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  1. Home
  2. Bundesliga
  3. Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05

Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05

Prediction • Bundesliga·Hamburger SV·FSV Mainz 05

Bundesliga
Bundesliga
Sep 6, 2026
13:30
Early projection · Odds pending
PREDICTED WINNER
Hamburger SV

Hamburger SV

Home
VS
VS
Stadium
Volksparkstadion
Early projection · Odds pending
FSV Mainz 05

FSV Mainz 05

Away
Stadium
Volksparkstadion
Win Probabilities
45%
Hamburger SV
24%
Draw
31%
FSV Mainz 05
Home2.2245%
Draw4.1724%
Away3.2331%

Oracle's Vision

Early projection
“

FSV Mainz 05 are the clear favourites on current form, having won three of their last five and kept three clean sheets, while Hamburger SV have been inconsistent and defensively vulnerable. The main risk is Hamburg's home advantage and their slight overall strength edge, which could swing a tight contest their way.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
4.0Hamburger SV
/10
4.0FSV Mainz 05
Hamburger SV
FormLatest first
DWWLL
Win Rate40%
FSV Mainz 05
FormLatest first
WLWLD
Win Rate40%
Momentum AdvantageEven Match

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Hamburger SV
Home

Hamburger SV

Form
LLWWD
Latest first
13
Pos
38
Pts
0
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 0 matches)

Clean Sheets0
Goal Diff0
  • Home advantage at Volksparkstadion
  • Decent attacking output (2.0 goals per game)
  • Slight overall strength edge in team comparison

Head to Head

Last 10
Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
3Wins
4
Draws
FSV Mainz 05
3Wins
FSV Mainz 05
30%40%30%

Recent Matches

Last 10
Feb202026
FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05
1-1
Draw
Hamburger SVHamburger SV
Oct52025
Hamburger SVHamburger SV
4-0
Win
FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05
Mar32018
Hamburger SVHamburger SV
0-0
Draw
FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05
Oct142017
FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05
3-2
Loss
Hamburger SVHamburger SV
May72017
Hamburger SVHamburger SV
0-0
Draw
FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05
Dec172016
FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05
3-1
Loss
Hamburger SVHamburger SV
Apr302016
FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05
0-0
Draw
Hamburger SVHamburger SV
Dec52015
Hamburger SVHamburger SV
1-3
Loss
FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05
May32015
FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05
1-2
Win
Hamburger SVHamburger SV
Dec72014
Hamburger SVHamburger SV
2-1
Win
FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05

Past Predictions

0%0/1 correct

FSV Mainz 05 1 - 1 Hamburger SV

Feb 20, 2026

44% / 28% / 28%

Hamburger SV4-3-3vs4-3-3FSV Mainz 05Predicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Mirror formation. Tactical discipline and individual quality will decide.

FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 054-3-3
Hamburger SVHamburger SV4-3-3
FSV Mainz 05BenchFSV Mainz 057
Hamburger SVBenchHamburger SV7

No Reported Injuries

Both teams have a clean bill of health

Bundesliga

League Statistics

Bundesliga • Standings & Top Performers

Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Bayern München
Bayern München
00000000
2
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
00000000
3
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
00000000
4
VfB Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart
00000000
5
1899 Hoffenheim
1899 Hoffenheim
00000000
6
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
00000000
7
SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg
00000000
8
Eintracht Frankfurt
Eintracht Frankfurt
00000000
9
FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg
00000000
10
FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05Away
00000000
11
Union Berlin
Union Berlin
00000000
12
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Borussia Mönchengladbach
00000000
13
Hamburger SV
Hamburger SVHome
00000000
14
1. FC Köln
1. FC Köln
00000000
15
Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen
00000000
16
FC Schalke 04
FC Schalke 04
00000000
17
SV Elversberg
SV Elversberg
00000000
18
SC Paderborn 07
SC Paderborn 07
00000000
Champions League
Relegation
HomeAway

Oracle's Vision

Early projection

Hamburger SV

Odds pending

Win Probabilities

45%Hamburger SV
24%Draw
31%FSV Mainz 05

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
KickoffSun, Sep 6 · 13:30
StadiumVolksparkstadion
League StatsBundesliga

Statistical Context

Hamburger SV

DWWLL
  • DMay 16, 26A · Bayer Leverkusen1-1
  • WMay 10, 26H · SC Freiburg3-2
  • WMay 2, 26A · Eintracht Frankfurt1-2
  • LApr 25, 26H · 1899 Hoffenheim1-2
  • LApr 18, 26A · Werder Bremen3-1

FSV Mainz 05

WLWLD
  • WMay 16, 26A · 1. FC Heidenheim0-2
  • LMay 10, 26H · Union Berlin1-3
  • WMay 3, 26A · FC St. Pauli1-2
  • LApr 25, 26H · Bayern München3-4
  • DApr 19, 26A · Borussia Mönchengladbach1-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
9FC Augsburg000—
10FSV Mainz 05000—
11Union Berlin000—
12Borussia Mönchengladbach000—
13Hamburger SV000—
141. FC Köln000—

Head to Head

3
Hamburger SV
4
Draws
3
FSV Mainz 05
  • Feb 20, 26FSV Mainz 05 – Hamburger SV1-1
  • Oct 5, 25Hamburger SV – FSV Mainz 054-0
  • Mar 3, 18Hamburger SV – FSV Mainz 050-0
  • Oct 14, 17FSV Mainz 05 – Hamburger SV3-2
  • May 7, 17Hamburger SV – FSV Mainz 050-0

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

Hamburger SVFSV Mainz 05
Over 2.5 Goals—3/10
Both Teams Scored—4/10
Clean Sheets—1/10

Predicted Line-ups & Formations

Predicted XI

Hamburger SV

Formation 4-3-3
  1. 1GDaniel Heuer Fernandes
  2. 3DJ. Agyekum
  3. 37DL. Lemke
  4. 28DM. Muheim
  5. 43DS. Nandja
  6. 5MM. Adeline
  7. 6MKofi Jeremy Amoako
  8. 24MN. Capaldo
  9. 20AP. Daka
  10. 18AB. Jatta
  11. 7AK. Ojo

Coach: M. Polzin

FSV Mainz 05

Formation 4-3-3
  1. 21GM. Kinzig
  2. 16DS. Bell
  3. 19DA. Caci
  4. 4DF. Gruber
  5. 25DA. Hanche-Olsen
  6. 10MN. Amiri
  7. 24MS. Kawasaki
  8. 31MD. Kohr
  9. 23AS. Becker
  10. 14AW. Bøving
  11. 11AR. Königsdörffer

Coach: U. Fischer

Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05 — Expert Prediction & Analysis

FSV Mainz 05 are the clear favourites on current form, having won three of their last five and kept three clean sheets, while Hamburger SV have been inconsistent and defensively vulnerable. The main risk is Hamburg's home advantage and their slight overall strength edge, which could swing a tight contest their way.

Hamburger SV enter this Bundesliga clash as the nominal favourites, but the data paints a far more nuanced picture. While the team-strength model gives them a slight edge, FSV Mainz 05 arrive in outstanding form, having won three of their last five and kept three clean sheets in that span.…

Win Probabilities: Hamburger SV: 45% · Draw: 24% · FSV Mainz 05: 31%

H2H: Hamburger SV wins: 3 · Draws: 4 · FSV Mainz 05 wins: 3

Form (latest first): Hamburger SV: DWWLL · FSV Mainz 05: WLWLD

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Bundesliga

Bundesliga

Germany15 · Upcoming Fixtures
BundesligaGermany
Bayern München
Aug 2818:30
VfB Stuttgart
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
BundesligaGermany
FSV Mainz 05
Aug 2913:30
SC Paderborn 07
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
BundesligaGermany
RB Leipzig
Aug 2913:30
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
BundesligaGermany
Union Berlin
Aug 2913:30
Eintracht Frankfurt
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
BundesligaGermany
1. FC Köln
Aug 2913:30
1899 Hoffenheim
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
BundesligaGermany
SV Elversberg
Aug 2913:30
Bayer Leverkusen
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
BundesligaGermany
Borussia Dortmund
Aug 2916:30
Hamburger SV
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
BundesligaGermany
SC Freiburg
Aug 3013:30
Werder Bremen
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
BundesligaGermany
FC Augsburg
Aug 3015:30
FC Schalke 04
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
BundesligaGermany
VfB Stuttgart
Sep 418:30
1. FC Köln
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
BundesligaGermany
Werder Bremen
Sep 513:30
RB Leipzig
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
BundesligaGermany
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Sep 513:30
SV Elversberg
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
BundesligaGermany
1899 Hoffenheim
Sep 513:30
Borussia Dortmund
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
BundesligaGermany
Bayer Leverkusen
Sep 513:30
Union Berlin
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
BundesligaGermany
SC Paderborn 07
Sep 513:30
SC Freiburg
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access