

MODERATE
Injury:Back Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

4-12 weeks

S. Langas

S. Langas

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Watford

Team

Watford

Players Out

12(11 key)
M. Antonio

M. Antonio

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

J. Zemura

J. Zemura

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

O. H. Traore

O. H. Traore

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

M. Boadu

M. Boadu

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

B. Mlacic

B. Mlacic

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

M. Bola

M. Bola

MODERATE
Injury:Hamstring Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

S. Coulibaly

S. Coulibaly

MODERATE
Injury:Hamstring Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

E. Bove

E. Bove

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

T. Akomeah

T. Akomeah

MODERATE
Injury:Lacking Match Fitness

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

J. Grieves

J. Grieves

MODERATE
Injury:Lacking Match Fitness

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

J. Ngakia

J. Ngakia

MODERATE
Injury:Thigh Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

K. Baah

K. Baah

MINOR
Injury:Knock

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

1-2 weeks

Championship

League Statistics

Championship • Standings & Top Performers

Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Middlesbrough
138413017+1328
2
Swansea
138232013+726
3
Wolves
137332316+724
4
West Brom
137331914+524
5
Southampton
138322813+1523
6
Birmingham
136522313+1023
7
Stoke City
137242016+423
8
West Ham
136433318+1522
9
QPR
135532116+520
10
Sheffield Utd
135441715+219
11
Portsmouth
135441615+119
12
Millwall
135352321+218
13
Blackburn
135351920-118
14
Bristol City
135351517-218
15
Norwich
135082324-115
16
Lincoln
134361423-915
17
Cardiff
133551920-114
18
Wrexham
133551519-414
19
Bolton
134271826-814
20
Charlton
133551121-1014
21
WatfordAway
133281223-1111
22
Burnley
131661725-89
23
DerbyHome
131481125-147
24
Preston
1312101027-175
Champions League
Relegation
HomeAway

Oracle's Vision

Early projection

Draw

Odds pending

Win Probabilities

36%Derby
28%Draw
36%Watford

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
KickoffSat, Nov 28 · 15:00
StadiumPride Park
League StatsChampionship

More information

Championship predicted line-ups: Gameweek 1412/12Line-upsDerby – WatfordHead-to-headDerby – WatfordInjuriesDerbyInjuriesWatfordLive scores

Statistical Context

Derby

LDLLD
  • LOct 31, 26A · Millwall4-1
  • DOct 24, 26A · Sheffield Utd1-1
  • LOct 17, 26H · Stoke City0-1
  • LOct 14, 26A · QPR4-1
  • DOct 10, 26H · Wrexham1-1

Watford

LLWLL
  • LOct 31, 26A · Norwich3-2
  • LOct 24, 26A · Wolves1-0
  • WOct 17, 26H · Charlton2-0
  • LOct 13, 26A · Cardiff5-1
  • LOct 10, 26H · Burnley0-4

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
20Charlton13-1014LLLDD
21Watford13-1111LLWLL
22Burnley13-89DLLDW
23Derby13-147LDLLD
24Preston13-175LDLLL

Head to Head

3
Derby
1
Draws
6
Watford
  • Feb 21, 26Watford – Derby2-0
  • Nov 22, 25Derby – Watford2-3
  • Jan 18, 25Derby – Watford0-2
  • Aug 24, 24Watford – Derby2-1
  • Feb 19, 21Watford – Derby2-1

Season Statistics — 2026

DerbyWatford
Played1212
Goals Scored1010
Goals Conceded2120
Avg Scored0.80.8
Avg Conceded1.81.7
Clean Sheets11

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

DerbyWatford
Over 2.5 Goals7/106/10
Both Teams Scored7/108/10
Clean Sheets2/101/10

Predicted line-ups: Derby vs Watford

Predicted XI

Derby

4-2-3-1Formation· Coach: J. Eustace

Watford

5-3-2Formation· Coach: C. Wilder

  1. 26D. Bachmann
  1. 4K. Keben
  2. 6M. Pollock
  3. 23O. Traoré
  4. 15K. Diatta
  5. 29Branimir Mlačić
  1. 39E. Kayembe
  2. 5H. Kyprianou
  3. 22M. Payero
  1. 11R. Vata
  2. 20M. Doumbia
  1. 15L. Salvesen
  1. 4D. Ozoh
  2. 33C. Blackett-Taylor
  3. 16M. Fuseini
  1. 8B. Clark
  2. 29O. Fraulo
  1. 24R. Nyambe
  2. 14J. Robinson
  3. 23J. Ward
  4. 26R. Hedges
  1. 31J. Vickers

Bench

  • 1J. Widell Zetterström
  • 1N. Bilokapić
  • 12R. O'Donnell
  • 2I. Gordon
  • 6S. Langås
  • 4Raymond Offor

Out

  • D. Sanderson · Red Card
  • C. Forsyth · Knee Injury
  • C. Morris · Calf Injury
  • L. Travis · Ankle Injury
  • H. Meister · Concussion
  • J. Widell Zetterstrom · Knee Injury
  • P. Agyemang · Achilles Tendon Injury
  • R. Brewster · Injury

Bench

  • 1F. Ravaglia
  • 17Iker Bravo
  • 9L. Kjerrumgaard
  • 7O. Maamma
  • 45S. Mavididi
  • 21Amin Nabizada
  • 24S. Walker

Out

  • M. Antonio · Inactive
  • J. Zemura · Muscle Injury
  • O. H. Traore · Injury
  • M. Boadu · Injury
  • B. Mlacic · Inactive
  • M. Bola · Hamstring Injury
  • S. Coulibaly · Hamstring Injury
  • E. Bove · Knee Injury

Predicted line-ups based on recent matches and absences; official line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.

Derby vs Watford — Expert Prediction & Analysis

Derby are favored at 36% to win at home against Watford. The draw is rated 28% and the away win 36%, so the numbers point to a home result.

This Championship encounter between Derby and Watford is a tight, evenly-matched contest with a slight edge to Watford based on head-to-head dominance and the statistical model. The baseline probabili…

Win Probabilities: Derby: 36% · Draw: 28% · Watford: 36%

H2H: Derby wins: 3 · Draws: 1 · Watford wins: 6

Form (latest first): Derby: LDLLD · Watford: LLWLL

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Oct 18, 2026
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Championship

Championship

England15 · Upcoming Fixtures
ChampionshipEngland
Watford
Nov 319:45
Lincoln
12.6338%
X3.5728%
22.9434%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Preston
Nov 319:45
Sheffield Utd
13.3330%
X3.4529%
22.4441%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Blackburn
Nov 319:45
Stoke City
12.5040%
X3.5728%
23.1332%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Derby
Nov 319:45
Norwich
13.8526%
X3.5728%
22.1746%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
QPR
Nov 319:45
Burnley
12.3842%
X3.7027%
23.2331%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Charlton
Nov 319:45
Bolton
12.4441%
X3.4529%
23.3330%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Portsmouth
Nov 319:45
Swansea
12.5639%
X3.5728%
23.0333%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Birmingham
Nov 320:00
Millwall
12.1746%
X3.7027%
23.7027%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
West Brom
Nov 320:00
Southampton
12.5040%
X4.0025%
22.8635%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Cardiff
Nov 419:45
West Ham
14.3523%
X3.8526%
21.9651%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Wrexham
Nov 419:45
Middlesbrough
14.5522%
X3.7027%
21.9651%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Bristol City
Nov 420:00
Wolves
14.0025%
X3.3330%
22.2245%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Derby
Nov 620:00
Bolton
12.5040%
X3.4529%
23.2331%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Bristol City
Nov 712:30
Norwich
Early projection
11.7557%
X5.0020%
24.3523%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Portsmouth
Nov 712:30
Stoke City
Early projection
13.2331%
X4.0025%
22.2744%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access

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