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Matches
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Pricing
  1. Home
  2. Ligue 1
  3. Monaco vs Marseille

Monaco vs Marseille

Prediction • Ligue 1·Monaco·Marseille

Ligue 1
Ligue 1
Aug 30, 2026
18:45
Early projection · Odds pending
PREDICTED WINNER
Monaco

Monaco

Home
VS
VS
Stadium
Stade Louis II
Early projection · Odds pending
Marseille

Marseille

Away
Stadium
Stade Louis II
Win Probabilities
45%
Monaco
24%
Draw
31%
Marseille
Home2.2245%
Draw4.1724%
Away3.2331%

Oracle's Vision

Early projection
“

Monaco are clear favourites, backed by a superior league position and a strong head-to-head record, but their inconsistent form and Marseille's attacking threat make this a narrow edge. The main risk is Monaco's recent failure to score in two of five games, which could allow Marseille to snatch a result.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
4.0Monaco
/10
4.0Marseille
Monaco
FormLatest first
WLLWD
Win Rate40%
Marseille
FormLatest first
WWLDL
Win Rate40%
Momentum AdvantageEven Match

Featured Players

Compare the key players from each team

Key Battle

M
Paul Pogba
7.3

Paul Pogba

Monaco

VS
Mason Greenwood
7.7

Mason Greenwood

Marseille

5ATT48
100TEC100
40TAC54
21DEF5
0CRE35

Team Streaks

Statistical trends from recent matches

Team Streaks

Last 10 Matches
Scoring
4/10
Over 2.5 Goals
7/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
1.2
Avg Scored
1.7
Defense
4/10
Clean Sheets
2/10
1.5
Avg Conceded
1.2
Match Flow
5/10
Scored First
6/10
3.2
Avg Cards
2.7
3.8
Avg Corners
5.6

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Match Weather

22°
Light rain shower
Wind
5 km/h
Humidity
95%
Rain
14.1 mm
Tactical Impact

Heavy rain - slippery pitch favors physical play and long balls

Monaco
Home

Monaco

Form
DDWLL
Latest first
3
Pos
61
Pts
0
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 0 matches)

Clean Sheets0
Goal Diff0
  • Strong head-to-head record against Marseille
  • Higher league position (3rd vs 11th)
  • Home advantage at Stade Louis II

Head to Head

Last 10
Monaco
Monaco
4Wins
2
Draws
Marseille
4Wins
Marseille
40%20%40%

Recent Matches

Last 10
Apr52026
MonacoMonaco
2-1
Win
MarseilleMarseille
Dec142025
MarseilleMarseille
1-0
Loss
MonacoMonaco
Apr122025
MonacoMonaco
3-0
Win
MarseilleMarseille
Dec12024
MarseilleMarseille
2-1
Loss
MonacoMonaco
Jan272024
MarseilleMarseille
2-2
Draw
MonacoMonaco
Sep302023
MonacoMonaco
3-2
Win
MarseilleMarseille
Jan282023
MarseilleMarseille
1-1
Draw
MonacoMonaco
Nov132022
MonacoMonaco
2-3
Loss
MarseilleMarseille
Mar62022
MarseilleMarseille
0-1
Win
MonacoMonaco
Sep112021
MonacoMonaco
0-2
Loss
MarseilleMarseille

Past Predictions

100%2/2 correct

Monaco 2 - 1 Marseille

Apr 5, 2026

47% / 32% / 21%

Marseille 1 - 0 Monaco

Dec 14, 2025

60% / 25% / 15%

Monaco4-3-3vs4-3-3MarseillePredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Mirror formation. Tactical discipline and individual quality will decide.

MarseilleMarseille4-3-3
MonacoMonaco4-3-3
MarseilleBenchMarseille7
MonacoBenchMonaco7

Injury Report

Current team availability status

Data Accuracy: Player availability is highly accurate (~90%), but specific injury diagnoses and recovery timelines may not reflect the latest medical updates (~70% accuracy).

Marseille

4Out

3 key players

Marseille

Team

Marseille

Players Out

4(3 key)
Q. Timber

Q. Timber

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
N. Aguerd

N. Aguerd

MODERATE
Injury:Groin Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

L. Balerdi

L. Balerdi

MODERATE
Injury:Calf Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

F. Moumbagna

F. Moumbagna

MODERATE
Injury:Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Ligue 1

League Statistics

Ligue 1 • Standings & Top Performers

Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Auxerre
Auxerre
00000000
2
Angers
Angers
00000000
3
Monaco
MonacoHome
00000000
4
Stade Brestois 29
Stade Brestois 29
00000000
5
Lorient
Lorient
00000000
6
Le Havre
Le Havre
00000000
7
Le Mans
Le Mans
00000000
8
Lille
Lille
00000000
9
Nice
Nice
00000000
10
Lyon
Lyon
00000000
11
Marseille
MarseilleAway
00000000
12
Paris FC
Paris FC
00000000
13
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain
00000000
14
Lens
Lens
00000000
15
Rennes
Rennes
00000000
16
Strasbourg
Strasbourg
00000000
17
Toulouse
Toulouse
00000000
18
Estac Troyes
Estac Troyes
00000000
Champions League
Relegation
HomeAway

Oracle's Vision

Early projection

Monaco

Odds pending

Win Probabilities

45%Monaco
24%Draw
31%Marseille

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
KickoffSun, Aug 30 · 18:45
StadiumStade Louis II
League StatsLigue 1

Statistical Context

Monaco

WLLWD
  • WAug 20, 26A · Gornik Zabrze2-3
  • LMay 17, 26A · Strasbourg5-4
  • LMay 10, 26H · Lille0-1
  • WMay 2, 26A · Metz1-2
  • DApr 25, 26A · Toulouse2-2

Marseille

WWLDL
  • WMay 17, 26H · Rennes3-1
  • WMay 10, 26A · Le Havre0-1
  • LMay 2, 26A · Nantes3-0
  • DApr 26, 26H · Nice1-1
  • LApr 18, 26A · Lorient2-0

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
2Angers000—
3Monaco000—
4Stade Brestois 29000—
10Lyon000—
11Marseille000—
12Paris FC000—

Head to Head

4
Monaco
2
Draws
4
Marseille
  • Apr 5, 26Monaco – Marseille2-1
  • Dec 14, 25Marseille – Monaco1-0
  • Apr 12, 25Monaco – Marseille3-0
  • Dec 1, 24Marseille – Monaco2-1
  • Jan 27, 24Marseille – Monaco2-2

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

MonacoMarseille
Over 2.5 Goals4/107/10
Both Teams Scored4/106/10
Clean Sheets4/102/10

Predicted Line-ups & Formations

Predicted XI

Monaco

Formation 4-3-3
  1. 1GL. Hrádecký
  2. 3DE. Dier
  3. 5DT. Kehrer
  4. 13DC. Mawissa Elebi
  5. 20DFlávio Nazinho
  6. 41MPape Cabral
  7. 15ML. Camara
  8. 28MM. Coulibaly
  9. 10AM. Abline
  10. 14AM. Biereth
  11. 29AParis Josua Brunner

Coach: A. Hütter

Marseille

Formation 4-3-3
  1. 12AJ. De Lange
  2. 22AT. Weah
  3. 5AL. Balerdi
  4. 19AG. Kondogbia
  5. 12AJ. De Lange
  6. 22AT. Weah
  7. 5AL. Balerdi
  8. 19AG. Kondogbia
  9. 33AEmerson
  10. 8AH. Abdelli
  11. 23AP. Hojbjerg

Monaco vs Marseille — Expert Prediction & Analysis

Monaco are clear favourites, backed by a superior league position and a strong head-to-head record, but their inconsistent form and Marseille's attacking threat make this a narrow edge. The main risk is Monaco's recent failure to score in two of five games, which could allow Marseille to snatch a result.

Monaco enter this Ligue 1 clash as the clear favourites, backed by a superior league position and a strong head-to-head record at home. The baseline model gives them a 45% chance of victory, while Marseille are rated at 31%, with the draw at 24%. This suggests a narrow but decisive edge for the home side.…

Win Probabilities: Monaco: 45% · Draw: 24% · Marseille: 31%

H2H: Monaco wins: 4 · Draws: 2 · Marseille wins: 4

Form (latest first): Monaco: WLLWD · Marseille: WWLDL

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Ligue 1

Ligue 1

France15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Ligue 1France
Marseille
Aug 2118:45
Strasbourg
11.9651%
X4.0025%
24.1724%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Ligue 1France
Lens
Aug 2215:15
Auxerre
11.6461%
X4.0025%
27.1414%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Ligue 1France
Nice
Aug 2218:45
Lorient
12.1746%
X3.2331%
24.3523%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Ligue 1France
Toulouse
Aug 2218:45
Lyon
13.1332%
X3.5728%
22.5040%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Ligue 1France
Estac Troyes
Aug 2218:45
Paris FC
13.2331%
X3.4529%
22.5040%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Ligue 1France
Le Mans
Aug 2218:45
Stade Brestois 29
12.5639%
X3.7027%
22.9434%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Ligue 1France
Angers
Aug 2313:00
Lille
15.5618%
X3.4529%
21.8953%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Ligue 1France
Le Havre
Aug 2315:15
Monaco
14.1724%
X3.5728%
22.0848%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Ligue 1France
Paris Saint Germain
Aug 2318:45
Rennes
11.4967%
X4.5522%
29.0911%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Ligue 1France
Lille
Aug 2818:45
Paris Saint Germain
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Ligue 1France
Strasbourg
Aug 2915:15
Lens
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Ligue 1France
Lyon
Aug 2918:45
Le Havre
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Ligue 1France
Lorient
Aug 2918:45
Estac Troyes
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Ligue 1France
Stade Brestois 29
Aug 2918:45
Toulouse
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Ligue 1France
Auxerre
Aug 2918:45
Angers
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access