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  1. Home
  2. Ligue 3
  3. Caen vs Rouen

Caen vs Rouen

Result • Ligue 3·Caen·Rouen

Ligue 3
Ligue 3
Sep 24, 2026
18:45
low Confidence
WINNER
Caen

Caen

Home
Final Score
3-2
Predicted: 0-1
Final Score
3-2
Predicted: 0-1
Odds
12.70
X2.90
22.40
low Confidence
Rouen

Rouen

Away
Odds
12.70
X2.90
22.40
Win Probabilities
31%
Caen
28%
Draw
41%
Rouen
Home2.7031%
Draw2.9028%
Away2.4041%

Oracle's Vision

low Confidence
“

Rouen are favoured at 41%; our projected score is 0-1.

Our AI model analyzes this Ligue 3 fixture between Caen and Rouen using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Caen a 31% win probability, a 28% chance of a draw, and Rouen a 41% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 0-1. Both teams to score probability: 50%. This prediction is rated as low confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 50%

Match Events

  1. Goal: D. AppiahAssist: I. Botella
    8'
    Goal: D. AppiahCaen · Assist: I. Botella
  2. Yellow Card: F. El Khoumisti
    14'
    Yellow Card: F. El KhoumistiCaen
  3. 45'
    Goal: M. TchokounteRouen · Assist: S. Diaby
    Goal: M. TchokounteAssist: S. Diaby
  4. Goal: A. GnanduilletAssist: D. Bolumbu
    45+4'
    Goal: A. GnanduilletCaen · Assist: D. Bolumbu
  5. Goal: A. GnanduilletAssist: I. Botella
    45+7'
    Goal: A. GnanduilletCaen · Assist: I. Botella
  6. Substitution: F. BomoOut: J. Kimboma
    62'
    Substitution: F. BomoCaen · Out: J. Kimboma
  7. Substitution: Z. BagbemaOut: A. Gnanduillet
    62'
    Substitution: Z. BagbemaCaen · Out: A. Gnanduillet
  8. Substitution: N. TitebahOut: Y. Diaby
    62'
    Substitution: N. TitebahCaen · Out: Y. Diaby
  9. 69'
    Substitution: L. TramoniRouen · Out: A. Toure
    Substitution: L. TramoniOut: A. Toure
  10. 69'
    Substitution: M. BorneRouen · Out: S. Diaby
    Substitution: M. BorneOut: S. Diaby
  11. 69'
    Substitution: W. PaciusRouen · Out: I. Karamoko
    Substitution: W. PaciusOut: I. Karamoko
  12. Yellow Card: L. Carole
    71'
    Yellow Card: L. CaroleCaen
  13. Yellow Card: Z. Bagbema
    71'
    Yellow Card: Z. BagbemaCaen
  14. Yellow Card: F. Bomo
    73'
    Yellow Card: F. BomoCaen
  15. 74'
    Yellow Card: J. GasparRouen
    Yellow Card: J. Gaspar
  16. Substitution: H. SaivetOut: I. Botella
    76'
    Substitution: H. SaivetCaen · Out: I. Botella
  17. 82'
    Substitution: J. VianaRouen · Out: M. Tchokounte
    Substitution: J. VianaOut: M. Tchokounte
  18. 82'
    Substitution: G. EgnyRouen · Out: N. Sommer
    Substitution: G. EgnyOut: N. Sommer
  19. Substitution: H. LamouliatteOut: D. Bolumbu
    83'
    Substitution: H. LamouliatteCaen · Out: D. Bolumbu
  20. Yellow Card: K. Portut
    86'
    Yellow Card: K. PortutCaen
  21. 90+1'
    Goal: J. VianaRouen
    Goal: J. Viana
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Head-to-head →Injuries · CaenInjuries · RouenLive scores →

Statistical Context

Caen

WLLWW
  • WOct 15, 26H · La Roche VF2-1
  • LOct 3, 26A · Fleury 913-2
  • LSep 19, 26A · Concarneau2-0
  • WSep 12, 26H · Gobelins2-0
  • WSep 5, 26A · Bourg-en-bresse 010-2

Rouen

LWWWL
  • LOct 17, 26A · Gobelins3-1
  • WOct 3, 26H · Bourg-en-bresse 012-0
  • WSep 19, 26H · Aubagne1-0
  • WSep 12, 26A · Thionville Lusitanos0-4
  • LMay 24, 26A · Laval1-0

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
1La Roche VF10+621LWWWD
2Rouen10+1020LWLWW
3Versailles10+219WWWDW
4Caen10+618WLWLW
5Concarneau10+417DWDWW

Season Statistics — 2025

CaenRouen
Played—1
Goals Scored—1
Goals Conceded—1
Avg Scored—1.0
Avg Conceded—1.0
Clean Sheets—0

Caen vs Rouen — Match Analysis

Rouen are favoured at 41%; our projected score is 0-1.

Caen host Rouen in the Ligue 3 on Thursday, 24 September 2026. Our model makes Rouen the favourite at 41%, with the draw at 27% and Caen at 32%.

Form and league position

Caen sit 5th of 18 with 12 points from 7 games (12 scored, 7 conceded), recent form L-W-W-L. Rouen sit 1st of 18 with 17 points from 7 games (13 scored, 2 conceded), recent form D-L-W-W.

Head-to-head record

There is no recent head-to-head history between these two in our records, so past meetings carry no weight in this projection.

Goals outlook

Attack-versus-defence rates give an expected score of 1.2–1.2, about 2.4 goals in total. That puts Over 2.5 goals at 43% and both teams to score at 50%.

Team news

No injuries or suspensions are reported for either squad.

What the market says

Bookmakers price Caen at 2.70, the draw at 3.15 and Rouen at 2.50; those prices are blended into the probabilities above.

Prediction

Rouen to win (41%), most likely score 0-1.

This preview is a model projection built from league standings, recent form, goal rates, reported absences and, where available, bookmaker prices. It is refreshed automatically as new data arrives.

Win Probabilities: Caen: 31% · Draw: 28% · Rouen: 41%

Predicted Score: 0-1 (9.8% chance)

Over 2.5: 43% · Under 2.5: 57% · BTTS: 50%

Form (latest first): Caen: WLLWW · Rouen: LWWWL

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Ligue 3

Ligue 3

France15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Ligue 3France
Amiens
Oct 2919:45
Thionville Lusitanos
11.8953%
X4.1724%
24.3523%
Ligue 3France
Orleans
Oct 3113:45
Villefranche
11.8255%
X4.1724%
24.7621%
Ligue 3France
Bastia
Oct 3113:45
Quevilly
12.0449%
X3.7027%
24.1724%
Ligue 3France
Le Puy Foot
Oct 3113:45
Caen
12.5639%
X3.5728%
23.0333%
Ligue 3France
Versailles
Oct 3113:45
Aubagne
11.5664%
X4.7621%
26.6715%
Ligue 3France
Fleury 91
Oct 3113:45
Gobelins
12.0050%
X3.7027%
24.3523%
Ligue 3France
Rouen
Oct 3113:45
Concarneau
12.0050%
X3.7027%
24.3523%
Ligue 3France
La Roche VF
Oct 3113:45
Bourg-en-bresse 01
11.5664%
X5.0020%
26.2516%
Ligue 3France
Cannes
Oct 3113:45
Valenciennes
11.9252%
X3.8526%
24.5522%
Ligue 3France
Valenciennes
Nov 519:45
Orleans
12.3343%
X4.0025%
23.1332%
Ligue 3France
Caen
Nov 713:45
Versailles
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
Ligue 3France
Bourg-en-bresse 01
Nov 713:45
Le Puy Foot
14.3523%
X4.7621%
21.7956%
Ligue 3France
Concarneau
Nov 713:45
Fleury 91
11.8953%
X4.5522%
24.0025%
Ligue 3France
Villefranche
Nov 713:45
Quevilly
13.5728%
X4.5522%
22.0050%
Ligue 3France
Rouen
Nov 713:45
Bastia
11.3574%
X7.1414%
28.3312%

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