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  1. Home
  2. Bundesliga
  3. Borussia Dortmund vs SC Freiburg

Borussia Dortmund vs SC Freiburg

Result • Bundesliga·Borussia Dortmund·SC Freiburg

Bundesliga
Bundesliga
Apr 26, 2026
15:30
high Confidence
WINNER
Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

Home
Final Score
4-0
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
4-0
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
11.40
X5.00
27.00
Stadium
Signal Iduna Park
high Confidence
SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg

Away
Odds
11.40
X5.00
27.00
Stadium
Signal Iduna Park
Win Probabilities
62%
Borussia Dortmund
25%
Draw
13%
SC Freiburg
Home1.4062%
Draw5.0025%
Away7.0013%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Dortmund's home fortress and H2H dominance overcoming Freiburg's fiery streak. Ancient wisdom reveals a narrow victory for the Black and Yellows.

Our AI model analyzes this Bundesliga fixture between Borussia Dortmund and SC Freiburg using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Borussia Dortmund a 62% win probability, a 25% chance of a draw, and SC Freiburg a 13% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 55%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 55%

Match Events

  1. Goal: M. BeierAssist: R. Bensebaini
    8'
    Goal: M. BeierBorussia Dortmund · Assist: R. Bensebaini
  2. Goal: S. GuirassyAssist: J. Brandt
    14'
    Goal: S. GuirassyBorussia Dortmund · Assist: J. Brandt
  3. Goal: R. BensebainiAssist: J. Ryerson
    31'
    Goal: R. BensebainiBorussia Dortmund · Assist: J. Ryerson
  4. 55'
    VAR: VAR · Goal Disallowed - offsideSC Freiburg · L. Kubler
    VAR: VAR · Goal Disallowed - offsideL. Kubler
  5. Yellow Card: J. Bellingham
    65'
    Yellow Card: J. BellinghamBorussia Dortmund
  6. 67'
    Substitution: J. BesteSC Freiburg · Out: V. Grifo
    Substitution: J. BesteOut: V. Grifo
  7. 67'
    Substitution: M. PhilippSC Freiburg · Out: I. Matanovic
    Substitution: M. PhilippOut: I. Matanovic
  8. Substitution: D. SvenssonOut: S. Inacio
    74'
    Substitution: D. SvenssonBorussia Dortmund · Out: S. Inacio
  9. 75'
    Substitution: C. IrieSC Freiburg · Out: D. Scherhant
    Substitution: C. IrieOut: D. Scherhant
  10. 75'
    Substitution: A. JungSC Freiburg · Out: P. Lienhart
    Substitution: A. JungOut: P. Lienhart
  11. Substitution: C. ChukwuemekaOut: J. Brandt
    84'
    Substitution: C. ChukwuemekaBorussia Dortmund · Out: J. Brandt
  12. Substitution: F. SilvaOut: S. Guirassy
    84'
    Substitution: F. SilvaBorussia Dortmund · Out: S. Guirassy
  13. 84'
    Substitution: R. TarnutzerSC Freiburg · Out: N. Hofler
    Substitution: R. TarnutzerOut: N. Hofler
  14. Goal: F. Silva
    87'
    Goal: F. SilvaBorussia Dortmund
  15. Substitution: S. OzcanOut: J. Bellingham
    88'
    Substitution: S. OzcanBorussia Dortmund · Out: J. Bellingham
  16. Substitution: M. AlbertOut: M. Beier
    89'
    Substitution: M. AlbertBorussia Dortmund · Out: M. Beier
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1K. Adeyemi vs M. Ginter: Adeyemi's pace and dribbling against Ginter's defensive positioning.
2K. Wätjen vs L. Höler: Midfield creativity vs forward movement; Wätjen's passing vs Höler's runs.
3S. Guirassy vs Freiburg CBs: If fit, Guirassy's aerial threat vs Freiburg's injury-hit defense.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Borussia Dortmund

  • Strong attack (53% rating)
  • Excellent defense (55% rating)
  • Recent 2-match losing streak
  • Key striker Guirassy doubtful

SC Freiburg

  • Excellent recent form (4 wins)
  • Strong attack (47% rating)
  • Weak defense (45% rating)
  • Poor H2H record (7% strength)

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
62%
API-Football
45%
54%
Borussia Dortmund533512

Models disagree significantly. Suggests home win (54%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Borussia Dortmund is predicted to win against SC Freiburg based on strong odds and overall team comparison.

Form Analysis: Dortmund has lost 2 consecutive matches (LLWWW) while Freiburg is on a 4-win streak (WWLWL). However, Dortmund's overall form over 5 matches is similar to Freiburg's, and their league position (2nd vs 8th) shows superior quality.

Key Factors: Dortmund's overwhelming head-to-head advantage (7 wins in last 5 meetings) and home advantage at SIGNAL IDUNA PARK are decisive. Freiburg's injury list (4 doubtful players) weakens their squad, while Dortmund's key players like Adeyemi and Wätjen are available.

Conclusion: Despite Freiburg's recent momentum, Dortmund's quality, H2H dominance, and home support should secure a win.

Statistical ContextBorussia Dortmund

Double chance : Borussia Dortmund or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
Borussia DortmundSC Freiburg
68%Strength32%
53%Attacking Potential47%
55%Defensive Potential45%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
93%H2H Strength7%
80%Goals H2H20%
68%Wins the Game32%
Head-to-head →Injuries · Borussia DortmundInjuries · SC FreiburgLive scores →

Statistical Context

Borussia Dortmund

WWWWW
  • WSep 19, 26A · VfB Stuttgart0-1
  • WSep 12, 26H · SC Paderborn 073-0
  • WSep 8, 26H · Villarreal3-2
  • WSep 5, 26A · 1899 Hoffenheim2-3
  • WSep 1, 26A · HEBC0-5

SC Freiburg

DWWWW
  • DSep 19, 26A · Eintracht Frankfurt2-2
  • WSep 12, 26H · Borussia Mönchengladbach5-0
  • WSep 5, 26A · SC Paderborn 070-1
  • WAug 30, 26H · Werder Bremen4-1
  • WAug 27, 26H · Motherwell4-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
1Borussia Dortmund4+712WWWW
2Bayern München4+1210WWDW
3SC Freiburg4+910DWWW
4FC Augsburg4+57LDWW

Head to Head

2
Borussia Dortmund
1
Draws
7
SC Freiburg
  • Dec 14, 25SC Freiburg – Borussia Dortmund1-1
  • Apr 5, 25SC Freiburg – Borussia Dortmund1-4
  • Nov 23, 24Borussia Dortmund – SC Freiburg4-0
  • Feb 9, 24Borussia Dortmund – SC Freiburg3-0
  • Sep 16, 23SC Freiburg – Borussia Dortmund2-4

Season Statistics — 2026

Borussia DortmundSC Freiburg
Played33
Goals Scored810
Goals Conceded21
Avg Scored2.73.3
Avg Conceded0.70.3
Clean Sheets22

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

Borussia DortmundSC Freiburg
Over 2.5 Goals5/106/10
Both Teams Scored5/105/10
Clean Sheets4/104/10

Borussia Dortmund vs SC Freiburg — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Dortmund's home fortress and H2H dominance overcoming Freiburg's fiery streak. Ancient wisdom reveals a narrow victory for the Black and Yellows.

Borussia Dortmund is predicted to win against SC Freiburg based on strong odds and overall team comparison.

Form Analysis: Dortmund has lost 2 consecutive matches (LLWWW) while Freiburg is on a 4-win streak (WWLWL). However, Dortmund's overall form over 5 matches is similar to Freiburg's, and their league position (2nd vs 8th) shows superior quality.

Key Factors: Dortmund's overwhelming head-to-head advantage (7 wins in last 5 meetings) and home advantage at SIGNAL IDUNA PARK are decisive. Freiburg's injury list (4 doubtful players) weakens their squad, while Dortmund's key players like Adeyemi and Wätjen are available.

Conclusion: Despite Freiburg's recent momentum, Dortmund's quality, H2H dominance, and home support should secure a win.

Win Probabilities: Borussia Dortmund: 62% · Draw: 25% · SC Freiburg: 13%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 65% · Under 2.5: 35% · BTTS: 55%

H2H: Borussia Dortmund wins: 2 · Draws: 1 · SC Freiburg wins: 7

Form (latest first): Borussia Dortmund: WWWWW · SC Freiburg: DWWWW

  • K. Adeyemi vs M. Ginter: Adeyemi's pace and dribbling against Ginter's defensive positioning.
  • K. Wätjen vs L. Höler: Midfield creativity vs forward movement; Wätjen's passing vs Höler's runs.
  • S. Guirassy vs Freiburg CBs: If fit, Guirassy's aerial threat vs Freiburg's injury-hit defense.

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Bundesliga

Bundesliga

Germany15 · Upcoming Fixtures
BundesligaGermany
Borussia Dortmund
Oct 918:30
Werder Bremen
Early projection
11.3276%
X7.1414%
210.0010%
BundesligaGermany
FSV Mainz 05
Oct 1013:30
Bayer Leverkusen
Early projection
13.1332%
X3.8526%
22.3842%
BundesligaGermany
1899 Hoffenheim
Oct 1013:30
Hamburger SV
Early projection
11.6461%
X5.2619%
25.0020%
BundesligaGermany
FC Augsburg
Oct 1013:30
Bayern München
Early projection
16.6715%
X6.2516%
21.4569%
BundesligaGermany
Union Berlin
Oct 1013:30
SV Elversberg
Early projection
13.8526%
X4.5522%
21.9252%
BundesligaGermany
SC Paderborn 07
Oct 1013:30
VfB Stuttgart
Early projection
13.5728%
X4.5522%
22.0050%
BundesligaGermany
RB Leipzig
Oct 1016:30
Eintracht Frankfurt
Early projection
11.6461%
X5.2619%
25.0020%
BundesligaGermany
1. FC Köln
Oct 1113:30
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Early projection
12.5040%
X3.7027%
23.0333%
BundesligaGermany
SC Freiburg
Oct 1115:30
FC Schalke 04
Early projection
11.6959%
X5.0020%
24.7621%
BundesligaGermany
Eintracht Frankfurt
Oct 1618:30
1. FC Köln
Early projection
11.9252%
X4.5522%
23.8526%
BundesligaGermany
Werder Bremen
Oct 1713:30
SC Paderborn 07
Early projection
12.0050%
X4.3523%
23.7027%
BundesligaGermany
FC Schalke 04
Oct 1713:30
FSV Mainz 05
Early projection
12.1347%
X4.1724%
23.4529%
BundesligaGermany
Hamburger SV
Oct 1713:30
VfB Stuttgart
Early projection
13.5728%
X4.5522%
22.0050%
BundesligaGermany
Union Berlin
Oct 1713:30
Borussia Dortmund
Early projection
15.2619%
X5.2619%
21.6162%
BundesligaGermany
SV Elversberg
Oct 1713:30
FC Augsburg
Early projection
11.6959%
X5.2619%
24.5522%

Betting Tips

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