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  1. Home
  2. Bundesliga
  3. SC Freiburg vs Werder Bremen

SC Freiburg vs Werder Bremen

Result • Bundesliga·SC Freiburg·Werder Bremen

Bundesliga
Bundesliga
Aug 30, 2026
13:30
medium Confidence
WINNER
SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg

Home
Final Score
4-1
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
4-1
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
11.85
X3.40
24.00
Stadium
Europa-Park Stadion
medium Confidence
Werder Bremen

Werder Bremen

Away
Odds
11.85
X3.40
24.00
Stadium
Europa-Park Stadion
Win Probabilities
49%
SC Freiburg
30%
Draw
21%
Werder Bremen
Home1.8549%
Draw3.4030%
Away4.0021%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

SC Freiburg are clear favourites, backed by a four-game winning streak and a dominant head-to-head record over Werder Bremen. The main risk is Bremen's attacking potential, which could make the match closer than expected.

Our AI model analyzes this Bundesliga fixture between SC Freiburg and Werder Bremen using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns SC Freiburg a 49% win probability, a 30% chance of a draw, and Werder Bremen a 21% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 64%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 64%

Match Events

  1. Goal: Y. SuzukiAssist: J. Beste
    29'
    Goal: Y. SuzukiSC Freiburg · Assist: J. Beste
  2. Goal: I. MatanovicAssist: M. Ginter
    45'
    Goal: I. MatanovicSC Freiburg · Assist: M. Ginter
  3. Substitution: C. IrieOut: J. Beste
    46'
    Substitution: C. IrieSC Freiburg · Out: J. Beste
  4. 46'
    Substitution: D. StalmachWerder Bremen · Out: S. Lynen
    Substitution: D. StalmachOut: S. Lynen
  5. Goal: Y. Suzuki
    48'
    Goal: Y. SuzukiSC Freiburg
  6. 48'
    Yellow Card: L. ReisWerder Bremen
    Yellow Card: L. Reis
  7. Goal: Y. SuzukiAssist: I. Matanovic
    55'
    Goal: Y. SuzukiSC Freiburg · Assist: I. Matanovic
  8. 61'
    Substitution: S. MusahWerder Bremen · Out: J. Njinmah
    Substitution: S. MusahOut: J. Njinmah
  9. 61'
    Substitution: C. IttenWerder Bremen · Out: N. Fullkrug
    Substitution: C. IttenOut: N. Fullkrug
  10. Substitution: M. RosenfelderOut: P. Lienhart
    69'
    Substitution: M. RosenfelderSC Freiburg · Out: P. Lienhart
  11. Substitution: P. TreuOut: L. Kubler
    69'
    Substitution: P. TreuSC Freiburg · Out: L. Kubler
  12. Substitution: L. HolerOut: I. Matanovic
    73'
    Substitution: L. HolerSC Freiburg · Out: I. Matanovic
  13. 76'
    Goal: D. StalmachWerder Bremen · Assist: M. Grull
    Goal: D. StalmachAssist: M. Grull
  14. Substitution: K. GotoOut: Y. Suzuki
    80'
    Substitution: K. GotoSC Freiburg · Out: Y. Suzuki
  15. 85'
    Substitution: E. DinkciWerder Bremen · Out: L. Reis
    Substitution: E. DinkciOut: L. Reis
  16. 85'
    Substitution: P. CovicWerder Bremen · Out: M. Grull
    Substitution: P. CovicOut: M. Grull
  17. Yellow Card: K. Goto
    88'
    Yellow Card: K. GotoSC Freiburg
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1V. Grifo vs S. Lynen: Grifo's creativity and set-piece delivery will test Lynen's defensive discipline in midfield.
2K. Goto vs M. Friedl: Goto's pace and movement could exploit Friedl's positioning in the Bremen backline.
3M. Eggestein vs P. Čović: The battle in central midfield will be crucial, with Eggestein's passing range against Čović's energy.
Strengths · Weaknesses

SC Freiburg

  • Excellent recent form with four consecutive wins
  • Strong home advantage at Europa-Park Stadion
  • Potential complacency against lower-ranked opposition
  • Defensive lapses despite two clean sheets in last five

Werder Bremen

  • Decent attacking output, averaging 2.2 goals per game
  • Two clean sheets in recent matches show defensive capability
  • Poor form with only one win in five matches
  • Low league position (15th) indicates overall struggles

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
49%
API-Football
50%
50%
SC Freiburg504011

Models disagree significantly. Suggests home win (50%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisMedium Confidence

SC Freiburg enter this Bundesliga clash as clear favourites, backed by a formidable home record and a dominant head-to-head history against Werder Bremen. The bookmaker odds and the statistical model align on a home victory, with Freiburg's overall strength rating of 79.5% versus Bremen's 20.5% underscoring the gap.

Form Analysis: Freiburg are in scintillating form, having won their last four matches, while Bremen have struggled with just one win in five. Although both teams average 2.2 goals scored per game, Freiburg's defensive solidity (two clean sheets) and momentum give them a decisive edge.

Key Factors: The head-to-head record heavily favours Freiburg, with seven wins in the last ten meetings. Additionally, Freiburg's home advantage at the Europa-Park Stadion, combined with Bremen's lowly 15th-place standing, further tilts the balance. No significant injuries affect either side, so both can field their strongest line-ups.

Conclusion: All data points to a comfortable home win. Freiburg's superior form, historical dominance, and home comfort make them the clear favourites, with Bremen likely to struggle to contain their attacking threat.

Statistical ContextSC Freiburg

Double chance : SC Freiburg or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
SC FreiburgWerder Bremen
79%Strength20%
50%Attacking Potential50%
50%Defensive Potential50%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
80%H2H Strength20%
79%Goals H2H21%
79%Wins the Game20%
Head-to-head →Injuries · SC FreiburgInjuries · Werder BremenLive scores →

Statistical Context

SC Freiburg

DWWWW
  • DSep 19, 26A · Eintracht Frankfurt2-2
  • WSep 12, 26H · Borussia Mönchengladbach5-0
  • WSep 5, 26A · SC Paderborn 070-1
  • WAug 27, 26H · Motherwell4-1
  • WAug 23, 26A · Fortuna Düsseldorf1-5

Werder Bremen

WDWWL
  • WSep 19, 26H · FC Augsburg3-2
  • DSep 12, 26A · 1. FC Köln1-1
  • WSep 5, 26H · RB Leipzig3-1
  • WAug 22, 26A · Lüneburger SK Hansa0-3
  • LMay 16, 26H · Borussia Dortmund0-2

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
1Bayern München4+1210WWDW
2SC Freiburg3+99WWW
3Borussia Dortmund3+69WWW
9Eintracht Frankfurt3-14WLD
10Werder Bremen3-14DWL
11FC Schalke 043-14WDL

Head to Head

7
SC Freiburg
2
Draws
1
Werder Bremen
  • Feb 7, 26SC Freiburg – Werder Bremen1-0
  • Sep 20, 25Werder Bremen – SC Freiburg0-3
  • Feb 21, 25SC Freiburg – Werder Bremen5-0
  • Oct 5, 24Werder Bremen – SC Freiburg0-1
  • Jan 27, 24Werder Bremen – SC Freiburg3-1

Season Statistics — 2026

SC FreiburgWerder Bremen
Played33
Goals Scored105
Goals Conceded16
Avg Scored3.31.7
Avg Conceded0.32.0
Clean Sheets20

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

SC FreiburgWerder Bremen
Over 2.5 Goals6/10—
Both Teams Scored5/10—
Clean Sheets4/10—

SC Freiburg vs Werder Bremen — Match Analysis

SC Freiburg are clear favourites, backed by a four-game winning streak and a dominant head-to-head record over Werder Bremen. The main risk is Bremen's attacking potential, which could make the match closer than expected.

SC Freiburg enter this Bundesliga clash as clear favourites, backed by a formidable home record and a dominant head-to-head history against Werder Bremen. The bookmaker odds and the statistical model align on a home victory, with Freiburg's overall strength rating of 79.5% versus Bremen's 20.5% underscoring the gap.

Form Analysis: Freiburg are in scintillating form, having won their last four matches, while Bremen have struggled with just one win in five. Although both teams average 2.2 goals scored per game, Freiburg's defensive solidity (two clean sheets) and momentum give them a decisive edge.

Key Factors: The head-to-head record heavily favours Freiburg, with seven wins in the last ten meetings. Additionally, Freiburg's home advantage at the Europa-Park Stadion, combined with Bremen's lowly 15th-place standing, further tilts the balance. No significant injuries affect either side, so both can field their strongest line-ups.

Conclusion: All data points to a comfortable home win. Freiburg's superior form, historical dominance, and home comfort make them the clear favourites, with Bremen likely to struggle to contain their attacking threat.

Win Probabilities: SC Freiburg: 49% · Draw: 30% · Werder Bremen: 21%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 61% · Under 2.5: 39% · BTTS: 64%

H2H: SC Freiburg wins: 7 · Draws: 2 · Werder Bremen wins: 1

Form (latest first): SC Freiburg: DWWWW · Werder Bremen: WDWWL

  • V. Grifo vs S. Lynen: Grifo's creativity and set-piece delivery will test Lynen's defensive discipline in midfield.
  • K. Goto vs M. Friedl: Goto's pace and movement could exploit Friedl's positioning in the Bremen backline.
  • M. Eggestein vs P. Čović: The battle in central midfield will be crucial, with Eggestein's passing range against Čović's energy.

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Bundesliga

Bundesliga

Germany15 · Upcoming Fixtures
BundesligaGermany
Bayer Leverkusen
Sep 2013:30
RB Leipzig
12.6338%
X3.4529%
23.0333%
BundesligaGermany
FC Schalke 04
Sep 2015:30
SV Elversberg
12.2245%
X3.3330%
24.0025%
BundesligaGermany
SC Paderborn 07
Sep 2017:30
1899 Hoffenheim
15.2619%
X3.5728%
21.8953%
BundesligaGermany
Borussia Dortmund
Oct 918:30
Werder Bremen
Early projection
11.3276%
X7.1414%
210.0010%
BundesligaGermany
FSV Mainz 05
Oct 1013:30
Bayer Leverkusen
Early projection
13.1332%
X3.8526%
22.3842%
BundesligaGermany
1899 Hoffenheim
Oct 1013:30
Hamburger SV
Early projection
11.6461%
X5.2619%
25.0020%
BundesligaGermany
FC Augsburg
Oct 1013:30
Bayern München
Early projection
16.6715%
X6.2516%
21.4569%
BundesligaGermany
Union Berlin
Oct 1013:30
SV Elversberg
Early projection
13.8526%
X4.5522%
21.9252%
BundesligaGermany
SC Paderborn 07
Oct 1013:30
VfB Stuttgart
Early projection
13.5728%
X4.5522%
22.0050%
BundesligaGermany
RB Leipzig
Oct 1016:30
Eintracht Frankfurt
Early projection
11.6461%
X5.2619%
25.0020%
BundesligaGermany
1. FC Köln
Oct 1113:30
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Early projection
12.5040%
X3.7027%
23.0333%
BundesligaGermany
SC Freiburg
Oct 1115:30
FC Schalke 04
Early projection
11.6959%
X5.0020%
24.7621%
BundesligaGermany
Eintracht Frankfurt
Oct 1618:30
1. FC Köln
Early projection
11.9252%
X4.5522%
23.8526%
BundesligaGermany
Werder Bremen
Oct 1713:30
SC Paderborn 07
Early projection
12.0050%
X4.3523%
23.7027%
BundesligaGermany
FC Schalke 04
Oct 1713:30
FSV Mainz 05
Early projection
12.1347%
X4.1724%
23.4529%

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