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Today's Tips
Correct Score
Matches
Live
  1. Home
  2. Bundesliga
  3. SC Freiburg vs Werder Bremen

SC Freiburg vs Werder Bremen

Result • Bundesliga·SC Freiburg·Werder Bremen

Bundesliga
Bundesliga
Aug 30, 2026
13:30
medium Confidence
WINNER
SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg

Home
Final Score
4-1
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
4-1
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
11.85
X3.40
24.00
Stadium
Europa-Park Stadion
medium Confidence
Werder Bremen

Werder Bremen

Away
Odds
11.85
X3.40
24.00
Stadium
Europa-Park Stadion
Win Probabilities
49%
SC Freiburg
30%
Draw
21%
Werder Bremen
Home1.8549%
Draw3.4030%
Away4.0021%

Oracle's Vision

Medium Confidence
“

SC Freiburg are clear favourites, backed by a four-game winning streak and a dominant head-to-head record over Werder Bremen. The main risk is Bremen's attacking potential, which could make the match closer than expected.

Our AI model analyzes this Bundesliga fixture between SC Freiburg and Werder Bremen using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns SC Freiburg a 49% win probability, a 30% chance of a draw, and Werder Bremen a 21% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 64%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 64%

Match Events

  1. Goal: Y. SuzukiAssist: J. Beste
    29'
    Goal: Y. SuzukiSC Freiburg · Assist: J. Beste
  2. Goal: I. MatanovicAssist: M. Ginter
    45'
    Goal: I. MatanovicSC Freiburg · Assist: M. Ginter
  3. Substitution: C. IrieOut: J. Beste
    46'
    Substitution: C. IrieSC Freiburg · Out: J. Beste
  4. 46'
    Substitution: D. StalmachWerder Bremen · Out: S. Lynen
    Substitution: D. StalmachOut: S. Lynen
  5. Goal: Y. Suzuki
    48'
    Goal: Y. SuzukiSC Freiburg
  6. 48'
    Yellow Card: L. ReisWerder Bremen
    Yellow Card: L. Reis
  7. Goal: Y. SuzukiAssist: I. Matanovic
    55'
    Goal: Y. SuzukiSC Freiburg · Assist: I. Matanovic
  8. 61'
    Substitution: S. MusahWerder Bremen · Out: J. Njinmah
    Substitution: S. MusahOut: J. Njinmah
  9. 61'
    Substitution: C. IttenWerder Bremen · Out: N. Fullkrug
    Substitution: C. IttenOut: N. Fullkrug
  10. Substitution: M. RosenfelderOut: P. Lienhart
    69'
    Substitution: M. RosenfelderSC Freiburg · Out: P. Lienhart
  11. Substitution: P. TreuOut: L. Kubler
    69'
    Substitution: P. TreuSC Freiburg · Out: L. Kubler
  12. Substitution: L. HolerOut: I. Matanovic
    73'
    Substitution: L. HolerSC Freiburg · Out: I. Matanovic
  13. 76'
    Goal: D. StalmachWerder Bremen · Assist: M. Grull
    Goal: D. StalmachAssist: M. Grull
  14. Substitution: K. GotoOut: Y. Suzuki
    80'
    Substitution: K. GotoSC Freiburg · Out: Y. Suzuki
  15. 85'
    Substitution: E. DinkciWerder Bremen · Out: L. Reis
    Substitution: E. DinkciOut: L. Reis
  16. 85'
    Substitution: P. CovicWerder Bremen · Out: M. Grull
    Substitution: P. CovicOut: M. Grull
  17. Yellow Card: K. Goto
    88'
    Yellow Card: K. GotoSC Freiburg
Share Prediction

Match stats · predicted vs real

2 / 3stats picks landed in this match
SC Freiburg 4-1 Werder Bremen
FT
MarketPredictedRealOur pickResult
Corners per team✓ hitPredicted 4.9 – 3.2Real 6 – 5SC Freiburg more corners✓ hit
Total corners—Predicted 8.1Real 11chances only—
Yellow cards✗ missPredicted 3.0Real 2Over 2.5✗ miss
Half-time score—Predicted 0-0Real 2-0chances only—
Shots on target✓ hitPredicted 5.3 – 3.4Real 5 – 3SC Freiburg more shots on target✓ hit
Total shots—Predicted 13.7 – 11.8Real 19 – 9chances only—

Our pre-match numbers for this match, next to the final statistics.

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1V. Grifo vs S. Lynen: Grifo's creativity and set-piece delivery will test Lynen's defensive discipline in midfield.
2K. Goto vs M. Friedl: Goto's pace and movement could exploit Friedl's positioning in the Bremen backline.
3M. Eggestein vs P. Čović: The battle in central midfield will be crucial, with Eggestein's passing range against Čović's energy.
Strengths · Weaknesses

SC Freiburg

  • Excellent recent form with four consecutive wins
  • Strong home advantage at Europa-Park Stadion
  • Potential complacency against lower-ranked opposition
  • Defensive lapses despite two clean sheets in last five

Werder Bremen

  • Decent attacking output, averaging 2.2 goals per game
  • Two clean sheets in recent matches show defensive capability
  • Poor form with only one win in five matches
  • Low league position (15th) indicates overall struggles

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
49%
API-Football
50%
50%
SC Freiburg504011

Models disagree significantly. Suggests home win (50%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisMedium Confidence

SC Freiburg enter this Bundesliga clash as clear favourites, backed by a formidable home record and a dominant head-to-head history against Werder Bremen. The bookmaker odds and the statistical model align on a home victory, with Freiburg's overall strength rating of 79.5% versus Bremen's 20.5% underscoring the gap.

Form Analysis: Freiburg are in scintillating form, having won their last four matches, while Bremen have struggled with just one win in five. Although both teams average 2.2 goals scored per game, Freiburg's defensive solidity (two clean sheets) and momentum give them a decisive edge.

Key Factors: The head-to-head record heavily favours Freiburg, with seven wins in the last ten meetings. Additionally, Freiburg's home advantage at the Europa-Park Stadion, combined with Bremen's lowly 15th-place standing, further tilts the balance. No significant injuries affect either side, so both can field their strongest line-ups.

Conclusion: All data points to a comfortable home win. Freiburg's superior form, historical dominance, and home comfort make them the clear favourites, with Bremen likely to struggle to contain their attacking threat.

Statistical ContextSC Freiburg

Double chance : SC Freiburg or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
SC FreiburgWerder Bremen
79%Strength20%
50%Attacking Potential50%
50%Defensive Potential50%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
80%H2H Strength20%
79%Goals H2H21%
79%Wins the Game20%

More information

Bundesliga predicted line-ups: Gameweek 109/9Head-to-headSC Freiburg – Werder BremenInjuriesSC FreiburgInjuriesWerder BremenLive scores

Statistical Context

SC Freiburg

WWWWL
  • WNov 8, 26H · Union Berlin2-0
  • WNov 5, 26A · Trabzonspor0-1
  • WOct 31, 26A · FC Augsburg1-2
  • WOct 28, 26H · VfL Wolfsburg3-2
  • LOct 25, 26H · Bayern München1-3

Werder Bremen

LWLWD
  • LNov 7, 26A · VfB Stuttgart1-0
  • WOct 31, 26H · 1899 Hoffenheim2-0
  • LOct 27, 26A · Borussia Dortmund3-2
  • WOct 24, 26A · FSV Mainz 052-3
  • DOct 17, 26H · SC Paderborn 072-2

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
2Borussia Dortmund9+921WDWDD
3SC Freiburg9+1019WWLLW
4RB Leipzig9+1418WWWLW
5Bayer Leverkusen9+316WLLWW
6Werder Bremen9+215LWWDD
7SV Elversberg9-113LWLWL

Head to Head

7
SC Freiburg
2
Draws
1
Werder Bremen
  • Feb 7, 26SC Freiburg – Werder Bremen1-0
  • Sep 20, 25Werder Bremen – SC Freiburg0-3
  • Feb 21, 25SC Freiburg – Werder Bremen5-0
  • Oct 5, 24Werder Bremen – SC Freiburg0-1
  • Jan 27, 24Werder Bremen – SC Freiburg3-1

Season Statistics — 2026

SC FreiburgWerder Bremen
Played88
Goals Scored1817
Goals Conceded1014
Avg Scored2.32.1
Avg Conceded1.31.8
Clean Sheets21

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

SC FreiburgWerder Bremen
Over 2.5 Goals6/10—
Both Teams Scored5/10—
Clean Sheets4/10—

SC Freiburg vs Werder Bremen — Match Analysis

SC Freiburg are clear favourites, backed by a four-game winning streak and a dominant head-to-head record over Werder Bremen. The main risk is Bremen's attacking potential, which could make the match closer than expected.

SC Freiburg enter this Bundesliga clash as clear favourites, backed by a formidable home record and a dominant head-to-head history against Werder Bremen. The bookmaker odds and the statistical model align on a home victory, with Freiburg's overall strength rating of 79.5% versus Bremen's 20.5% underscoring the gap.

Form Analysis: Freiburg are in scintillating form, having won their last four matches, while Bremen have struggled with just one win in five. Although both teams average 2.2 goals scored per game, Freiburg's defensive solidity (two clean sheets) and momentum give them a decisive edge.

Key Factors: The head-to-head record heavily favours Freiburg, with seven wins in the last ten meetings. Additionally, Freiburg's home advantage at the Europa-Park Stadion, combined with Bremen's lowly 15th-place standing, further tilts the balance. No significant injuries affect either side, so both can field their strongest line-ups.

Conclusion: All data points to a comfortable home win. Freiburg's superior form, historical dominance, and home comfort make them the clear favourites, with Bremen likely to struggle to contain their attacking threat.

Win Probabilities: SC Freiburg: 49% · Draw: 30% · Werder Bremen: 21%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 61% · Under 2.5: 39% · BTTS: 64%

H2H: SC Freiburg wins: 7 · Draws: 2 · Werder Bremen wins: 1

Form (latest first): SC Freiburg: WWWWL · Werder Bremen: LWLWD

  • V. Grifo vs S. Lynen: Grifo's creativity and set-piece delivery will test Lynen's defensive discipline in midfield.
  • K. Goto vs M. Friedl: Goto's pace and movement could exploit Friedl's positioning in the Bremen backline.
  • M. Eggestein vs P. Čović: The battle in central midfield will be crucial, with Eggestein's passing range against Čović's energy.

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Bundesliga

Bundesliga

Germany15 · Upcoming Fixtures
BundesligaGermany
Bayern München
Nov 2019:30
1. FC Köln
Early projection
11.2580%
X8.3312%
212.508%
BundesligaGermany
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Nov 2114:30
Borussia Dortmund
Early projection
116.676%
X8.3312%
21.2282%
BundesligaGermany
Bayer Leverkusen
Nov 2114:30
SC Paderborn 07
Early projection
11.2779%
X7.6913%
212.508%
BundesligaGermany
Eintracht Frankfurt
Nov 2114:30
1899 Hoffenheim
Early projection
11.9252%
X4.5522%
23.8526%
BundesligaGermany
Union Berlin
Nov 2114:30
RB Leipzig
Early projection
14.3523%
X4.7621%
21.7956%
BundesligaGermany
SV Elversberg
Nov 2114:30
SC Freiburg
Early projection
13.5728%
X4.1724%
22.0848%
BundesligaGermany
FC Schalke 04
Nov 2117:30
VfB Stuttgart
Early projection
12.5639%
X3.7027%
22.9434%
BundesligaGermany
FC Augsburg
Nov 2214:30
FSV Mainz 05
Early projection
12.9434%
X3.7027%
22.5639%
BundesligaGermany
Werder Bremen
Nov 2216:30
Hamburger SV
Early projection
12.0848%
X4.3523%
23.4529%
BundesligaGermany
Werder Bremen
Nov 2719:30
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Early projection
11.3574%
X7.1414%
28.3312%
BundesligaGermany
FSV Mainz 05
Nov 2814:30
Union Berlin
Early projection
11.4967%
X5.8817%
26.2516%
BundesligaGermany
Hamburger SV
Nov 2814:30
Bayern München
Early projection
17.1414%
X6.2516%
21.4370%
BundesligaGermany
SC Paderborn 07
Nov 2814:30
FC Schalke 04
Early projection
11.9252%
X4.5522%
23.8526%
BundesligaGermany
1. FC Köln
Nov 2814:30
SV Elversberg
Early projection
12.5040%
X3.8526%
22.9434%
BundesligaGermany
VfB Stuttgart
Nov 2817:30
Eintracht Frankfurt
Early projection
12.5040%
X3.8526%
22.9434%

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