Toulouse vs Lorient

ResultLigue 1

Ligue 1
Ligue 1
21 Mar 2026
16:00
WINNER
Toulouse

Toulouse

🏠Home
Final Score
1-0
Predicted: 2-1
Lorient

Lorient

✈️Away
Odds
11.83
X3.25
25.00
🏟️Stadium
Stadium de Toulouse
Win Probabilities
Home52%
Draw29%
Away19%
🔮

Oracle's Vision

The Oracle sees Toulouse's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Lorient, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Our AI model analyzes this Ligue 1 fixture between Toulouse and Lorient using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Toulouse a 52% win probability, a 29% chance of a draw, and Lorient a 19% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 50%. This prediction is rated as low confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

Toulouse 52%Draw 29%Lorient 19%Predicted Score: 2-1BTTS: 50%
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AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

Toulouse

HOME
Strengths
  • Home advantage with a rating of 0.55
  • Head-to-head advantage with 3 wins in last 5 meetings
  • Current 1-win streak
Weaknesses
  • Failed to score in 2 of last 5 games
  • Average goals conceded of 1.6 per game
  • No clean sheets in last 5 matches

Lorient

AWAY
Strengths
  • 5-unbeaten streak
  • Average goals scored of 2.0 per game
  • 1 clean sheet in last 5 matches
Weaknesses
  • Average goals conceded of 1.4 per game
  • Lower head-to-head record with 2 wins in last 5 meetings
  • Away disadvantage

Key Player Battles

⚔️F. Magri vs Lorient Defense: Magri's goal-scoring ability will test Lorient's defensive organization.
⚔️A. Dønnum vs Lorient Midfield: Dønnum's creativity and assists could exploit gaps in Lorient's midfield.
⚔️S. Soumano vs Toulouse Defense: Soumano's scoring form poses a threat to Toulouse's vulnerable defense.

Toulouse vs LorientMatch Analysis

The Oracle sees Toulouse's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Lorient, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Based on the data, Toulouse is predicted to win this match, with a 52% probability from bookmaker odds and support from the API-Football model's predicted winner and advice for a double chance on Toulouse or draw.

Form Analysis: Toulouse has a 1-win streak and scored 37 goals with an average of 1.2 per game, but conceded 32 goals with an average of 1.6 per game and failed to score in 2 of their last 5 games. Lorient is on a 5-unbeaten streak, scored 37 goals with an average of 2.0 per game, and conceded 40 goals with an average of 1.4 per game, with 1 clean sheet in their last 5 matches.

Key Factors: 1. Bookmaker odds show Toulouse as the favorite with a 52% win probability, and the API-Football model predicts Toulouse as the winner. 2. Toulouse has home advantage with a rating of 0.55. 3. Toulouse has a head-to-head advantage with 3 wins in the last 5 meetings compared to Lorient's 2 wins.

Conclusion: The data indicates Toulouse is favored to win, supported by market probabilities, home advantage, and historical head-to-head performance, despite Lorient's stronger recent form.

Win Probabilities: Toulouse: 52% · Draw: 29% · Lorient: 19%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 45% · Under 2.5: 55% · BTTS: 50%

H2H: Toulouse wins: 3 · Draws: 5 · Lorient wins: 2

Form: Toulouse: LDLLW · Lorient: WDDDW

  • F. Magri vs Lorient Defense: Magri's goal-scoring ability will test Lorient's defensive organization.
  • A. Dønnum vs Lorient Midfield: Dønnum's creativity and assists could exploit gaps in Lorient's midfield.
  • S. Soumano vs Toulouse Defense: Soumano's scoring form poses a threat to Toulouse's vulnerable defense.