Bastia host Orleans in the Ligue 3 on Thursday, 1 October 2026. Our model makes Bastia the favourite at 44%, with the draw at 27% and Orleans at 29%.
Form and league position
Bastia sit 12th of 18 with 10 points from 8 games (6 scored, 10 conceded), recent form W-L-W-D-L. Orleans sit 15th of 18 with 8 points from 8 games (6 scored, 10 conceded), recent form L-D-L-L-D.
Head-to-head record
There is no recent head-to-head history between these two in our records, so past meetings carry no weight in this projection.
Goals outlook
Attack-versus-defence rates give an expected score of 1.1–0.9, about 2.0 goals in total. That puts Over 2.5 goals at 32% and both teams to score at 41%.
Team news
No injuries or suspensions are reported for either squad.
What the market says
Bookmakers price Bastia at 2.32, the draw at 3.05 and Orleans at 3.05; those prices are blended into the probabilities above.
Prediction
Bastia to win (44%), most likely score 1-0.
This preview is a model projection built from league standings, recent form, goal rates, reported absences and, where available, bookmaker prices. It is refreshed automatically as new data arrives.
