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  1. Home
  2. Serie A
  3. Sassuolo vs Como

Sassuolo vs Como

Result • Serie A·Sassuolo·Como

Serie A
Serie A
Apr 17, 2026
16:30
high Confidence
WINNER
Sassuolo

Sassuolo

Home
Final Score
2-1
Predicted: 1-2
Final Score
2-1
Predicted: 1-2
Odds
15.75
X4.33
21.53
Stadium
MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore
high Confidence
Como

Como

Away
Odds
15.75
X4.33
21.53
Stadium
MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore
Win Probabilities
16%
Sassuolo
30%
Draw
54%
Como
Home5.7516%
Draw4.3330%
Away1.5354%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Como's superior quality overcoming the home advantage. Ancient wisdom reveals the visitors' class will prove decisive in this encounter.

Our AI model analyzes this Serie A fixture between Sassuolo and Como using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Sassuolo a 16% win probability, a 30% chance of a draw, and Como a 54% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-2. Both teams to score probability: 50%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 50%
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1D. Berardi vs Como's defense: Berardi's creativity and goal-scoring ability will test Como's defensive organization, which has been solid recently.
2N. Paz vs Sassuolo's midfield: Paz's playmaking and goal contributions could dominate the midfield battle, given Sassuolo's weaker form and injuries.
3T. Douvikas vs Sassuolo's backline: Douvikas's high average rating and goal threat pose a significant challenge to Sassuolo's defense, which has conceded frequently.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Sassuolo

  • Home advantage with a rating of 0.55
  • Key attackers like D. Berardi and A. Pinamonti with 4 goals each
  • Poor recent form with 1 win in last 5 matches
  • Defensive issues averaging 1.4 goals conceded per match

Como

  • Strong recent form with 3 wins in last 5 matches
  • High attacking efficiency averaging 2.4 goals per match
  • Slightly lower defensive rating compared to attack in API comparison
  • Potential over-reliance on key scorers like N. Paz and T. Douvikas

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
54%
API-Football
45%
50%
Como133850

Moderate agreement on away win (50%).

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Based on the structured data, Como is predicted to win this match. The bookmaker-implied probabilities show Como as the clear favorite with a 57% chance of winning, supported by the API-Football model predicting Como as the winner. The data indicates a strong away advantage due to form, standings, and head-to-head dominance.

Form Analysis: Sassuolo's recent form is LWDLL with an average of 1.0 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match, while Como's form is LDWWW with 2.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match. Como has won 3 of their last 5 matches compared to Sassuolo's 1 win, showing superior momentum and attacking efficiency.

Key Factors: 1) Como leads the head-to-head with 2 wins in the last 2 meetings, giving them a psychological edge. 2) Como is in 5th place with 58 points and a +30 goal difference, significantly better than Sassuolo's 11th place with 42 points and -4 goal difference. 3) Sassuolo has 5 players listed as doubtful due to injuries or illness, potentially weakening their squad, while Como has no reported injuries.

Conclusion: The combination of odds, statistical models, form, standings, and injury data strongly favors Como to secure a victory. The probabilities are aligned with market expectations, with minimal adjustments for form and injuries.

Statistical ContextComo

Winner : Como

Team Comparison

AI Powered
SassuoloComo
33%Strength67%
29%Attacking Potential71%
46%Defensive Potential54%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
50%H2H Strength100%
50%Goals H2H100%
33%Wins the Game67%
Line-ups →Head-to-head →Injuries · SassuoloInjuries · Como</> Embed this prediction

Statistical Context

Sassuolo

DDWLW
  • DSep 6, 26A · Bologna2-2
  • DSep 2, 26H · Frosinone1-1
  • WAug 29, 26H · Torino2-1
  • LAug 23, 26A · Atalanta2-1
  • WAug 17, 26H · Cesena3-0

Como

WWDWW
  • WSep 4, 26A · Genoa1-4
  • WAug 30, 26A · Napoli1-2
  • DAug 22, 26A · Udinese1-1
  • WMay 24, 26A · Cremonese1-4
  • WMay 17, 26H · Parma1-0

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
3Lazio3+39WWW
4Como3+47WWD
5AC Milan3+37DWW
6Juventus3+37DWW
7Frosinone3+36WWL
8Atalanta3+16LWW
9Cagliari3+16WLW
10Sassuolo304DWL
11Udinese304LWD

Head to Head

2
Sassuolo
0
Draws
0
Como
  • Nov 28, 25Como – Sassuolo2-0
  • Sep 24, 25Como – Sassuolo3-0

Season Statistics — 2026

SassuoloComo
Played2—
Goals Scored3—
Goals Conceded3—
Avg Scored1.5—
Avg Conceded1.5—
Clean Sheets0—

Sassuolo vs Como — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Como's superior quality overcoming the home advantage. Ancient wisdom reveals the visitors' class will prove decisive in this encounter.

Based on the structured data, Como is predicted to win this match. The bookmaker-implied probabilities show Como as the clear favorite with a 57% chance of winning, supported by the API-Football model predicting Como as the winner. The data indicates a strong away advantage due to form, standings, and head-to-head dominance.

Form Analysis: Sassuolo's recent form is LWDLL with an average of 1.0 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match, while Como's form is LDWWW with 2.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match. Como has won 3 of their last 5 matches compared to Sassuolo's 1 win, showing superior momentum and attacking efficiency.

Key Factors: 1) Como leads the head-to-head with 2 wins in the last 2 meetings, giving them a psychological edge. 2) Como is in 5th place with 58 points and a +30 goal difference, significantly better than Sassuolo's 11th place with 42 points and -4 goal difference. 3) Sassuolo has 5 players listed as doubtful due to injuries or illness, potentially weakening their squad, while Como has no reported injuries.

Conclusion: The combination of odds, statistical models, form, standings, and injury data strongly favors Como to secure a victory. The probabilities are aligned with market expectations, with minimal adjustments for form and injuries.

Win Probabilities: Sassuolo: 16% · Draw: 30% · Como: 54%

Predicted Score: 1-2 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 50%

H2H: Sassuolo wins: 2 · Draws: 0 · Como wins: 0

Form (latest first): Sassuolo: DDWLW · Como: WWDWW

  • D. Berardi vs Como's defense: Berardi's creativity and goal-scoring ability will test Como's defensive organization, which has been solid recently.
  • N. Paz vs Sassuolo's midfield: Paz's playmaking and goal contributions could dominate the midfield battle, given Sassuolo's weaker form and injuries.
  • T. Douvikas vs Sassuolo's backline: Douvikas's high average rating and goal threat pose a significant challenge to Sassuolo's defense, which has conceded frequently.

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Serie A

Serie A

Italy15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Serie AItaly
Venezia
Sep 1118:45
Fiorentina
13.0333%
X3.5728%
22.5639%
Serie AItaly
Genoa
Sep 1213:00
Frosinone
12.5040%
X3.1332%
23.5728%
Serie AItaly
Lazio
Sep 1216:00
AC Milan
13.3330%
X3.3330%
22.5040%
Serie AItaly
Atalanta
Sep 1218:45
Cagliari
12.0449%
X3.5728%
24.3523%
Serie AItaly
Lecce
Sep 1313:00
Monza
12.5040%
X2.9434%
23.8526%
Serie AItaly
Napoli
Sep 1316:00
Bologna
11.7258%
X3.7027%
26.6715%
Serie AItaly
Sassuolo
Sep 1318:45
Juventus
17.6913%
X3.8526%
21.6461%
Serie AItaly
Torino
Sep 1416:30
AS Roma
17.6913%
X3.8526%
21.6461%
Serie AItaly
Como
Sep 1416:30
Parma
11.3773%
X5.0020%
214.297%
Serie AItaly
Inter
Sep 1418:45
Udinese
11.4171%
X5.2619%
210.0010%
Serie AItaly
Monza
Sep 1818:45
Sassuolo
Early projection
13.5728%
X4.3523%
22.0449%
Serie AItaly
Udinese
Sep 1913:00
Cagliari
Early projection
11.9252%
X4.5522%
23.8526%
Serie AItaly
Bologna
Sep 1913:00
Torino
Early projection
11.8554%
X4.7621%
24.0025%
Serie AItaly
AS Roma
Sep 1916:00
Inter
Early projection
13.0333%
X3.7027%
22.5040%
Serie AItaly
Venezia
Sep 1918:45
Lazio
Early projection
13.5728%
X4.5522%
22.0050%

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