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Matches
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  1. Home
  2. Ligue 1
  3. Lorient vs Toulouse

Lorient vs Toulouse

Prediction • Ligue 1·Lorient·Toulouse

Ligue 1
Ligue 1
Sep 12, 2026
18:45
Early projection · Odds pending
PREDICTED WINNER
Lorient

Lorient

Home
VS
VS
Stadium
Stade du Moustoir
Early projection · Odds pending
Toulouse

Toulouse

Away
Stadium
Stade du Moustoir
Win Probabilities
41%
Lorient
26%
Draw
33%
Toulouse
Home2.4441%
Draw3.8526%
Away3.0333%

Oracle's Vision

Early projection
“

Lorient are favored at 41% to win at home against Toulouse. The draw is rated 26% and the away win 33%, so the numbers point to a home result.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
2.0Lorient
/10
4.0Toulouse
Lorient
FormLatest first
LDLWD
Win Rate20%
Toulouse
FormLatest first
DLWWD
Win Rate40%
Momentum AdvantageToulouse+2.0

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Match Weather

18°
Patchy rain nearby
Wind
28 km/h
Humidity
76%
Rain
0.3 mm
Tactical Impact

Moderate wind - may affect crosses and set pieces

Lorient
Home

Lorient

Form
DL
Latest first
9
Pos
45
Pts
-1
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 2 matches)

Clean Sheets150%
Goal Diff-1
  • Solid defensive organization (67% defensive rating)
  • Home advantage at Stade du Moustoir
  • Only one loss in last two matches
M. Bamba
Lacking Match Fitness
Injured

Head to Head

Last 10
Lorient
Lorient
1Wins
5
Draws
Toulouse
4Wins
Toulouse
10%50%40%

Recent Matches

Last 10
Mar212026
ToulouseToulouse
1-0
Loss
LorientLorient
Nov92025
LorientLorient
1-1
Draw
ToulouseToulouse
Apr282024
LorientLorient
1-2
Loss
ToulouseToulouse
Dec32023
ToulouseToulouse
1-1
Draw
LorientLorient
Apr232023
LorientLorient
0-1
Loss
ToulouseToulouse
Aug212022
ToulouseToulouse
2-2
Draw
LorientLorient
Oct312018
ToulouseToulouse
0-1
Win
LorientLorient
Feb82017
LorientLorient
1-1
Draw
ToulouseToulouse
Dec102016
ToulouseToulouse
3-2
Loss
LorientLorient
Apr162016
LorientLorient
1-1
Draw
ToulouseToulouse

Past Predictions

100%1/1 correct

Toulouse 1 - 0 Lorient

Mar 21, 2026

52% / 29% / 19%

Lorient3-4-2-1vs4-2-3-1ToulousePredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Tactical matchup will test both managers' adaptability.

ToulouseToulouse4-2-3-1
LorientLorient3-4-2-1
ToulouseBenchToulouse7
LorientBenchLorient7

Injury Report

Current team availability status

Data Accuracy: Player availability is highly accurate (~90%), but specific injury diagnoses and recovery timelines may not reflect the latest medical updates (~70% accuracy).

Lorient

1Out

1 key player

Toulouse

5Out

3 key players

Lorient

Team

Lorient

Players Out

1(1 key)
M. Bamba

M. Bamba

MODERATE
Injury:Lacking Match Fitness

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Toulouse

Team

Toulouse

Players Out

5(3 key)
D. Methalie

D. Methalie

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
A. Vossah

A. Vossah

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
A. Donnum

A. Donnum

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

A. Francis

A. Francis

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

R. Messali

R. Messali

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

Ligue 1

League Statistics

Ligue 1 • Standings & Top Performers

Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Lille
Lille
211042+24
2
Lyon
Lyon
211031+24
3
Estac Troyes
Estac Troyes
211021+14
4
Marseille
Marseille
110040+43
5
Lens
Lens
210164+23
6
Monaco
Monaco
110010+13
7
Angers
Angers
21013303
8
Strasbourg
Strasbourg
210125-33
9
Stade Brestois 29
Stade Brestois 29
20204402
10
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain
20204402
11
Le Mans
Le Mans
10102201
12
Rennes
Rennes
10102201
13
Nice
Nice
10100001
14
Paris FC
Paris FC
10100001
15
Lorient
LorientHome
201112-11
16
Le Havre
Le Havre
201112-11
17
Toulouse
ToulouseAway
201124-21
18
Auxerre
Auxerre
200238-50
Champions League
Relegation
HomeAway

Oracle's Vision

Early projection

Lorient

Odds pending

Win Probabilities

41%Lorient
26%Draw
33%Toulouse

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
KickoffSat, Sep 12 · 18:45
StadiumStade du Moustoir
League StatsLigue 1

Statistical Context

Lorient

LDLWD
  • LAug 29, 26H · Estac Troyes1-2
  • DAug 22, 26A · Nice0-0
  • LMay 17, 26H · Le Havre0-2
  • WMay 10, 26A · Metz0-4
  • DMay 2, 26A · Paris Saint Germain2-2

Toulouse

DLWWD
  • DAug 29, 26A · Stade Brestois 292-2
  • LAug 22, 26H · Lyon0-2
  • WMay 10, 26H · Lyon2-1
  • WMay 3, 26A · Strasbourg1-2
  • DApr 25, 26H · Monaco2-2

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
14Paris FC101D
15Lorient2-11LD
16Le Havre2-11DL
17Toulouse2-21DL
18Auxerre2-50LL

Head to Head

1
Lorient
5
Draws
4
Toulouse
  • Mar 21, 26Toulouse – Lorient1-0
  • Nov 9, 25Lorient – Toulouse1-1
  • Apr 28, 24Lorient – Toulouse1-2
  • Dec 3, 23Toulouse – Lorient1-1
  • Apr 23, 23Lorient – Toulouse0-1

Season Statistics — 2026

LorientToulouse
Played22
Goals Scored12
Goals Conceded24
Avg Scored0.51.0
Avg Conceded1.02.0
Clean Sheets10

Predicted Line-ups & Formations

Predicted XI

Lorient

Formation 3-4-2-1
  1. 21GB. Kamara
  2. 32DN. Adjei
  3. 2DA. Georgen
  4. 77DP. Katseris
  5. 43MK. Kouassi
  6. 62MA. Avom
  7. 8MN. Cadiou
  8. 11MT. Le Bris
  9. 72MN. Mbamba
  10. 7MB. Fadiga
  11. 33AG. Bernardeau

Coach: M. Landreau

Toulouse

Formation 4-2-3-1
  1. 60GM. Niflore
  2. 94DI. Diallo
  3. 5DS. Koumbassa
  4. 3DM. McKenzie
  5. 2DR. Nicolaisen
  6. 23MC. Cásseres
  7. 8MT. Jørgensen
  8. 31MN. Schmidt
  9. 10MY. Gboho
  10. 7MJulián Vignolo
  11. 11AA. Amaaouch

Coach: P. Montanier

Lorient vs Toulouse — Expert Prediction & Analysis

Lorient are favored at 41% to win at home against Toulouse. The draw is rated 26% and the away win 33%, so the numbers point to a home result.

This Ligue 1 clash at the Stade du Moustoir pits two struggling sides against each other, with both teams yet to register a win this season. The data suggests a tight, evenly-matched contest, with Toulouse holding a slight edge based on their superior attacking output and head-to-head record.…

Win Probabilities: Lorient: 41% · Draw: 26% · Toulouse: 33%

H2H: Lorient wins: 1 · Draws: 5 · Toulouse wins: 4

Form (latest first): Lorient: LDLWD · Toulouse: DLWWD

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Ligue 1

Ligue 1

France15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Ligue 1France
Toulouse
Sep 318:45
Lille
Early projection
13.0333%
X3.8526%
22.4441%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Ligue 1France
Lyon
Sep 417:00
Auxerre
Early projection
11.5465%
X5.8817%
25.5618%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Ligue 1France
Paris Saint Germain
Sep 419:05
Monaco
Early projection
11.6959%
X5.0020%
24.7621%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Ligue 1France
Lens
Sep 515:15
Lorient
Early projection
11.4967%
X5.8817%
26.2516%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Ligue 1France
Nice
Sep 518:45
Le Mans
Early projection
12.9434%
X3.8526%
22.5040%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Ligue 1France
Le Havre
Sep 518:45
Stade Brestois 29
Early projection
12.3842%
X3.8526%
23.1332%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Ligue 1France
Estac Troyes
Sep 613:00
Strasbourg
Early projection
12.1347%
X4.1724%
23.4529%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Ligue 1France
Angers
Sep 615:15
Rennes
Early projection
13.0333%
X3.8526%
22.4441%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Ligue 1France
Marseille
Sep 618:45
Paris FC
Early projection
11.6461%
X5.2619%
25.0020%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Ligue 1France
Rennes
Sep 1118:45
Marseille
Early projection
12.6338%
X3.7027%
22.8635%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Ligue 1France
Strasbourg
Sep 1215:15
Monaco
Early projection
12.5040%
X3.8526%
22.9434%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Ligue 1France
Auxerre
Sep 1218:45
Nice
Early projection
12.0848%
X4.3523%
23.4529%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Ligue 1France
Le Havre
Sep 1218:45
Angers
Early projection
12.3842%
X3.8526%
23.1332%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Ligue 1France
Paris FC
Sep 1218:45
Lyon
Early projection
13.1332%
X4.0025%
22.3343%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Ligue 1France
Lille
Sep 1313:00
Estac Troyes
Early projection
12.0449%
X4.3523%
23.5728%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access