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  1. Home
  2. Bundesliga
  3. SC Freiburg vs Bayern München

SC Freiburg vs Bayern München

Result • Bundesliga·SC Freiburg·Bayern München

Bundesliga
Bundesliga
Apr 4, 2026
13:30
high Confidence
SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg

Home
Final Score
2-3
Predicted: 1-2
Final Score
2-3
Predicted: 1-2
Odds
15.75
X5.00
21.45
Stadium
Europa-Park-Stadion
high Confidence
WINNER
Bayern München

Bayern München

Away
Odds
15.75
X5.00
21.45
Stadium
Europa-Park-Stadion
Win Probabilities
13%
SC Freiburg
27%
Draw
60%
Bayern München
Home5.7513%
Draw5.0027%
Away1.4560%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Bayern München's superior quality overcoming the home advantage. Ancient wisdom reveals the visitors' class will prove decisive in this encounter.

Our AI model analyzes this Bundesliga fixture between SC Freiburg and Bayern München using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns SC Freiburg a 13% win probability, a 27% chance of a draw, and Bayern München a 60% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-2. Both teams to score probability: 55%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 55%

Match Events

  1. 25'
    Yellow Card: J. TahBayern München
    Yellow Card: J. Tah
  2. Yellow Card: M. Ginter
    29'
    Yellow Card: M. GinterSC Freiburg
  3. Goal: J. ManzambiAssist: M. Eggestein
    46'
    Goal: J. ManzambiSC Freiburg · Assist: M. Eggestein
  4. 56'
    Substitution: M. OliseBayern München · Out: R. Guerreiro
    Substitution: M. OliseOut: R. Guerreiro
  5. 56'
    Substitution: K. LaimerBayern München · Out: J. Tah
    Substitution: K. LaimerOut: J. Tah
  6. 56'
    Substitution: A. PavlovicBayern München · Out: L. Goretzka
    Substitution: A. PavlovicOut: L. Goretzka
  7. Substitution: L. KublerOut: C. Gunter
    65'
    Substitution: L. KublerSC Freiburg · Out: C. Gunter
  8. 65'
    Substitution: J. MusialaBayern München · Out: S. Gnabry
    Substitution: J. MusialaOut: S. Gnabry
  9. Goal: L. Holer
    71'
    Goal: L. HolerSC Freiburg
  10. 73'
    Yellow Card: M. OliseBayern München
    Yellow Card: M. Olise
  11. Substitution: C. IrieOut: J. Beste
    78'
    Substitution: C. IrieSC Freiburg · Out: J. Beste
  12. Substitution: I. MatanovicOut: J. Manzambi
    78'
    Substitution: I. MatanovicSC Freiburg · Out: J. Manzambi
  13. 81'
    Goal: T. BischofBayern München · Assist: L. Karl
    Goal: T. BischofAssist: L. Karl
  14. 87'
    Substitution: A. DaviesBayern München · Out: Kim Min-Jae
    Substitution: A. DaviesOut: Kim Min-Jae
  15. Substitution: B. OgbusOut: L. Holer
    89'
    Substitution: B. OgbusSC Freiburg · Out: L. Holer
  16. Substitution: N. HoflerOut: Y. Suzuki
    90'
    Substitution: N. HoflerSC Freiburg · Out: Y. Suzuki
  17. 90+2'
    Goal: T. BischofBayern München · Assist: M. Olise
    Goal: T. BischofAssist: M. Olise
  18. 90+9'
    Goal: L. KarlBayern München · Assist: A. Davies
    Goal: L. KarlAssist: A. Davies
  19. Yellow Card: N. Atubolu
    90+9'
    Yellow Card: N. AtuboluSC Freiburg
  20. 90+10'
    Yellow Card: L. KarlBayern München
    Yellow Card: L. Karl
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1L. Höler vs Bayern defense: Höler's scoring ability against Bayern's solid backline will be crucial for Freiburg's chances.
2L. Díaz vs Freiburg midfield: Díaz's creativity and assists could exploit Freiburg's defensive gaps in midfield.
3M. Olise vs Freiburg full-backs: Olise's pace and dribbling on the wings may test Freiburg's defensive organization.
Strengths · Weaknesses

SC Freiburg

  • Recent 2-win streak
  • Home advantage with rating 0.55
  • Failed to score in 2 of last 5 games
  • No clean sheets in last 5 matches

Bayern München

  • Strong form with 5 unbeaten streak
  • High scoring with 32 goals in last 5 matches
  • Injury to key scorer H. Kane (doubtful)
  • Only 1 clean sheet in last 5 matches
Head-to-head →Injuries · SC FreiburgInjuries · Bayern MünchenLive scores →

Statistical Context

SC Freiburg

DWWWW
  • DSep 19, 26A · Eintracht Frankfurt2-2
  • WSep 12, 26H · Borussia Mönchengladbach5-0
  • WSep 5, 26A · SC Paderborn 070-1
  • WAug 30, 26H · Werder Bremen4-1
  • WAug 27, 26H · Motherwell4-1

Bayern München

WWWDW
  • WSep 18, 26H · Union Berlin7-0
  • WSep 13, 26A · SV Elversberg1-2
  • WSep 10, 26H · Bodo/Glimt5-0
  • DSep 5, 26A · FC Schalke 040-0
  • WSep 2, 26A · VfL Osnabrück1-4

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
1Borussia Dortmund4+712WWWW
2Bayern München4+1210WWDW
3SC Freiburg4+910DWWW
4FC Augsburg4+57LDWW

Head to Head

1
SC Freiburg
1
Draws
8
Bayern München
  • Nov 22, 25Bayern München – SC Freiburg6-2
  • Jan 25, 25SC Freiburg – Bayern München1-2
  • Sep 1, 24Bayern München – SC Freiburg2-0
  • Mar 1, 24SC Freiburg – Bayern Munich2-2
  • Oct 8, 23Bayern Munich – SC Freiburg3-0

Season Statistics — 2026

SC FreiburgBayern München
Played23
Goals Scored77
Goals Conceded22
Avg Scored3.52.3
Avg Conceded1.00.7
Clean Sheets01

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

SC FreiburgBayern München
Over 2.5 Goals6/1010/10
Both Teams Scored5/107/10
Clean Sheets4/103/10

SC Freiburg vs Bayern München — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Bayern München's superior quality overcoming the home advantage. Ancient wisdom reveals the visitors' class will prove decisive in this encounter.

Based on the data, Bayern München is favored to win, but the draw probability is elevated due to form and injury factors.

Form Analysis: SC Freiburg has a mixed form (WLDLW) with 15 goals for and 6 against in the last 5 matches, showing offensive capability but defensive vulnerability. Bayern München has strong form (WDWWW) with 32 goals for and 10 against, indicating high scoring and solid defense, though they have only 1 clean sheet in the last 5.

Key Factors: 1. Bayern's injury to key scorer H. Kane (doubtful) reduces their attacking threat. 2. SC Freiburg's home advantage (rating 0.55) and current 2-win streak provide momentum. 3. Head-to-head history shows Bayern dominance (8 wins in last 5 meetings), but recent form suggests a closer match.

Conclusion: The data supports Bayern as favorites, but injuries and Freiburg's home form increase draw likelihood, aligning with the API-Football model's emphasis on a draw or Bayern win.

Win Probabilities: SC Freiburg: 13% · Draw: 27% · Bayern München: 60%

Predicted Score: 1-2 (20.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 65% · Under 2.5: 35% · BTTS: 55%

H2H: SC Freiburg wins: 1 · Draws: 1 · Bayern München wins: 8

Form (latest first): SC Freiburg: DWWWW · Bayern München: WWWDW

  • L. Höler vs Bayern defense: Höler's scoring ability against Bayern's solid backline will be crucial for Freiburg's chances.
  • L. Díaz vs Freiburg midfield: Díaz's creativity and assists could exploit Freiburg's defensive gaps in midfield.
  • M. Olise vs Freiburg full-backs: Olise's pace and dribbling on the wings may test Freiburg's defensive organization.

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Oct 918:30
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11.3276%
X7.1414%
210.0010%
BundesligaGermany
FSV Mainz 05
Oct 1013:30
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Early projection
13.1332%
X3.8526%
22.3842%
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Oct 1013:30
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X5.2619%
25.0020%
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Early projection
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X6.2516%
21.4569%
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Union Berlin
Oct 1013:30
SV Elversberg
Early projection
13.8526%
X4.5522%
21.9252%
BundesligaGermany
SC Paderborn 07
Oct 1013:30
VfB Stuttgart
Early projection
13.5728%
X4.5522%
22.0050%
BundesligaGermany
RB Leipzig
Oct 1016:30
Eintracht Frankfurt
Early projection
11.6461%
X5.2619%
25.0020%
BundesligaGermany
1. FC Köln
Oct 1113:30
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Early projection
12.5040%
X3.7027%
23.0333%
BundesligaGermany
SC Freiburg
Oct 1115:30
FC Schalke 04
Early projection
11.6959%
X5.0020%
24.7621%
BundesligaGermany
Eintracht Frankfurt
Oct 1618:30
1. FC Köln
Early projection
11.9252%
X4.5522%
23.8526%
BundesligaGermany
Werder Bremen
Oct 1713:30
SC Paderborn 07
Early projection
12.0050%
X4.3523%
23.7027%
BundesligaGermany
FC Schalke 04
Oct 1713:30
FSV Mainz 05
Early projection
12.1347%
X4.1724%
23.4529%
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22.0050%
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15.2619%
X5.2619%
21.6162%
BundesligaGermany
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Oct 1713:30
FC Augsburg
Early projection
11.6959%
X5.2619%
24.5522%

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